Süper Lig · Full time ·Matchday 7

Rizespor vs Fenerbahçe

0 – 3 Full time

12′M. Asensio
59′M. AsensioI. Kahveci
66′A. KutucuI. Doicaru
72′Q. LaciC. Bozdogan
72′A. MebudeE. Bulut
80′V. MuriqiR. Lukaku
80′M. GreenwoodO. Aydin
82′T. AntalyaliG. Borrelli
83′I. Kahveci
87′O. Aydin
88′K. AkturkogluK. Peprah
88′M. GuendouziI. Yuksek

Çaykur Didi Stadyumu, RizeReferee: O. Ergun

Rizespor 20%
Draw 24%
Fenerbahçe 56%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

19 Shots 13
5 Shots on target 5
50 Possession % 50
2 Corners 5
4 Fouls 6
0 Offsides 3
2 Saves 5
383 Accurate passes 373

Rizespor vs Fenerbahçe overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Rizespor vs Fenerbahçe

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityRizesporDrawFenerbahçe
Model19.2%24.0%56.7%
Market20.9%23.6%55.6%
Final20.5%23.7%55.8%
Edge-0.4%+0.1%+0.3%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why Fenerbahçe

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.94 vs 1.05.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Rizespor ↓ / Fenerbahçe → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 6% 9% 9% 6% 1 11% 10% 6% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 94%
2+ goals 81%
3+ goals 57%
No goals 6%

Rizespor and Fenerbahçe expected goals

Rizespor 1.05
Fenerbahçe 1.94

Total expected goals: 2.99

Rizespor and Fenerbahçe attack and defence ratings

Rizespor

Attack 1.01 +1%
Defence 1.05 +5%

Fenerbahçe

Attack 1.52 +52%
Defence 0.69 -31%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Rizespor vs Fenerbahçe: result vs prediction

Rizespor 0 – 3 Fenerbahçe

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 7 fixtures

Süper Lig

Before and after this match

Rizespor vs Fenerbahçe markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Fenerbahçe 55.8% 1.79 +0.3% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 57.2% 1.75 — —
Both teams to score Yes 56.6% 1.77 — —
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 79.5% 1.26 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 43.0% 2.33 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Rizespor20.5%
Draw23.7%
Fenerbahçe55.8%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.557.2%
Under 2.542.8%
Both teams to scoreYes56.6%
No43.4%
Double chance1X (home or draw)44.2%
12 (either side)76.3%
X2 (draw or away)79.5%
Handicap -1Fenerbahçe win34.3%
Push (exactly one goal)22.7%
Loss43.0%
Correct score (top 3)1-111.3%
1-29.9%
0-29.4%

Rizespor vs Fenerbahçe stats

Rizespor and Fenerbahçe recent form

newest first
Rizespor DWLWLW
Fenerbahçe WDDLWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Rizespor and Fenerbahçe going into this match

league record before kick-off

Rizespor record

  • They have won 3 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
  • 50% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Fenerbahçe record

  • They have won 3 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.7 goals per match.
  • They average 4.3 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 6 matches.
  • 50% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Rizespor vs Fenerbahçe head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

0Rizespor wins 1Draws 9Fenerbahçe wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-04-17FenerbahçeRizesporSüper Lig2-2
2025-11-23RizesporFenerbahçeSüper Lig2-5
2025-02-02FenerbahçeRizesporSüper Lig3-2
2024-08-25RizesporFenerbahçeSüper Lig0-5
2024-02-17RizesporFenerbahçeSüper Lig1-3
2023-10-01FenerbahçeRizesporSüper Lig5-0
2023-01-19FenerbahçeRizesporTürkiye Kupası2-1
2022-04-22RizesporFenerbahçeSüper Lig0-6
2021-12-05FenerbahçeRizesporSüper Lig4-0
2021-01-30FenerbahçeRizesporSüper Lig1-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Rizespor vs Fenerbahçe odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 20.9%, draw 23.6%, away 55.6%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 4.58 4.12 1.75
Bet365 4.50 3.75 1.67
BetVictor 4.40 3.80 1.65
Betano 4.90 4.10 1.72
Betfair 4.50 4.00 1.67
Dafabet 4.50 4.00 1.73
Marathonbet 4.40 3.96 1.68
Pinnacle 4.63 4.20 1.70
SBO 4.05 3.52 1.68
William Hill 4.20 3.75 1.70

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 4.50 ▲ +0.13
X 3.98 ▲ +0.13
2 1.69 ▼ -0.01

13 snapshots recorded, from .