Feyenoord
vs
Como
Garuda Lions Prediction: Como
1 – 2 Predicted score · 4% model probability
Feyenoord vs Como overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Feyenoord vs Como
| Probability | Feyenoord | Draw | Como |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 64.3% | 17.9% | 17.7% |
| Market | 26.6% | 23.4% | 50.0% |
| Final | 36.0% | 22.1% | 41.9% |
| Edge | +37.7% | -5.5% | -32.2% |
Best available price on the pick: 1.93, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Feyenoord vs Como match preview
Feyenoord faces Como in the UEFA Champions League with both teams showing contrasting recent form. Feyenoord has recorded three wins in their last five matches, alongside a draw and a loss, while Como comes into the match with four consecutive wins followed by a draw. The model assigns Feyenoord a 36% chance of winning, while Como has a 42% probability of victory, indicating a competitive matchup.
The expected goals suggest a high-scoring affair, with Feyenoord projected to score 2.77 goals and Como 1.47. The likelihood of over 2.5 goals is at 79%, and both teams scoring is estimated at 73%. The most probable scoreline is 1-2 in favor of Como, with a 4% likelihood. Overall, the confidence grade is B, reflecting a balanced assessment of the teams' chances.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Feyenoord and Como expected goals
Total expected goals: 4.24
Feyenoord and Como attack and defence ratings
Feyenoord
Como
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
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Before and after this match
Feyenoord vs Como markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Como | 41.9% | 2.39 | -32.2% | 1.93 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 79.5% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 72.7% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 77.9% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 82.3% | 1.22 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Feyenoord | 36.0% |
| Draw | 22.1% | |
| Como | 41.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 79.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 20.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 72.7% |
| No | 27.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 58.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 77.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 64.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Como win | 7.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 10.0% | |
| Loss | 82.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-1 | 8.1% |
| 3-1 | 7.5% | |
| 1-1 | 6.5% |
Feyenoord vs Como stats
Feyenoord vs Como head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Feyenoord vs Como odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 26.6%, draw 23.4%, away 50.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.78 | 4.31 | 1.93 |
| Bet365 | 3.60 | 4.00 | 1.85 |
| BetVictor | 3.60 | 4.00 | 1.85 |
| Betano | 3.55 | 4.10 | 1.91 |
| Betfair | 3.50 | 4.00 | 1.90 |
| Dafabet | 3.50 | 4.00 | 1.93 |
| Marathonbet | 3.68 | 4.20 | 1.88 |
| Pinnacle | 3.49 | 4.32 | 1.87 |
| SBO | 3.05 | 3.48 | 1.87 |
| William Hill | 3.50 | 4.00 | 1.85 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
6 snapshots recorded, from .