Como
vs
Roma
Garuda Lions Prediction: Roma
1 – 2 Predicted score · 8% model probability
Como vs Roma overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Como vs Roma
| Probability | Como | Draw | Roma |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 32.2% | 23.2% | 44.6% |
| Market | 36.7% | 26.5% | 36.7% |
| Final | 35.6% | 25.7% | 38.7% |
| Edge | -4.5% | -3.4% | +7.9% |
Why Roma
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.19 vs 1.86.
- The market prices Roma below the model: +7.9 percentage points of edge.
Best available price on the pick: 2.75, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Como vs Roma match preview
Como faces Roma in their upcoming Serie A clash, with the probabilities indicating a competitive match. Como has a 36% chance of winning, while Roma is slightly favored at 38%. The most likely scoreline predicted is 1-2, occurring with an 8% probability. Both teams have shown strong attacking capabilities, with over 2.5 goals expected in 77% of scenarios and both teams to score in 76%.
Recent form suggests Como has been solid, with four wins in their last six matches, while Roma remains unbeaten in their last six, recording four wins. In their last four encounters, Como and Roma have each secured two victories, highlighting a balanced rivalry. Expected goals show Como at 1.86 and Roma at 2.19, further emphasizing the potential for an engaging contest.
Como and Roma team news
Como news
- I. Smolcic — illness
- M. Kean — health problems
Roma news
- B. Cristante — injury
- M. Bah — knee injury
Reported injuries and suspensions from our data provider. Confirmed line-ups appear ~40 minutes before kickoff.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Como and Roma expected goals
Total expected goals: 4.05
Como and Roma attack and defence ratings
Como
Roma
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 6 fixtures
Before and after this match
Como vs Roma markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Roma | 38.7% | 2.58 | +7.9% | 2.75 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 76.9% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 76.4% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 74.3% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 55.4% | 1.81 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Como | 35.6% |
| Draw | 25.7% | |
| Roma | 38.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 76.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 23.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 76.4% |
| No | 23.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 61.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 64.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Roma win | 27.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 17.6% | |
| Loss | 55.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 8.5% |
| 1-2 | 7.8% | |
| 2-2 | 7.2% |
Como vs Roma stats
Como vs Roma head-to-head
Last 4 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-15 | Como | Roma | Serie A | 2-1 |
| 2025-12-15 | Roma | Como | Serie A | 1-0 |
| 2025-03-02 | Roma | Como | Serie A | 2-1 |
| 2024-12-15 | Como | Roma | Serie A | 2-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Como vs Roma odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 36.7%, draw 26.5%, away 36.7%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.62 | 3.70 | 2.75 |
| Bet365 | 2.60 | 3.50 | 2.60 |
| BetVictor | 2.50 | 3.60 | 2.50 |
| Betano | 2.60 | 3.60 | 2.60 |
| Betfair | 2.63 | 3.50 | 2.63 |
| Dafabet | 2.60 | 3.60 | 2.60 |
| Marathonbet | 2.54 | 3.60 | 2.67 |
| Pinnacle | 2.66 | 3.60 | 2.63 |
| SBO | 2.42 | 3.29 | 2.42 |
| William Hill | 2.50 | 3.40 | 2.50 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
46 snapshots recorded, from .