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Veikkausliiga · Full time ·Championship Group - 28

Inter Turku vs AC Oulu

1 – 2 Full time

Veritas Stadion, TurkuReferee: Oliver Reitala

Inter Turku 61%
Draw 25%
AC Oulu 14%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Inter Turku vs AC Oulu overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Inter Turku vs AC Oulu

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityInter TurkuDrawAC Oulu
Model48.9%33.8%17.3%
Market65.5%21.7%12.8%
Final61.4%24.7%14.0%
Edge-16.6%+12.1%+4.5%

Confidence: Low

Why Inter Turku

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.17 vs 0.58.
  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Inter Turku ↓ / AC Oulu → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 19% 1 19% 13% 2 12% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 81%
2+ goals 53%
3+ goals 26%
No goals 19%

Inter Turku and AC Oulu expected goals

Inter Turku 1.17
AC Oulu 0.58

Total expected goals: 1.75

Inter Turku and AC Oulu attack and defence ratings

Inter Turku

Attack 0.73 -27%
Defence 0.59 -41%

AC Oulu

Attack 0.72 -28%
Defence 1.03 +3%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Inter Turku vs AC Oulu: result vs prediction

Inter Turku 1 – 2 AC Oulu

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Championship Group - 28 fixtures

Veikkausliiga

Before and after this match

Inter Turku vs AC Oulu markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Inter Turku 61.4% 1.63 -16.6% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 74.5% 1.34 — —
Both teams to score No 68.5% 1.46 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 86.0% 1.16 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 50.7% 1.97 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Inter Turku61.4%
Draw24.7%
AC Oulu14.0%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.525.5%
Under 2.574.5%
Both teams to scoreYes31.5%
No68.5%
Double chance1X (home or draw)86.0%
12 (either side)75.3%
X2 (draw or away)38.6%
Handicap -1Inter Turku win22.4%
Push (exactly one goal)26.9%
Loss50.7%
Correct score (top 3)1-019.1%
0-018.6%
1-113.0%

Inter Turku vs AC Oulu stats

Inter Turku and AC Oulu recent form

newest first
Inter Turku WDWWLW
AC Oulu LWLLLD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Inter Turku and AC Oulu going into this match

league record before kick-off

Inter Turku record

  • They have won 14 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
  • They have kept 15 clean sheets in 27 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 7 of 27 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
  • They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
  • 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

AC Oulu record

  • They have won 11 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
  • They have kept 10 clean sheets in 27 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 8 of 27 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
  • 42% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Inter Turku vs AC Oulu head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

6Inter Turku wins 2Draws 2AC Oulu wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-09-18AC OuluInter TurkuVeikkausliiga0-1
2026-08-16AC OuluInter TurkuVeikkausliiga2-3
2026-06-13Inter TurkuAC OuluVeikkausliiga0-0
2026-03-21Inter TurkuAC OuluLeague Cup2-1
2025-08-08Inter TurkuAC OuluVeikkausliiga3-2
2025-04-26AC OuluInter TurkuVeikkausliiga1-4
2024-09-24AC OuluInter TurkuVeikkausliiga1-0
2024-08-10AC OuluInter TurkuVeikkausliiga1-0
2024-04-12Inter TurkuAC OuluVeikkausliiga3-3
2023-09-03Inter TurkuAC OuluVeikkausliiga2-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Inter Turku vs AC Oulu odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 65.3%, draw 21.7%, away 13.0%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.43 4.33 7.20
Bet365 1.40 4.10 7.00
BetVictor 1.40 4.10 7.50
Betano 1.44 4.30 7.00
Betfair 1.36 4.20 7.00
Dafabet 1.44 4.50 7.40
Marathonbet 1.42 4.33 7.20
Pinnacle 1.44 4.62 7.97
SBO 1.37 3.87 6.28
William Hill 1.40 4.20 7.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.41 ▼ -0.14
X 4.27 ▲ +0.42
2 7.20 ▲ +1.79

11 snapshots recorded, from .