Rizespor
vs
Fenerbahçe
Garuda Lions Prediction: Fenerbahçe
1 – 2 Predicted score · 10% model probability
Rizespor vs Fenerbahçe overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Rizespor vs Fenerbahçe
| Probability | Rizespor | Draw | Fenerbahçe |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 19.2% | 24.0% | 56.9% |
| Market | 20.7% | 23.8% | 55.4% |
| Final | 20.3% | 23.9% | 55.8% |
| Edge | -1.6% | +0.1% | +1.5% |
Why Fenerbahçe
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.93 vs 1.05.
Best available price on the pick: 1.75, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Rizespor vs Fenerbahçe match preview
Rizespor faces Fenerbahçe in their upcoming Süper Lig match on October 10, 2026. The model indicates a strong likelihood of a Fenerbahçe victory, with a 57% probability, while Rizespor has a 19% chance of winning and a 24% chance of a draw. The expected goals for Rizespor stand at 1.05, compared to Fenerbahçe's 1.93, suggesting a competitive match. Both teams are predicted to score, with a 57% probability for both teams to find the net.
In terms of recent form, Rizespor has recorded a mixed bag of results with two wins, two losses, and a draw in their last six matches. Fenerbahçe, on the other hand, has been more consistent, with four wins, a draw, and a loss in their most recent outings. Historically, Fenerbahçe has the upper hand in their last two encounters, securing one win and one draw against Rizespor.
Rizespor and Fenerbahçe team news
Rizespor news
- K. Alikulov — knee injury
Fenerbahçe news
- J. Oosterwolde — achilles tendon injury
- M. Muldur — knee injury
Reported injuries and suspensions from our data provider. Confirmed line-ups appear ~40 minutes before kickoff.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Rizespor and Fenerbahçe expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.98
Rizespor and Fenerbahçe attack and defence ratings
Rizespor
Fenerbahçe
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 7 fixtures
Before and after this match
Rizespor vs Fenerbahçe markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Fenerbahçe | 55.8% | 1.79 | +1.5% | 1.75 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 57.3% | 1.75 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56.6% | 1.77 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 79.7% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 43.3% | 2.31 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Rizespor | 20.3% |
| Draw | 23.9% | |
| Fenerbahçe | 55.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 57.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 42.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56.6% |
| No | 43.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 44.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 76.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 79.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Fenerbahçe win | 34.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.7% | |
| Loss | 43.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.3% |
| 1-2 | 9.9% | |
| 0-2 | 9.5% |
Rizespor vs Fenerbahçe stats
Rizespor and Fenerbahçe recent form
| Rizespor |
DWLWLW |
| Fenerbahçe |
WDDLWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Rizespor and Fenerbahçe season so far
Rizespor record
- They have won 3 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- 50% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Fenerbahçe record
- They have won 3 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.7 goals per match.
- They average 4.3 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 6 matches.
- 50% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Rizespor vs Fenerbahçe head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-17 | Fenerbahçe | Rizespor | Süper Lig | 2-2 |
| 2025-11-23 | Rizespor | Fenerbahçe | Süper Lig | 2-5 |
| 2025-02-02 | Fenerbahçe | Rizespor | Süper Lig | 3-2 |
| 2024-08-25 | Rizespor | Fenerbahçe | Süper Lig | 0-5 |
| 2024-02-17 | Rizespor | Fenerbahçe | Süper Lig | 1-3 |
| 2023-10-01 | Fenerbahçe | Rizespor | Süper Lig | 5-0 |
| 2023-01-19 | Fenerbahçe | Rizespor | Türkiye Kupası | 2-1 |
| 2022-04-22 | Rizespor | Fenerbahçe | Süper Lig | 0-6 |
| 2021-12-05 | Fenerbahçe | Rizespor | Süper Lig | 4-0 |
| 2021-01-30 | Fenerbahçe | Rizespor | Süper Lig | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Rizespor vs Fenerbahçe odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 20.7%, draw 23.8%, away 55.4%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 4.58 | 4.12 | 1.75 |
| Bet365 | 4.50 | 3.75 | 1.67 |
| BetVictor | 4.33 | 3.80 | 1.67 |
| Betano | 4.65 | 3.85 | 1.67 |
| Betfair | 4.60 | 4.00 | 1.67 |
| Dafabet | 4.50 | 4.00 | 1.73 |
| Marathonbet | 4.40 | 3.96 | 1.68 |
| Pinnacle | 4.48 | 4.09 | 1.70 |
| SBO | 4.04 | 3.52 | 1.68 |
| William Hill | 4.20 | 3.75 | 1.70 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
12 snapshots recorded, from .