Aston Villa
vs
Fenerbahçe
6 – 0 Full time
| 12′ | Johan Manzambi | ||
| 31′ | Nicolas Jackson | ||
| 39′ | Nicolas Jackson | ||
| 42′ | Mattéo Guendouzi | ||
| 68′ | Ross Barkley | ||
| 69′ | Mason GreenwoodNene Dorgeles | ||
| 69′ | Vedat MuriqiRomelu Lukaku | ||
| 69′ | Ismail YüksekBartuğ Elmaz | ||
| 72′ | Ross Barkley | ||
| 73′ | Boubacar Kamara Alysson Edward Franco da Rocha | ||
| 73′ | Johan ManzambiJoão Gomes | ||
| 78′ | Oğuz Aydın | ||
| 78′ | Nicolas JacksonTammy Abraham | ||
| 79′ | Ibrahim MbayeAlejandro Garnacho | ||
| 83′ | Ross BarkleyLeon Goretzka | ||
| 90′ | Tammy Abraham |
Match stats
| 20 | Shots | 15 |
|---|---|---|
| 11 | Shots on target | 4 |
| 45 | Possession % | 55 |
| 9 | Corners | 7 |
| 12 | Fouls | 6 |
| 1 | Offsides | 3 |
| 4 | Saves | 5 |
| 350 | Accurate passes | 423 |
Aston Villa vs Fenerbahçe overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Aston Villa vs Fenerbahçe
| Probability | Aston Villa | Draw | Fenerbahçe |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 26.7% | 25.8% | 47.5% |
| Market | 56.2% | 23.7% | 20.1% |
| Final | 48.8% | 24.3% | 26.9% |
| Edge | -7.4% | +0.5% | +6.8% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Aston Villa and Fenerbahçe expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.99
Aston Villa and Fenerbahçe attack and defence ratings
Aston Villa
Fenerbahçe
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Aston Villa vs Fenerbahçe: result vs prediction
Aston Villa 6 – 0 Fenerbahçe
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other League Stage - 2 fixtures
- Lens v Sporting CP — match page
- Sabah FA vs Slavia Praha — team news & stats
- Arsenal vs Lille
- RasenBallsport Leipzig v PSV Eindhoven — match page
- Inter vs Club Brugge KV — team news & stats
- Atletico Madrid vs Manchester United
- Villarreal v Napoli — match page
- Galatasaray vs Barcelona — team news & stats
Before and after this match
Aston Villa vs Fenerbahçe markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Aston Villa | 48.8% | 2.05 | -7.4% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 57.6% | 1.74 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 60.1% | 1.66 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 75.7% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 73.4% | 1.36 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Aston Villa | 48.8% |
| Draw | 24.3% | |
| Fenerbahçe | 26.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 57.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 42.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 60.1% |
| No | 39.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 73.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 51.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Aston Villa win | 11.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 15.1% | |
| Loss | 73.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.0% |
| 1-2 | 9.5% | |
| 0-1 | 7.6% |
Aston Villa vs Fenerbahçe stats
Aston Villa and Fenerbahçe recent form
| Aston Villa |
DWWLWD |
| Fenerbahçe |
WWDDLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Aston Villa and Fenerbahçe going into this match
Fenerbahçe record
- They have won 4 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 7 matches.
- 59% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Aston Villa vs Fenerbahçe head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-22 | Fenerbahçe | Aston Villa | UEFA Europa League | 0-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Aston Villa vs Fenerbahçe odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 56.2%, draw 23.7%, away 20.1%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.74 | 4.04 | 5.18 |
| Bet365 | 1.70 | 4.10 | 4.50 |
| BetVictor | 1.67 | 4.10 | 4.75 |
| Betano | 1.75 | 4.15 | 4.70 |
| Betfair | 1.70 | 4.00 | 4.75 |
| Dafabet | 1.68 | 4.10 | 4.90 |
| Marathonbet | 1.71 | 3.98 | 5.10 |
| Pinnacle | 1.72 | 3.96 | 4.91 |
| SBO | 1.68 | 3.86 | 4.13 |
| William Hill | 1.67 | 3.80 | 4.75 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
16 snapshots recorded, from .