Inter
vs
Parma Calcio 1913
3 – 0 Full time
| 13′ | Petar Sučić | ||
| 18′ | Hakan Çalhanoğlu | ||
| 31′ | Marcus Thuram | ||
| 61′ | Pio EspositoAnge-Yoan Bonny | ||
| 61′ | Marcus ThuramLautaro Martínez | ||
| 61′ | Hakan ÇalhanoğluAleksandar Stankovic | ||
| 61′ | Nesta ElphegeJosé David Romero | ||
| 62′ | Giovanni FabbianSimone Lontani | ||
| 62′ | Vincent SierroAdrián Bernabé García | ||
| 73′ | Federico DimarcoLuis Henrique | ||
| 73′ | Andy DioufDjed Spence | ||
| 78′ | Franco CarboniSascha Britschgi | ||
| 84′ | El Bilal ToureMatija Frigan |
Match stats
| 19 | Shots | 9 |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Shots on target | 2 |
| 59 | Possession % | 41 |
| 3 | Corners | 1 |
| 13 | Fouls | 9 |
| 6 | Offsides | 2 |
| 2 | Saves | 4 |
| 574 | Accurate passes | 367 |
Inter vs Parma Calcio 1913 overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Inter vs Parma Calcio 1913
| Probability | Inter | Draw | Parma Calcio 1913 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 75.8% | 15.5% | 8.7% |
| Market | 84.4% | 10.6% | 5.0% |
| Final | 82.2% | 11.8% | 5.9% |
| Edge | -2.1% | +1.2% | +0.9% |
Why Inter
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 3.00 vs 1.03.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Inter and Parma Calcio 1913 expected goals
Total expected goals: 4.02
Inter and Parma Calcio 1913 attack and defence ratings
Inter
Parma Calcio 1913
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Inter vs Parma Calcio 1913: result vs prediction
Inter 3 – 0 Parma Calcio 1913
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 6 fixtures
Before and after this match
Inter vs Parma Calcio 1913 markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Inter | 82.2% | 1.22 | -2.1% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 76.5% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 62.1% | 1.61 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 94.1% | 1.06 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Inter win | 57.8% | 1.73 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Inter | 82.2% |
| Draw | 11.8% | |
| Parma Calcio 1913 | 5.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 76.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 23.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 62.1% |
| No | 37.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 94.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 88.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 17.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Inter win | 57.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.0% | |
| Loss | 24.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-1 | 8.3% |
| 3-1 | 8.2% | |
| 2-0 | 8.0% |
Inter vs Parma Calcio 1913 stats
Inter and Parma Calcio 1913 recent form
| Inter |
DWLWWW |
| Parma Calcio 1913 |
WLDLLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Inter and Parma Calcio 1913 going into this match
Inter record
- They have won 4 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 3.0 goals per match.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
Parma Calcio 1913 record
- They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
Inter vs Parma Calcio 1913 head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-03 | Inter | Parma Calcio 1913 | Serie A | 2-0 |
| 2026-01-07 | Parma Calcio 1913 | Inter | Serie A | 0-2 |
| 2025-04-05 | Parma Calcio 1913 | Inter | Serie A | 2-2 |
| 2024-12-06 | Inter | Parma Calcio 1913 | Serie A | 3-1 |
| 2023-01-10 | Inter | Parma Calcio 1913 | Coppa Italia | 2-1 |
| 2021-08-08 | Parma Calcio 1913 | Inter | Friendlies Clubs | 0-2 |
| 2021-03-04 | Parma Calcio 1913 | Inter | Serie A | 1-2 |
| 2020-10-31 | Inter | Parma Calcio 1913 | Serie A | 2-2 |
| 2020-06-28 | Parma Calcio 1913 | Inter | Serie A | 1-2 |
| 2019-10-26 | Inter | Parma Calcio 1913 | Serie A | 2-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Inter vs Parma Calcio 1913 odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 84.4%, draw 10.6%, away 5.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.16 | 10.10 | 18.00 |
| Bet365 | 1.12 | 8.50 | 21.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.11 | 9.00 | 20.00 |
| Betano | 1.16 | 9.00 | 20.00 |
| Betfair | 1.13 | 9.50 | 21.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.14 | 9.00 | 18.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.14 | 9.00 | 16.25 |
| Pinnacle | 1.13 | 9.87 | 20.33 |
| SBO | 1.12 | 7.62 | 13.96 |
| William Hill | 1.12 | 8.50 | 15.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
47 snapshots recorded, from .