Süper Lig · Full time ·Matchday 7

Alanyaspor vs Erzurumspor FK

0 – 0 Full time

29′E. Tozlu
44′O. Ovacikli
58′I. KayaM. Elia
58′BikoueA. Usluoglu
58′Hwang Ui-JoP. Fernandes
62′A. Gerxhaliu
62′M. Elia
63′P. FernandesI. Hagi
78′M. CardosoM. Fettahoglu
83′E. TozluI. Diabate
83′M. RodriguezS. Akgun
83′F. AksoyB. Ozyurt
86′F. Hadergjonaj
90′A. Usluoglu

Alanya Oba Stadium, AlanyaReferee: D. Celik

Alanyaspor 50%
Draw 28%
Erzurumspor FK 22%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

14 Shots 15
5 Shots on target 5
57 Possession % 43
5 Corners 3
12 Fouls 10
1 Offsides 2
5 Saves 5
477 Accurate passes 338

Alanyaspor vs Erzurumspor FK overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Alanyaspor vs Erzurumspor FK

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityAlanyasporDrawErzurumspor FK
Model53.7%28.0%18.2%
Market48.9%28.2%22.9%
Final50.1%28.2%21.7%
Edge+1.2%-0.0%-1.2%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why Alanyaspor

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.54 vs 0.80.
  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Alanyaspor ↓ / Erzurumspor FK → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 11% 1 14% 13% 2 11% 9% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 89%
2+ goals 69%
3+ goals 41%
No goals 11%

Alanyaspor and Erzurumspor FK expected goals

Alanyaspor 1.54
Erzurumspor FK 0.80

Total expected goals: 2.34

Alanyaspor and Erzurumspor FK attack and defence ratings

Alanyaspor

Attack 1.06 +6%
Defence 0.87 -13%

Erzurumspor FK

Attack 0.76 -24%
Defence 0.97 -3%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Alanyaspor vs Erzurumspor FK: result vs prediction

Alanyaspor 0 – 0 Erzurumspor FK

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 7 fixtures

Süper Lig

Before and after this match

Alanyaspor vs Erzurumspor FK markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Alanyaspor 50.1% 2.00 +1.2% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 58.5% 1.71 — —
Both teams to score No 55.5% 1.80 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 78.3% 1.28 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 46.3% 2.16 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Alanyaspor50.1%
Draw28.2%
Erzurumspor FK21.7%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.541.5%
Under 2.558.5%
Both teams to scoreYes44.5%
No55.5%
Double chance1X (home or draw)78.3%
12 (either side)71.8%
X2 (draw or away)49.9%
Handicap -1Alanyaspor win28.8%
Push (exactly one goal)24.9%
Loss46.3%
Correct score (top 3)1-013.6%
1-113.0%
2-011.4%

Alanyaspor vs Erzurumspor FK stats

Alanyaspor and Erzurumspor FK recent form

newest first
Alanyaspor WDWLWD
Erzurumspor FK WLWDLL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Alanyaspor and Erzurumspor FK going into this match

league record before kick-off

Alanyaspor record

  • They have won 3 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.

Erzurumspor FK record

  • They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 0.5 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 6 matches.

Alanyaspor vs Erzurumspor FK head-to-head

Last 5 meetings

2Alanyaspor wins 1Draws 2Erzurumspor FK wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2021-05-11AlanyasporErzurumspor FKSüper Lig2-3
2021-01-21Erzurumspor FKAlanyasporSüper Lig1-1
2021-01-14AlanyasporErzurumspor FKTürkiye Kupası4-1
2019-03-10AlanyasporErzurumspor FKSüper Lig2-1
2018-10-06Erzurumspor FKAlanyasporSüper Lig1-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Alanyaspor vs Erzurumspor FK odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 48.9%, draw 28.2%, away 22.9%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.92 3.58 4.32
Bet365 1.90 3.30 3.90
BetVictor 1.87 3.25 4.00
Betano 1.93 3.30 4.05
Betfair 1.87 3.20 4.33
Dafabet 1.96 3.40 4.10
Marathonbet 1.84 3.44 4.15
Pinnacle 1.92 3.46 4.36
SBO 1.91 3.05 3.61
William Hill 1.85 3.25 4.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.90 ▼ -0.05
X 3.30 ▲ +0.10
2 4.07 ▲ +0.27

13 snapshots recorded, from .