Süper Lig
·
·Matchday 8
Çorum FK
vs
Rizespor
Garuda Lions Prediction: Çorum FK
2 – 1 Predicted score · 10% model probability
Çorum FK
57%
Draw
23%
Rizespor
21%
Chance Çorum FK wins
57%
most likely outcome
Chance of a goal
95%
at least one goal in the match
Both teams score
63%
goals at both ends
Most likely score with our pick
2 – 1
10% of simulated outcomes
Çorum FK vs Rizespor overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Çorum FK vs Rizespor
| Probability | Çorum FK | Draw | Rizespor |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 56.7% | 22.7% | 20.6% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 56.7% | 22.7% | 20.6% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Çorum FK
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.10 vs 1.21.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
95%
2+ goals
85%
3+ goals
64%
No goals
5%
Çorum FK and Rizespor expected goals
Çorum FK
2.10
Rizespor
1.21
Total expected goals: 3.31
Çorum FK and Rizespor attack and defence ratings
Çorum FK
Attack
1.33 +33%
Defence
0.99 -1%
Rizespor
Attack
1.01 +1%
Defence
1.05 +5%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Before and after this match
Çorum FK vs Rizespor markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Çorum FK | 56.7% | 1.76 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 64.2% | 1.56 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 62.6% | 1.60 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 79.4% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 43.2% | 2.31 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Çorum FK | 56.7% |
| Draw | 22.7% | |
| Rizespor | 20.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 64.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 35.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 62.6% |
| No | 37.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 79.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 77.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 43.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Çorum FK win | 35.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.6% | |
| Loss | 43.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 10.2% |
| 2-1 | 9.7% | |
| 2-0 | 8.0% |
Çorum FK vs Rizespor stats
Çorum FK and Rizespor recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Çorum FK and Rizespor season so far
Çorum FK record
- They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 2.4 goals per match.
Rizespor record
- They have won 3 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- 50% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.