KuPS
vs
VPS
Garuda Lions Prediction: KuPS
1 – 0 Predicted score · 15% model probability
KuPS vs VPS overview
Garuda Lions analysis: KuPS vs VPS
| Probability | KuPS | Draw | VPS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 44.3% | 32.3% | 23.4% |
| Market | 58.8% | 24.5% | 16.7% |
| Final | 55.2% | 26.5% | 18.4% |
| Edge | -14.5% | +7.8% | +6.8% |
Why KuPS
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.22 vs 0.81.
Best available price on the pick: 1.60, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
KuPS vs VPS match preview
In the upcoming Veikkausliiga match, KuPS hosts VPS with a probability of winning set at 52% for KuPS, while VPS has a 21% chance. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 1-0, occurring at a rate of 17%. KuPS has an expected goals figure of 1.17, compared to VPS's 0.71, indicating a stronger offensive performance anticipated from the home side.
Recent form shows KuPS struggling with two losses followed by a win, two draws, and another loss, while VPS has a mixed record of two losses, a win, and then another loss followed by a win. In their last ten encounters, KuPS has dominated with six wins, three draws, and only one victory for VPS. The confidence grade for this match is C, suggesting a moderate level of certainty in the predictions.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
KuPS and VPS expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.03
KuPS and VPS attack and defence ratings
KuPS
VPS
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Championship Group - 28 fixtures
Before and after this match
KuPS vs VPS markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | KuPS | 55.2% | 1.81 | -14.5% | 1.60 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 66.8% | 1.50 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 59.4% | 1.68 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 81.6% | 1.22 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 55.7% | 1.79 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | KuPS | 55.2% |
| Draw | 26.5% | |
| VPS | 18.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 33.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 66.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 40.6% |
| No | 59.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 81.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 44.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | KuPS win | 20.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.0% | |
| Loss | 55.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 14.7% |
| 0-0 | 14.4% | |
| 1-1 | 14.3% |
KuPS vs VPS stats
KuPS and VPS recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
KuPS and VPS season so far
KuPS record
- They have won 13 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They have kept 8 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 27 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 6 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
VPS record
- They have won 11 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They average 1.4 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
- They have kept 8 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- They have failed to score in 9 of 27 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 5 penalties (40%).
- 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
KuPS vs VPS head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-19 | VPS | KuPS | Veikkausliiga | 0-2 |
| 2026-07-25 | KuPS | VPS | Veikkausliiga | 3-1 |
| 2026-06-13 | VPS | KuPS | Veikkausliiga | 1-1 |
| 2026-06-10 | KuPS | VPS | Suomen Cup | 0-0 |
| 2026-01-31 | KuPS | VPS | League Cup | 3-1 |
| 2025-07-19 | VPS | KuPS | Veikkausliiga | 1-1 |
| 2025-05-25 | KuPS | VPS | Veikkausliiga | 0-2 |
| 2025-02-01 | KuPS | VPS | League Cup | 2-0 |
| 2024-09-14 | KuPS | VPS | Veikkausliiga | 3-1 |
| 2024-05-22 | VPS | KuPS | Veikkausliiga | 1-3 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
KuPS vs VPS odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 58.8%, draw 24.4%, away 16.8%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.60 | 3.80 | 5.51 |
| Bet365 | 1.55 | 3.60 | 5.75 |
| BetVictor | 1.55 | 3.75 | 5.50 |
| Betano | 1.60 | 3.85 | 5.40 |
| Betfair | 1.50 | 3.80 | 5.50 |
| Dafabet | 1.59 | 4.10 | 5.60 |
| Marathonbet | 1.58 | 3.80 | 5.60 |
| Pinnacle | 1.59 | 3.97 | 5.68 |
| SBO | 1.51 | 3.54 | 4.94 |
| William Hill | 1.57 | 3.70 | 5.50 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
12 snapshots recorded, from .