UEFA Champions League · Full time ·League Stage - 2

Inter vs Club Brugge KV

3 – 4 Full time

27′Jorne Spileers
29′Hakan Çalhanoğlu
30′Nicolo Tresoldi
39′Manuel Akanji
44′Lautaro Martínez
61′Jorne SpileersLee Han-beom
61′Hugo VetlesenFélix Lemaréchal
63′Nicolo Tresoldi
67′Hakan ÇalhanoğluPetar Sučić
67′Marcus ThuramPio Esposito
70′Jan Virgili Tenas
72′Kyriani SabbeHugo Siquet
72′Lee Han-beom
74′Nicolo Tresoldi
78′Nicolò BarellaAnge-Yoan Bonny
78′Federico DimarcoDjed Spence
81′Lautaro Martínez
81′Ivan Leko
83′Nicolo TresoldiRomeo Vermant
83′Jan Virgili TenasMamadou Diakhon
87′Romeo Vermant
88′Piotr ZielińskiAleksandar Stankovic
90′Ange-Yoan Bonny
90′Félix Lemaréchal

San Siro/Giuseppe Meazza, MilanReferee: Rohit Saggi

Inter 67%
Draw 17%
Club Brugge KV 15%

Confidence: Medium  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

30 Shots 18
12 Shots on target 8
53 Possession % 47
4 Corners 4
6 Fouls 13
2 Offsides 2
4 Saves 9
463 Accurate passes 411

Inter vs Club Brugge KV overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Inter vs Club Brugge KV

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityInterDrawClub Brugge KV
Model38.8%24.8%36.4%
Market76.8%14.9%8.3%
Final67.3%17.3%15.4%
Edge-9.5%+2.5%+7.0%

Confidence: Medium · Edge = Final minus Market

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Inter ↓ / Club Brugge KV → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 11% 8% 2 8% 7% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 96%
2+ goals 86%
3+ goals 65%
No goals 4%

Inter and Club Brugge KV expected goals

Inter 1.71
Club Brugge KV 1.65

Total expected goals: 3.36

Inter and Club Brugge KV attack and defence ratings

Inter

Attack 1.47 +47%
Defence 0.86 -14%

Club Brugge KV

Attack 1.52 +52%
Defence 0.62 -38%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Inter vs Club Brugge KV: result vs prediction

Inter 3 – 4 Club Brugge KV

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other League Stage - 2 fixtures

UEFA Champions League

Before and after this match

Inter vs Club Brugge KV markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Inter 67.3% 1.49 -9.5% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 65.2% 1.53 — —
Both teams to score Yes 67.1% 1.49 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 84.6% 1.18 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 61.3% 1.63 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Inter67.3%
Draw17.3%
Club Brugge KV15.4%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.565.2%
Under 2.534.8%
Both teams to scoreYes67.1%
No32.9%
Double chance1X (home or draw)84.6%
12 (either side)82.7%
X2 (draw or away)32.7%
Handicap -1Inter win20.4%
Push (exactly one goal)18.3%
Loss61.3%
Correct score (top 3)1-110.8%
2-18.4%
1-28.1%

Inter vs Club Brugge KV stats

Inter and Club Brugge KV recent form

newest first
Inter WDWLWW
Club Brugge KV WWWLWL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Inter vs Club Brugge KV head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Inter vs Club Brugge KV odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 76.8%, draw 14.9%, away 8.3%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.27 6.74 12.10
Bet365 1.25 6.25 11.00
BetVictor 1.20 7.00 12.00
Betano 1.27 6.70 11.50
Betfair 1.22 6.50 12.00
Dafabet 1.26 6.80 10.00
Marathonbet 1.25 6.40 11.50
Pinnacle 1.25 6.32 11.64
SBO 1.24 6.38 9.26
William Hill 1.25 6.00 10.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.25 ▼ -0.01
X 6.45 ▲ +0.75
2 11.50 ▲ +1.00

14 snapshots recorded, from .