Sporting CP
vs
Lask Linz
Garuda Lions Prediction: Sporting CP
2 – 1 Predicted score · 9% model probability
Sporting CP vs Lask Linz overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Sporting CP vs Lask Linz
| Probability | Sporting CP | Draw | Lask Linz |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 51.7% | 22.0% | 26.3% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 51.7% | 22.0% | 26.3% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Sporting CP
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.21 vs 1.56.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
Sporting CP vs Lask Linz match preview
Sporting CP hosts Lask Linz in the UEFA Champions League with a projected win probability of 52% for the home side, while Lask Linz has a 26% chance of claiming victory. The most likely scoreline is predicted to be 2-1 in favor of Sporting CP, with an expected goals tally of 2.21 for Sporting and 1.56 for Lask Linz.
Both teams have shown a propensity for scoring, with a 71% likelihood that both will find the net and a 73% chance of the match featuring over 2.5 goals. Sporting CP's recent form includes three wins and two draws, while Lask Linz has recorded two wins, two losses, and a draw in their last five matches. The confidence grade for this matchup is C.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Sporting CP and Lask Linz expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.77
Sporting CP and Lask Linz attack and defence ratings
Sporting CP
Lask Linz
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other League Stage - 3 fixtures
Before and after this match
Sporting CP vs Lask Linz markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sporting CP | 51.7% | 1.93 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 72.7% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 71.2% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 78.0% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 48.3% | 2.07 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sporting CP | 51.7% |
| Draw | 22.0% | |
| Lask Linz | 26.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 72.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 27.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 71.2% |
| No | 28.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 73.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 78.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 48.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Sporting CP win | 31.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.9% | |
| Loss | 48.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-1 | 8.8% |
| 1-1 | 8.7% | |
| 2-2 | 6.9% |
Sporting CP vs Lask Linz stats
Sporting CP and Lask Linz recent form
| Sporting CP |
DDWWWW |
| Lask Linz |
DLLWWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.