VPS
vs
Inter Turku
Garuda Lions Prediction: Inter Turku
0 – 1 Predicted score · 19% model probability
VPS vs Inter Turku overview
Garuda Lions analysis: VPS vs Inter Turku
| Probability | VPS | Draw | Inter Turku |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 19.2% | 35.8% | 45.0% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 19.2% | 35.8% | 45.0% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Inter Turku
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.05 vs 0.59.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
VPS vs Inter Turku match preview
VPS faces Inter Turku in an upcoming Veikkausliiga match, with the model assigning a 19% probability of a VPS win, a 36% chance of a draw, and a 45% likelihood of an Inter Turku victory. The most probable scoreline is 0-1, occurring at a rate of 19%. Expected goals for VPS are at 0.59, while Inter Turku is projected at 1.05, indicating a potential advantage for the visitors.
In terms of recent form, VPS has recorded a mixed set of results with two wins and four losses in their last six matches, while Inter Turku has performed better, achieving four wins, one draw, and one loss in the same period. Historically, in their last 10 encounters, VPS has secured 2 wins, Inter Turku has 6 wins, and there have been 2 draws. The model indicates a 23% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 30% chance for both teams to score.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
VPS and Inter Turku expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.64
VPS and Inter Turku attack and defence ratings
VPS
Inter Turku
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Championship Group - 29 fixtures
Before and after this match
VPS vs Inter Turku markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Inter Turku | 45.0% | 2.22 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 77.2% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 69.7% | 1.43 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 80.8% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 55.0% | 1.82 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | VPS | 19.2% |
| Draw | 35.8% | |
| Inter Turku | 45.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 22.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 77.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 30.3% |
| No | 69.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 55.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 64.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 80.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Inter Turku win | 18.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 26.1% | |
| Loss | 55.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-0 | 20.5% |
| 0-1 | 19.1% | |
| 1-1 | 13.2% |
VPS vs Inter Turku stats
VPS and Inter Turku recent form
| VPS |
WLLLWL |
| Inter Turku |
WDWWLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
VPS and Inter Turku season so far
VPS record
- They have won 11 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They average 1.4 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
- They have kept 8 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- They have failed to score in 9 of 27 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 5 penalties (40%).
- 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Inter Turku record
- They have won 14 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 15 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 27 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
- 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
VPS vs Inter Turku head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-14 | Inter Turku | VPS | Veikkausliiga | 1-0 |
| 2026-08-02 | VPS | Inter Turku | Veikkausliiga | 0-1 |
| 2026-06-30 | VPS | Inter Turku | Suomen Cup | 2-3 |
| 2026-04-04 | Inter Turku | VPS | Veikkausliiga | 0-0 |
| 2025-08-31 | Inter Turku | VPS | Veikkausliiga | 2-1 |
| 2025-04-19 | VPS | Inter Turku | Veikkausliiga | 0-2 |
| 2024-06-28 | Inter Turku | VPS | Veikkausliiga | 3-1 |
| 2024-05-27 | VPS | Inter Turku | Veikkausliiga | 3-1 |
| 2023-09-29 | VPS | Inter Turku | Veikkausliiga | 1-1 |
| 2023-07-12 | Inter Turku | VPS | Veikkausliiga | 0-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.