Inter Turku
vs
HJK Helsinki
Garuda Lions Prediction: Inter Turku
1 – 0 Predicted score · 9% model probability
- RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — Inter Turku is the favourite, not a value bet.
Inter Turku vs HJK Helsinki overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Inter Turku vs HJK Helsinki
| Probability | Inter Turku | Draw | HJK Helsinki |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 23.4% | 31.0% | 45.6% |
| Market | 46.4% | 26.3% | 27.3% |
| Final | 40.6% | 27.5% | 31.9% |
| Edge | -5.7% | +1.2% | +4.6% |
Best available price on the pick: 2.04, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -17.1% per unit staked (our 40.6% × 2.04 − 1).
Inter Turku vs HJK Helsinki match preview
Inter Turku faces HJK Helsinki in a Veikkausliiga matchup with a kickoff scheduled for October 29, 2026. According to our model, Inter Turku has a 40% probability of winning, while HJK Helsinki stands at 33%, and the likelihood of a draw is 27%. The expected goals for Inter Turku are 0.86, compared to HJK Helsinki's 1.39. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 1-0, with a 8% probability.
In terms of recent form, Inter Turku has recorded a mixed set of results with two wins, one draw, and two losses in their last five matches. Conversely, HJK Helsinki has been in better form, achieving three wins, two draws, and one loss during the same period. The head-to-head record over the last ten encounters shows an even split, with both teams securing two wins and six matches ending in draws.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Inter Turku and HJK Helsinki expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.17
Inter Turku and HJK Helsinki attack and defence ratings
Inter Turku
HJK Helsinki
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Championship Group - 30 fixtures
Before and after this match
Inter Turku vs HJK Helsinki markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Inter Turku | 40.6% | 2.46 | -5.7% | 2.04 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 63.2% | 1.58 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 56.6% | 1.77 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 72.5% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 76.6% | 1.31 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Inter Turku | 40.6% |
| Draw | 27.5% | |
| HJK Helsinki | 31.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 36.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 63.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 43.4% |
| No | 56.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 68.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 59.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Inter Turku win | 8.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 15.3% | |
| Loss | 76.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.2% |
| 0-1 | 13.7% | |
| 0-0 | 12.8% |
Inter Turku vs HJK Helsinki stats
Inter Turku and HJK Helsinki recent form
| Inter Turku |
WLWDWW |
| HJK Helsinki |
WWWDDW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Inter Turku and HJK Helsinki season so far
Inter Turku record
- They have won 14 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 15 clean sheets in 28 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 28 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
- 37% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
HJK Helsinki record
- They have won 15 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
- They average 2.1 goals per game at home against 1.6 on the road.
- They have kept 11 clean sheets in 28 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 28 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
- 44% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Inter Turku vs HJK Helsinki head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 | HJK Helsinki | Inter Turku | Veikkausliiga | 2-1 |
| 2026-09-05 | Inter Turku | HJK Helsinki | Suomen Cup | 1-0 |
| 2026-06-17 | HJK Helsinki | Inter Turku | Veikkausliiga | 3-3 |
| 2026-04-29 | Inter Turku | HJK Helsinki | Veikkausliiga | 1-1 |
| 2026-01-30 | Inter Turku | HJK Helsinki | League Cup | 1-3 |
| 2025-10-26 | HJK Helsinki | Inter Turku | Veikkausliiga | 1-1 |
| 2025-09-23 | Inter Turku | HJK Helsinki | Veikkausliiga | 0-0 |
| 2025-08-04 | HJK Helsinki | Inter Turku | Veikkausliiga | 1-4 |
| 2025-05-03 | Inter Turku | HJK Helsinki | Veikkausliiga | 1-1 |
| 2025-03-29 | HJK Helsinki | Inter Turku | League Cup | 4-4 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Inter Turku vs HJK Helsinki odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 46.4%, draw 26.3%, away 27.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.99 | 3.45 | 3.34 |
| Dafabet | 2.04 | 3.65 | 3.50 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
4 snapshots recorded, from .