Como
vs
Roma
0 – 0 Full time
| 45′ | Assane Diao Diaoune | ||
| 45′ | Lorenzo PellegriniMatias Soule | ||
| 46′ | Marten de Roon | ||
| 53′ | Donyell Malen | ||
| 57′ | Manu Koné | ||
| 60′ | Mario HermosoLeonardo Balerdi | ||
| 62′ | Matias Soule | ||
| 66′ | Maxence CaqueretJesús Rodríguez | ||
| 78′ | Lucas Da CunhaMartin Baturina | ||
| 82′ | Nahuel MolinaDevyne Rensch | ||
| 88′ | Maximo PerroneLuis Milla | ||
| 88′ | Assane Diao DiaouneJayden Addai | ||
| 88′ | Yan CoutoMarc-Oliver Kempf | ||
| 89′ | Paulo DybalaEmanuele Lulli | ||
| 89′ | Manu KonéNiccolò Pisilli | ||
| 90′ | Martin Baturina |
Match stats
| 19 | Shots | 9 |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Shots on target | 2 |
| 66 | Possession % | 34 |
| 6 | Corners | 2 |
| 9 | Fouls | 9 |
| 0 | Offsides | 3 |
| 2 | Saves | 4 |
| 615 | Accurate passes | 271 |
Como vs Roma overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Como vs Roma
| Probability | Como | Draw | Roma |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 32.6% | 23.2% | 44.1% |
| Market | 38.0% | 27.3% | 34.7% |
| Final | 36.7% | 26.2% | 37.1% |
| Edge | -1.3% | -1.0% | +2.3% |
Why Roma
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.17 vs 1.87.
- The market prices Roma below our published probability: +2.3 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Como and Roma expected goals
Total expected goals: 4.04
Como and Roma attack and defence ratings
Como
Roma
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Como vs Roma: result vs prediction
Como 0 – 0 Roma
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 6 fixtures
Before and after this match
Como vs Roma markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Roma | 37.1% | 2.70 | +2.3% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 76.8% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 76.4% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 73.8% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 55.9% | 1.79 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Como | 36.7% |
| Draw | 26.2% | |
| Roma | 37.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 76.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 23.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 76.4% |
| No | 23.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 62.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 63.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Roma win | 26.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 17.6% | |
| Loss | 55.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 8.6% |
| 1-2 | 7.7% | |
| 2-2 | 7.2% |
Como vs Roma stats
Como and Roma recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Como and Roma going into this match
Como record
- They have won 3 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
Roma record
- They have won 4 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 2.8 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 5 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
Como vs Roma head-to-head
Last 4 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-15 | Como | Roma | Serie A | 2-1 |
| 2025-12-15 | Roma | Como | Serie A | 1-0 |
| 2025-03-02 | Roma | Como | Serie A | 2-1 |
| 2024-12-15 | Como | Roma | Serie A | 2-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Como vs Roma odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 38.0%, draw 27.3%, away 34.7%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.61 | 3.74 | 2.74 |
| Bet365 | 2.50 | 3.50 | 2.75 |
| BetVictor | 2.45 | 3.70 | 2.63 |
| Betano | 2.52 | 3.45 | 2.75 |
| Betfair | 2.50 | 3.40 | 2.80 |
| Dafabet | 2.55 | 3.55 | 2.75 |
| Marathonbet | 2.57 | 3.68 | 2.70 |
| Pinnacle | 2.57 | 3.50 | 2.79 |
| SBO | 2.45 | 3.26 | 2.53 |
| William Hill | 2.45 | 3.40 | 2.62 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
49 snapshots recorded, from .