Garuda Lions
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Süper Lig · Full time ·Matchday 8

Çorum FK vs Rizespor

2 – 1 Full time

12′Zakaria Ariss
25′A. BorzaA. Sengul
27′Berat Özdemir
32′Q. Laci
38′C. Under
46′M. DiomandeY. Ramadani
61′V. MihailaE. Bulut
72′J. RamirezY. Moukoko
76′I. OlawoyinM. Diakite
76′A. MebudeI. Doicaru
76′A. SoweG. Borrelli
78′C. UnderE. Mahmic
78′B. OzdemirM. Karlsbakk
80′Y. Moukoko
81′Modibo Sagnan
83′Gökhan Sazdağı
83′Q. LaciD. Varesanovic

Corum Stadyumu, CorumReferee: D. Celik

Çorum FK 52%
Draw 23%
Rizespor 24%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

10 Shots 15
4 Shots on target 4
51 Possession % 49
2 Corners 8
19 Fouls 12
2 Offsides 0
3 Saves 2
394 Accurate passes 356

Çorum FK vs Rizespor overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Çorum FK vs Rizespor

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityÇorum FKDrawRizespor
Model67.6%19.0%13.5%
Market47.1%24.9%28.0%
Final52.2%23.4%24.4%
Edge+5.1%-1.5%-3.6%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why Çorum FK

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.45 vs 1.04.
  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
  • The market prices Çorum FK below our published probability: +5.1 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Çorum FK ↓ / Rizespor → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 7% 9% 2 9% 10% 5% 3 7% 8% 4+ 8% 9%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 96%
2+ goals 87%
3+ goals 68%
No goals 4%

Çorum FK and Rizespor expected goals

Çorum FK 2.45
Rizespor 1.04

Total expected goals: 3.49

Çorum FK and Rizespor attack and defence ratings

Çorum FK

Attack 1.42 +42%
Defence 0.91 -9%

Rizespor

Attack 0.94 -6%
Defence 1.17 +17%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Çorum FK vs Rizespor: result vs prediction

Çorum FK 2 – 1 Rizespor

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 8 fixtures

Süper Lig

Before and after this match

Çorum FK vs Rizespor markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Çorum FK 52.2% 1.92 +5.1% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 67.7% 1.48 — —
Both teams to score Yes 59.8% 1.67 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 76.6% 1.31 — —
Handicap -1 Çorum FK win 46.3% 2.16 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Çorum FK52.2%
Draw23.4%
Rizespor24.4%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.567.7%
Under 2.532.3%
Both teams to scoreYes59.8%
No40.2%
Double chance1X (home or draw)75.6%
12 (either side)76.6%
X2 (draw or away)47.8%
Handicap -1Çorum FK win46.3%
Push (exactly one goal)21.2%
Loss32.4%
Correct score (top 3)2-19.5%
2-09.2%
1-18.6%

Çorum FK vs Rizespor stats

Çorum FK and Rizespor recent form

newest first
Çorum FK WLWWLL
Rizespor LDWLWL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Çorum FK and Rizespor going into this match

league record before kick-off

Çorum FK record

  • They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 2.3 goals per match.
  • They average 3.0 goals per game on the road against 1.3 at home.
  • 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Rizespor record

  • They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
  • They average 1.8 goals per game on the road against 0.0 at home.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 7 matches.
  • 50% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Çorum FK vs Rizespor head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Çorum FK vs Rizespor odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 48.0%, draw 25.0%, away 27.0%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.04 3.90 3.50
Bet365 1.95 3.60 3.25
BetVictor 2.00 3.75 3.30
Betano 1.88 3.55 3.85
Betfair 1.85 3.75 3.90
Dafabet 1.88 3.75 3.95
Marathonbet 1.96 3.74 3.36
Pinnacle 2.05 3.85 3.50
SBO 1.86 3.32 3.45
William Hill 1.95 3.50 3.30

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.98 ▼ -0.08
X 3.75 ▲ +0.05
2 3.33 ▲ +0.03

10 snapshots recorded, from .