Garuda Lions
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Süper Lig · Full time ·Matchday 7

Gaziantep FK vs Çorum FK

0 – 3 Full time

37′C. Under
43′M. Diomande
58′B. OzdemirY. Ramadani
58′O. OzcicekU. Meleke
59′H. DervisogluD. Camara
60′A. Kyziridis
73′V. GidadoS. Dursun
73′G. SazdagiM. Karlsbakk
81′A. Kyziridis
83′M. Karlsbakk
84′L. PerezS. Destici
84′A. MaximS. Hansen
84′A. KyziridisE. Mahmic
84′C. UnderY. Moukoko
84′A. BorzaA. Sengul
85′Y. Moukoko
90′M. Abena
90′S. Hansen

Gaziantep Stadyumu, GaziantepReferee: G. Hasova

Gaziantep FK 35%
Draw 27%
Çorum FK 38%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

13 Shots 13
2 Shots on target 7
55 Possession % 45
9 Corners 5
6 Fouls 10
2 Offsides 1
4 Saves 2
399 Accurate passes 334

Gaziantep FK vs Çorum FK overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Gaziantep FK vs Çorum FK

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityGaziantep FKDrawÇorum FK
Model27.8%25.7%46.6%
Market37.0%27.6%35.3%
Final34.7%27.1%38.1%
Edge-2.3%-0.5%+2.8%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why Çorum FK

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.74 vs 1.31.
  • The market prices Çorum FK below our published probability: +2.8 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Gaziantep FK ↓ / Çorum FK → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 7% 7% 1 12% 9% 2 7% 6% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 94%
2+ goals 82%
3+ goals 59%
No goals 6%

Gaziantep FK and Çorum FK expected goals

Gaziantep FK 1.31
Çorum FK 1.74

Total expected goals: 3.05

Gaziantep FK and Çorum FK attack and defence ratings

Gaziantep FK

Attack 0.88 -12%
Defence 1.08 +8%

Çorum FK

Attack 1.33 +33%
Defence 1.00 +0%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Gaziantep FK vs Çorum FK: result vs prediction

Gaziantep FK 0 – 3 Çorum FK

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 7 fixtures

Süper Lig

Before and after this match

Gaziantep FK vs Çorum FK markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Çorum FK 38.1% 2.62 +2.8% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 58.7% 1.70 — —
Both teams to score Yes 61.2% 1.63 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 72.9% 1.37 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 53.4% 1.87 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Gaziantep FK34.7%
Draw27.1%
Çorum FK38.1%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.558.7%
Under 2.541.3%
Both teams to scoreYes61.2%
No38.8%
Double chance1X (home or draw)61.9%
12 (either side)72.9%
X2 (draw or away)65.3%
Handicap -1Çorum FK win25.7%
Push (exactly one goal)20.9%
Loss53.4%
Correct score (top 3)1-111.9%
1-29.4%
0-27.2%

Gaziantep FK vs Çorum FK stats

Gaziantep FK and Çorum FK recent form

newest first
Gaziantep FK LDWLWD
Çorum FK LWWLLD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Gaziantep FK and Çorum FK going into this match

league record before kick-off

Gaziantep FK record

  • They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
  • They average 1.7 goals per game on the road against 0.7 at home.
  • 54% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Çorum FK record

  • They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.2 goals per match.
  • They average 3.0 goals per game on the road against 1.3 at home.

Gaziantep FK vs Çorum FK head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Gaziantep FK vs Çorum FK odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 37.0%, draw 27.6%, away 35.3%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.61 3.56 2.72
Bet365 2.45 3.30 2.62
BetVictor 2.45 3.30 2.60
Betano 2.60 3.25 2.65
Betfair 2.50 3.50 2.55
Dafabet 2.60 3.40 2.70
Marathonbet 2.50 3.42 2.61
Pinnacle 2.60 3.43 2.80
SBO 2.47 3.19 2.54
William Hill 2.45 3.25 2.62

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.50 ▼ -0.05
X 3.35 ▲ +0.05
2 2.62 ▲ +0.09

13 snapshots recorded, from .