Garuda Lions
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UEFA Champions League · Full time ·League Stage - 2

Lens vs Sporting CP

0 – 2 Full time

22′Luis Suárez
58′Samson BaidooRuben Aguilar
58′Franjo IvanovicOdsonne Édouard
66′Geny CatamoLuís Guilherme
68′Saud AbdulhamidMichał Skóraś
68′Junior KadileMezian Soares Mesloub
71′Michaël Cuisance
73′João SimõesSilas Andersen
73′Nestory IrankundaJesse Derry
74′Issa Doumbia
80′Amadou HaidaraYassine Titraoui
81′Florian Thauvin
85′Luis SuárezFotis Ioannidis
85′Issa DoumbiaPedro Lima Barros

Stade Bollaert-Delelis, LensReferee: Igor Pajac

Lens 39%
Draw 25%
Sporting CP 36%

Confidence: Medium  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

21 Shots 11
6 Shots on target 5
56 Possession % 44
6 Corners 3
8 Fouls 12
1 Offsides 0
3 Saves 6
481 Accurate passes 366

Lens vs Sporting CP overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Lens vs Sporting CP

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityLensDrawSporting CP
Model45.0%23.1%31.9%
Market37.6%25.7%36.7%
Final39.4%25.1%35.5%
Edge+1.9%-0.7%-1.2%

Confidence: Medium · Edge = Final minus Market

Why Lens

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.00 vs 1.68.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Lens ↓ / Sporting CP → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 9% 7% 2 5% 8% 7% 3 6% 5% 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 97%
2+ goals 89%
3+ goals 71%
No goals 3%

Lens and Sporting CP expected goals

Lens 2.00
Sporting CP 1.68

Total expected goals: 3.68

Lens and Sporting CP attack and defence ratings

Lens

Attack 1.37 +37%
Defence 0.90 -10%

Sporting CP

Attack 1.46 +46%
Defence 0.78 -22%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Lens vs Sporting CP: result vs prediction

Lens 0 – 2 Sporting CP

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other League Stage - 2 fixtures

UEFA Champions League

Before and after this match

Lens vs Sporting CP markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Lens 39.4% 2.54 +1.9% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 71.2% 1.41 — —
Both teams to score Yes 71.2% 1.40 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 74.9% 1.33 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 55.0% 1.82 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Lens39.4%
Draw25.1%
Sporting CP35.5%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.571.2%
Under 2.528.8%
Both teams to scoreYes71.2%
No28.8%
Double chance1X (home or draw)64.5%
12 (either side)74.9%
X2 (draw or away)60.6%
Handicap -1Lens win26.0%
Push (exactly one goal)19.0%
Loss55.0%
Correct score (top 3)1-19.3%
2-18.5%
2-27.1%

Lens vs Sporting CP stats

Lens and Sporting CP recent form

newest first
Lens WLDWLL
Sporting CP WDDWWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Lens vs Sporting CP head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Lens vs Sporting CP odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 37.6%, draw 25.7%, away 36.7%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.62 3.85 2.67
Bet365 2.55 3.70 2.60
BetVictor 2.50 3.75 2.55
Betano 2.60 3.85 2.62
Betfair 2.55 3.70 2.63
Dafabet 2.55 3.65 2.65
Marathonbet 2.55 3.75 2.60
Pinnacle 2.60 3.76 2.65
SBO 2.50 3.48 2.56
William Hill 2.50 3.50 2.50

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.55 ▲ +0.10
X 3.73 ▼ -0.02
2 2.61 ▲ +0.01

14 snapshots recorded, from .