UEFA Champions League Β· Β·League Stage - 3

Sabah FA vs Borussia Dortmund

Garuda Lions Prediction: Sabah FA

2 – 1 Predicted score Β· 9% model probability

Bank Respublika Arena

Sabah FA 52%
Draw 24%
Borussia Dortmund 25%

Confidence: Medium  Β·  model-only, no market odds

Chance Sabah FA wins
52%
most likely outcome
Chance of a goal
94%
at least one goal in the match
Both teams score
65%
goals at both ends
Most likely score with our pick
2 – 1
9% of simulated outcomes

Sabah FA vs Borussia Dortmund overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Sabah FA vs Borussia Dortmund

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilitySabah FADrawBorussia Dortmund
Model51.6%23.6%24.9%
Marketβ€”β€”β€”
Final51.6%23.6%24.9%
Edgeβ€”β€”β€”

Confidence: Medium

Why Sabah FA

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.80 vs 1.24.

Sabah FA vs Borussia Dortmund match preview

Sabah FA will face Borussia Dortmund in the UEFA Champions League on October 20, 2026. The model suggests a strong probability for Sabah FA to win at 52%, while Borussia Dortmund has a 25% chance of victory, and a draw stands at 24%. The most likely scoreline predicted is 2-1 in favor of Sabah FA, with an expected goals tally of 2.00 for Sabah FA compared to 1.35 for Borussia Dortmund.

Both teams are in good form, with Sabah FA winning their last three matches and Borussia Dortmund on a six-match winning streak. Additionally, there is a 65% probability for over 2.5 goals and both teams to score in the match, indicating an expectation of an engaging and competitive encounter. The confidence grade for this prediction is B.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Sabah FA ↓ / Borussia Dortm β†’ 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 8% 12% 7% 2 8% 10% 6% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 94%
2+ goals 82%
3+ goals 59%
No goals 6%

Sabah FA and Borussia Dortmund expected goals

Sabah FA 1.80
Borussia Dortmund 1.24

Total expected goals: 3.04

Sabah FA and Borussia Dortmund attack and defence ratings

Sabah FA

Attack 1.26 +26%
Defence 0.66 -34%

Borussia Dortmund

Attack 1.49 +49%
Defence 0.76 -24%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Other League Stage - 3 fixtures

UEFA Champions League

Before and after this match

Sabah FA vs Borussia Dortmund markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Sabah FA 51.6% 1.94 β€” β€”
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 65.0% 1.54 β€” β€”
Both teams to score Yes 65.0% 1.54 β€” β€”
Double chance 12 (either side) 76.4% 1.31 β€” β€”
Handicap -1 Loss 50.6% 1.98 β€” β€”

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Sabah FA51.6%
Draw23.6%
Borussia Dortmund24.9%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.565.0%
Under 2.535.0%
Both teams to scoreYes65.0%
No35.0%
Double chance1X (home or draw)75.1%
12 (either side)76.4%
X2 (draw or away)48.4%
Handicap -1Sabah FA win28.0%
Push (exactly one goal)21.5%
Loss50.6%
Correct score (top 3)1-110.4%
2-19.5%
2-07.0%

Sabah FA vs Borussia Dortmund stats

Sabah FA and Borussia Dortmund recent form

newest first
Sabah FA DWWLWW
Borussia Dortmund WWWWWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Sabah FA and Borussia Dortmund season so far

league record

Sabah FA record

  • They have won 6 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 2.2 goals per match.
  • They average 3.0 goals per game at home against 1.5 on the road.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 8 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.

Sabah FA vs Borussia Dortmund head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards β€” these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Sabah FA vs Borussia Dortmund odds

No bookmaker odds yet

Bookmakers usually price a fixture ~14 days before kickoff. We record snapshots twice a day, so the comparison table and price movement will appear here as soon as the market opens. Until then every probability on this page is model-only.

Prediction snapshot 1 Sabah FA Predicted score 2 – 1 Medium Bet Now
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