Garuda Lions
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Süper Lig · ·Matchday 7

Gaziantep FK vs Çorum FK

Garuda Lions Prediction: Çorum FK

1 – 2 Predicted score · 9% model probability

Bet on Çorum FK

Gaziantep Stadyumu, Gaziantep

Gaziantep FK 34%
Draw 27%
Çorum FK 39%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Chance Çorum FK wins
39%
most likely outcome
Chance of a goal
94%
at least one goal in the match
Both teams score
61%
goals at both ends
Most likely score with our pick
1 – 2
9% of simulated outcomes

Gaziantep FK vs Çorum FK overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Gaziantep FK vs Çorum FK

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityGaziantep FKDrawÇorum FK
Model28.1%25.7%46.2%
Market35.9%28.0%36.1%
Final33.9%27.4%38.6%
Edge-7.8%-2.3%+10.1%

Confidence: Low

Why Çorum FK

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.72 vs 1.31.
  • The market prices Çorum FK below the model: +10.1 percentage points of edge.

Best available price on the pick: 2.71, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.

Gaziantep FK vs Çorum FK match preview

In the upcoming Süper Lig match, Gaziantep FK faces Çorum FK, with the model assigning probabilities of 28% for a Gaziantep win, 26% for a draw, and 46% for a Çorum victory. The most likely scoreline is projected to be 1-2, occurring with a 9% probability. The expected goals for Gaziantep FK stand at 1.31, while Çorum FK is expected to score 1.73.

Both teams exhibit a tendency for high-scoring games, with a 59% likelihood of over 2.5 goals and a 61% chance that both teams will score. Gaziantep FK's recent form shows a mix of results, including two draws, while Çorum FK has won two of their last six matches. The confidence grade for this match is C, indicating a moderate level of certainty in the model's predictions.

Gaziantep FK and Çorum FK team news

injuries & suspensions

Gaziantep FK news

  • A. O. Kalin — muscle injury
  • F. Bavuk — hamstring injury
  • N. Sangare — back injury

Çorum FK news

No reported absences.

Reported injuries and suspensions from our data provider. Confirmed line-ups appear ~40 minutes before kickoff.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Gaziantep FK ↓ / Çorum FK → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 7% 7% 1 12% 9% 2 7% 6% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 94%
2+ goals 82%
3+ goals 59%
No goals 6%

Gaziantep FK and Çorum FK expected goals

Gaziantep FK 1.31
Çorum FK 1.72

Total expected goals: 3.04

Gaziantep FK and Çorum FK attack and defence ratings

Gaziantep FK

Attack 0.88 -12%
Defence 1.08 +8%

Çorum FK

Attack 1.33 +33%
Defence 0.99 -1%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Other Matchday 7 fixtures

Süper Lig

Before and after this match

Gaziantep FK vs Çorum FK markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Çorum FK 38.6% 2.59 +10.1% 2.71
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 58.6% 1.71 — —
Both teams to score Yes 61.2% 1.63 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 72.6% 1.38 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 54.0% 1.85 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Gaziantep FK33.9%
Draw27.4%
Çorum FK38.6%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.558.6%
Under 2.541.4%
Both teams to scoreYes61.2%
No38.8%
Double chance1X (home or draw)61.4%
12 (either side)72.6%
X2 (draw or away)66.1%
Handicap -1Çorum FK win25.2%
Push (exactly one goal)20.8%
Loss54.0%
Correct score (top 3)1-111.9%
1-29.4%
0-17.2%
Compare prices for this pick

Gaziantep FK vs Çorum FK stats

Gaziantep FK and Çorum FK recent form

newest first
Gaziantep FK LDWLWD
Çorum FK LWWLLD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Gaziantep FK and Çorum FK season so far

league record

Gaziantep FK record

  • They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
  • 64% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Çorum FK record

  • They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 2.4 goals per match.

Gaziantep FK vs Çorum FK head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Gaziantep FK vs Çorum FK odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 35.9%, draw 28.0%, away 36.1%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.69 3.56 2.64
Bet365 2.55 3.25 2.60
BetVictor 2.50 3.30 2.55
Betano 2.60 3.25 2.62
Betfair 2.60 3.50 2.55
Dafabet 2.65 3.40 2.65
Marathonbet 2.58 3.42 2.53
Pinnacle 2.62 3.34 2.71
SBO 2.49 3.09 2.47
William Hill 2.50 3.30 2.50
Find the best place to bet

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.59 ▲ +0.04
X 3.32 ▲ +0.02
2 2.58 ▲ +0.05

10 snapshots recorded, from .

Prediction snapshot 2 Çorum FK Predicted score 1 – 2 Low Bet Now
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