RasenBallsport Leipzig
vs
PSV Eindhoven
1 – 0 Full time
| 43′ | Sergiño Dest | ||
| 61′ | Rômulo José Cardoso da CruzTidiam Gomis | ||
| 75′ | Brajan Gruda | ||
| 76′ | Brajan GrudaRocco Reitz | ||
| 77′ | Lutsharel GeertruidaRyan Flamingo | ||
| 77′ | Filip KostićYarek Gasiorowski | ||
| 81′ | Antonio Nusa | ||
| 84′ | Ruben van BommelAyoni Santos | ||
| 84′ | Sven MijnansMikkel Bro Hansen | ||
| 85′ | Armando Obispo | ||
| 86′ | Ridle BakuNicolas Seiwald | ||
| 86′ | Ezechiel BanzuziLukas Klostermann |
Match stats
| 19 | Shots | 11 |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Shots on target | 5 |
| 43 | Possession % | 57 |
| 6 | Corners | 12 |
| 13 | Fouls | 12 |
| 0 | Offsides | 5 |
| 5 | Saves | 6 |
| 279 | Accurate passes | 370 |
RasenBallsport Leipzig vs PSV Eindhoven overview
Garuda Lions analysis: RasenBallsport Leipzig vs PSV Eindhoven
| Probability | RasenBallsport Leipzig | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 39.4% | 19.8% | 40.8% |
| Market | 59.9% | 19.8% | 20.3% |
| Final | 54.8% | 19.8% | 25.4% |
| Edge | -5.1% | +0.0% | +5.1% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
RasenBallsport Leipzig and PSV Eindhoven expected goals
Total expected goals: 4.78
RasenBallsport Leipzig and PSV Eindhoven attack and defence ratings
RasenBallsport Leipzig
PSV Eindhoven
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
RasenBallsport Leipzig vs PSV Eindhoven: result vs prediction
RasenBallsport Leipzig 1 – 0 PSV Eindhoven
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other League Stage - 2 fixtures
Before and after this match
RasenBallsport Leipzig vs PSV Eindhoven markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | RasenBallsport Leipzig | 54.8% | 1.82 | -5.1% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 85.5% | 1.17 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 82.9% | 1.21 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 80.2% | 1.25 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 60.6% | 1.65 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | RasenBallsport Leipzig | 54.8% |
| Draw | 19.8% | |
| PSV Eindhoven | 25.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 85.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 14.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 82.9% |
| No | 17.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 74.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 80.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 45.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | RasenBallsport Leipzig win | 23.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 16.1% | |
| Loss | 60.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-2 | 6.9% |
| 1-2 | 5.8% | |
| 2-1 | 5.7% |
RasenBallsport Leipzig vs PSV Eindhoven stats
RasenBallsport Leipzig and PSV Eindhoven recent form
| RasenBallsport Leipzig |
WLWLLW |
| PSV Eindhoven |
WLWDWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
RasenBallsport Leipzig vs PSV Eindhoven head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
RasenBallsport Leipzig vs PSV Eindhoven odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 59.9%, draw 19.8%, away 20.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.65 | 4.98 | 4.77 |
| Bet365 | 1.57 | 5.00 | 4.75 |
| BetVictor | 1.57 | 4.80 | 4.75 |
| Betano | 1.65 | 4.85 | 4.70 |
| Betfair | 1.60 | 4.75 | 4.75 |
| Dafabet | 1.61 | 4.90 | 4.60 |
| Marathonbet | 1.61 | 4.85 | 4.65 |
| Pinnacle | 1.60 | 4.94 | 4.82 |
| SBO | 1.58 | 4.56 | 4.41 |
| William Hill | 1.60 | 4.50 | 4.40 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
14 snapshots recorded, from .