UEFA Champions League · 2026-10-14T16:45:00Z UTC Full time ·League Stage - 2

Feyenoord vs Como

3 – 2 Full time

18′			Assane Diao Diaoune
20′			Gjivai Zechiel
23′			Assane Diao DiaouneJesús Rodríguez
45′			Luciano ValenteGaoussou Kyassou Diarra
50′			Gaoussou Kyassou Diarra
52′			Anis Hadj Moussa
57′			Ivan Smolcic
60′			Luis MillaLucas Da Cunha
60′			Kaiki BrunoAnastasios Douvikas
60′			Ivan SmolcicYan Couto
69′			Jacobo Ramón
74′			Lucas Da Cunha
79′			Jeremiah St. JusteTsuyoshi Watanabe
79′			Nacho FerriTobias van den Elshout
79′			Martin BaturinaMattia Liberali
81′			Robert Sanchez
84′			Givairo Read
90′			Anis Hadj MoussaJerayno Schaken
90′			Anastasios Douvikas

Stadion Feijenoord, RotterdamReferee: Donatas Rumsas

Feyenoord

39%

Draw

23%

Como

38%

Confidence: Medium · blended with market odds

Match stats

13	Shots	11
5	Shots on target	5
48	Possession %	52
5	Corners	1
19	Fouls	18
2	Offsides	0
3	Saves	3
450	Accurate passes	511

Feyenoord vs Como overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Feyenoord vs Como

model vs market on the 1X2

Probability	Feyenoord	Draw	Como
Model	65.4%	18.2%	16.4%
Market	30.4%	24.7%	44.9%
Final	39.1%	23.1%	37.8%
Edge	+8.8%	-1.6%	-7.1%

Confidence: Medium · Edge = Final minus Market

Why Feyenoord

Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.68 vs 1.33.
The market prices Feyenoord below our published probability: +8.8 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals

98%

2+ goals

92%

3+ goals

76%

No goals

Feyenoord and Como expected goals

Feyenoord

2.68

Como

1.33

Total expected goals: 4.01

Feyenoord and Como attack and defence ratings

Feyenoord

Attack

1.62 +62%

Defence

0.77 -23%

Como

Attack

1.36 +36%

Defence

0.88 -12%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Feyenoord vs Como: result vs prediction

Feyenoord 3 – 2 Como

Market	Outcome
1X2 pick	✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick	✓ Correct
BTTS pick	✓ Correct

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Before and after this match

Feyenoord, previous: Feyenoord v AZ Alkmaar analysis
Feyenoord, next: Telstar – Feyenoord, 2026-10-17
Como, previous: Como v Roma analysis
Como, next: Fiorentina vs Como prediction

Feyenoord vs Como markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market

Market	Model pick	Probability	Fair odds	Edge	Best price
1X2	Feyenoord	39.1%	2.55	+8.8%	—
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	76.4%	1.31	—	—
Both teams to score	Yes	69.2%	1.45	—	—
Double chance	12 (either side)	76.9%	1.30	—	—
Handicap -1	Feyenoord win	45.6%	2.19	—	—

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid

Market	Selection	Probability
1X2	Feyenoord	39.1%
	Draw	23.1%
	Como	37.8%
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	76.4%
	Under 2.5	23.6%
Both teams to score	Yes	69.2%
	No	30.8%
Double chance	1X (home or draw)	62.2%
	12 (either side)	76.9%
	X2 (draw or away)	60.9%
Handicap -1	Feyenoord win	45.6%
	Push (exactly one goal)	19.9%
	Loss	34.6%
Correct score (top 3)	2-1	8.7%
	3-1	7.7%
	1-1	7.1%

Feyenoord vs Como stats

Feyenoord and Como recent form

newest first

Feyenoord	WWWLWD
Como	DLWWWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Feyenoord vs Como head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Feyenoord vs Como odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 30.4%, draw 24.7%, away 44.9%.

Bookmaker	1	X	2
1xBet	3.26	3.96	2.19
Bet365	3.10	3.90	2.10
BetVictor	3.10	3.90	2.10
Betano	3.25	3.90	2.18
Betfair	3.25	3.80	2.10
Dafabet	3.10	3.85	2.17
Marathonbet	3.18	3.85	2.13
Pinnacle	3.27	3.86	2.16
SBO	2.89	3.53	2.12
William Hill	3.00	3.60	2.10

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 3.14 ▼ -0.46

X 3.85 ▼ -0.24

2 2.12 ▲ +0.25

16 snapshots recorded, from 2026-10-07T08:10:01Z.