Trabzonspor
vs
Beşiktaş
Garuda Lions Prediction: Beşiktaş
1 – 2 Predicted score · 8% model probability
Trabzonspor vs Beşiktaş overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Trabzonspor vs Beşiktaş
| Probability | Trabzonspor | Draw | Beşiktaş |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 38.6% | 24.0% | 37.4% |
| Market | 35.3% | 25.3% | 39.4% |
| Final | 36.1% | 24.9% | 38.9% |
| Edge | +3.3% | -1.3% | -2.0% |
Why Beşiktaş
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 4 for the opposition.
Best available price on the pick: 2.49, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Trabzonspor vs Beşiktaş match preview
Trabzonspor faces Beşiktaş in an upcoming Süper Lig match, with kickoff scheduled for October 19, 2026. According to our model, Trabzonspor has a 32% chance of winning, while Beşiktaş holds a 42% probability. The most likely scoreline is 1-2, with a 9% chance. Expected goals are projected at 1.46 for Trabzonspor and 1.57 for Beşiktaş.
In terms of recent form, Trabzonspor has recorded two wins and four losses in their last six matches, while Beşiktaş has been more consistent with five wins and one loss in the same period. Our model indicates a 58% likelihood of over 2.5 goals and a 62% chance for both teams to score, suggesting an engaging encounter ahead.
Trabzonspor and Beşiktaş team news
Trabzonspor news
- A. Batagov — knee injury
- M. Kabasakal — suspended
- O. Cevikkan — tendon injury
- O. Yokuslu — knee injury
- P. Onuachu — injury
Beşiktaş news
- D. Vlahovic — illness
- M. Rashica — injury
- V. Cerny — muscle injury
Reported injuries and suspensions from our data provider. Confirmed line-ups appear ~40 minutes before kickoff.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Trabzonspor and Beşiktaş expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.54
Trabzonspor and Beşiktaş attack and defence ratings
Trabzonspor
Beşiktaş
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 8 fixtures
Before and after this match
Trabzonspor vs Beşiktaş markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Beşiktaş | 38.9% | 2.57 | -2.0% | 2.49 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 68.6% | 1.46 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 69.7% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 75.1% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 62.6% | 1.60 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Trabzonspor | 36.1% |
| Draw | 24.9% | |
| Beşiktaş | 38.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 68.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 31.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 69.7% |
| No | 30.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 61.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 63.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Beşiktaş win | 19.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 17.6% | |
| Loss | 62.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 10.0% |
| 2-1 | 8.1% | |
| 1-2 | 8.0% |
Trabzonspor vs Beşiktaş stats
Trabzonspor and Beşiktaş recent form
| Trabzonspor |
WWWLWL |
| Beşiktaş |
WWLWWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Trabzonspor and Beşiktaş season so far
Trabzonspor record
- They have won 3 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.2 goals per match.
- They average 3.7 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
- 44% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Beşiktaş record
- They have won 4 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.3 goals per match.
- They average 3.3 goals per game at home against 1.3 on the road.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
Trabzonspor vs Beşiktaş head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-09 | Beşiktaş | Trabzonspor | Süper Lig | 1-2 |
| 2025-12-14 | Trabzonspor | Beşiktaş | Süper Lig | 3-3 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Trabzonspor vs Beşiktaş odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 34.5%, draw 25.2%, away 40.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.69 | 3.88 | 2.49 |
| Bet365 | 2.70 | 3.50 | 2.25 |
| BetVictor | 2.60 | 3.60 | 2.30 |
| Betano | 2.87 | 3.60 | 2.25 |
| Betfair | 2.80 | 3.80 | 2.20 |
| Dafabet | 2.90 | 3.75 | 2.28 |
| Marathonbet | 2.58 | 3.72 | 2.39 |
| Pinnacle | 2.62 | 3.84 | 2.46 |
| SBO | 2.65 | 3.29 | 2.13 |
| William Hill | 2.62 | 3.50 | 2.30 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
11 snapshots recorded, from .