Inter
vs
Parma Calcio 1913
Garuda Lions Prediction: Inter
2 – 1 Predicted score · 8% model probability
Inter vs Parma Calcio 1913 overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Inter vs Parma Calcio 1913
| Probability | Inter | Draw | Parma Calcio 1913 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 75.8% | 15.5% | 8.7% |
| Market | 83.4% | 11.1% | 5.5% |
| Final | 81.5% | 12.2% | 6.3% |
| Edge | -7.6% | +4.4% | +3.2% |
Why Inter
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.99 vs 1.03.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Best available price on the pick: 1.17, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Inter vs Parma Calcio 1913 match preview
Inter is heavily favored to win against Parma Calcio 1913, with an 81% probability of victory compared to Parma's 6%. The most likely scoreline is projected to be 2-1, occurring with an 8% likelihood. Inter's expected goals stand at 2.99, while Parma's is significantly lower at 1.03. The match is expected to feature over 2.5 goals at a rate of 76%, and there is a 62% chance that both teams will score.
In terms of recent form, Inter has shown a strong performance with three wins in their last six matches, while Parma has struggled, recording just one win in their last six outings. The head-to-head record favors Inter, who have won three of the last four encounters, with the other match ending in a draw.
Inter and Parma Calcio 1913 team news
Inter news
- C. Jones — thigh injury
- J. Stones — injury
Parma Calcio 1913 news
- A. Bernabe — thigh injury
- D. Drobnic — arm injury
- H. Nicolussi Caviglia — groin injury
- M. Frigan — injury
- P. Almqvist — calf injury
Reported injuries and suspensions from our data provider. Confirmed line-ups appear ~40 minutes before kickoff.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Inter and Parma Calcio 1913 expected goals
Total expected goals: 4.02
Inter and Parma Calcio 1913 attack and defence ratings
Inter
Parma Calcio 1913
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 6 fixtures
Before and after this match
Inter vs Parma Calcio 1913 markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Inter | 81.5% | 1.23 | -7.6% | 1.17 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 76.5% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 62.1% | 1.61 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 93.7% | 1.07 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Inter win | 57.8% | 1.73 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Inter | 81.5% |
| Draw | 12.2% | |
| Parma Calcio 1913 | 6.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 76.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 23.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 62.1% |
| No | 37.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 93.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 87.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 18.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Inter win | 57.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.0% | |
| Loss | 24.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-1 | 8.3% |
| 3-1 | 8.2% | |
| 2-0 | 8.0% |
Inter vs Parma Calcio 1913 stats
Inter and Parma Calcio 1913 recent form
| Inter |
DWLWWW |
| Parma Calcio 1913 |
WLDLLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Inter and Parma Calcio 1913 season so far
Inter record
- They have won 4 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 3.0 goals per match.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
Parma Calcio 1913 record
- They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
Inter vs Parma Calcio 1913 head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-03 | Inter | Parma Calcio 1913 | Serie A | 2-0 |
| 2026-01-07 | Parma Calcio 1913 | Inter | Serie A | 0-2 |
| 2025-04-05 | Parma Calcio 1913 | Inter | Serie A | 2-2 |
| 2024-12-06 | Inter | Parma Calcio 1913 | Serie A | 3-1 |
| 2023-01-10 | Inter | Parma Calcio 1913 | Coppa Italia | 2-1 |
| 2021-08-08 | Parma Calcio 1913 | Inter | Friendlies Clubs | 0-2 |
| 2021-03-04 | Parma Calcio 1913 | Inter | Serie A | 1-2 |
| 2020-10-31 | Inter | Parma Calcio 1913 | Serie A | 2-2 |
| 2020-06-28 | Parma Calcio 1913 | Inter | Serie A | 1-2 |
| 2019-10-26 | Inter | Parma Calcio 1913 | Serie A | 2-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Inter vs Parma Calcio 1913 odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 83.4%, draw 11.1%, away 5.5%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.17 | 9.60 | 17.00 |
| Bet365 | 1.14 | 8.00 | 19.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.11 | 8.50 | 18.00 |
| Betano | 1.15 | 8.00 | 17.50 |
| Betfair | 1.13 | 9.50 | 21.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.15 | 9.00 | 18.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.16 | 8.60 | 15.50 |
| Pinnacle | 1.14 | 9.77 | 17.38 |
| SBO | 1.12 | 6.95 | 11.56 |
| William Hill | 1.14 | 8.00 | 15.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
46 snapshots recorded, from .