UEFA Champions League · 2026-10-20T16:45:00Z UTC Full time ·League Stage - 3

Sabah FA vs Borussia Dortmund

1 – 2 Full time

10′			Serhou Guirassy
22′			Steve Solvet
39′			Aden McCarthy
49′			Ivan Lepinjica
53′			Serhou Guirassy
57′			Aden McCarthy
65′			Du QueirozAleksey Isaev
65′			Kaheem ParrisPatrick Orphe Mbina
71′			Carney ChukwuemekaMarcel Sabitzer
71′			Felix NmechaJobe Bellingham
72′			Ramy BensebainiKouakou Joane Gadou
77′			Daniel SvenssonMaximilian Beier
81′			Umarali RakhmonalievAbdulakh khaybulaev
81′			Joy Lance MickelsChristian Nwachukwu
89′			Akim Zedadka
90′			Fábio SilvaEthan Nwaneri

Baku Olympic Stadium, BakuReferee: Javier Alberola Rojas

Sabah FA

22%

Draw

18%

Borussia Dortmund

60%

Confidence: Medium · blended with market odds

Match stats

13	Shots	22
4	Shots on target	9
45	Possession %	55
4	Corners	9
8	Fouls	12
6	Offsides	2
6	Saves	3
332	Accurate passes	416

Sabah FA vs Borussia Dortmund overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Sabah FA vs Borussia Dortmund

model vs market on the 1X2

Probability	Sabah FA	Draw	Borussia Dortmund
Model	59.8%	24.0%	16.2%
Market	10.0%	15.9%	74.1%
Final	22.4%	18.0%	59.6%
Edge	+12.4%	+2.0%	-14.5%

Confidence: Medium · Edge = Final minus Market

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals

93%

2+ goals

78%

3+ goals

53%

No goals

Sabah FA and Borussia Dortmund expected goals

Sabah FA

1.89

Borussia Dortmund

0.89

Total expected goals: 2.78

Sabah FA and Borussia Dortmund attack and defence ratings

Sabah FA

Attack

1.35 +35%

Defence

0.56 -44%

Borussia Dortmund

Attack

1.22 +22%

Defence

0.74 -26%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Sabah FA vs Borussia Dortmund: result vs prediction

Sabah FA 1 – 2 Borussia Dortmund

Market	Outcome
1X2 pick	✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick	✓ Correct
BTTS pick	✓ Correct

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Before and after this match

Sabah FA, previous: Qabala v Sabah FA analysis
Sabah FA, next: Sabah FA vs Qarabag: odds and pick
Borussia Dortmund, previous: Union Berlin – Borussia Dortmund, 2026-10-17
Borussia Dortmund, next: Borussia Dortmund – Eintracht Frankfurt, 2026-10-24

Sabah FA vs Borussia Dortmund markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market

Market	Model pick	Probability	Fair odds	Edge	Best price
1X2	Borussia Dortmund	59.6%	1.68	-14.5%	—
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	52.7%	1.90	—	—
Both teams to score	Yes	51.2%	1.95	—	—
Double chance	12 (either side)	82.0%	1.22	—	—
Handicap -1	Loss	83.8%	1.19	—	—

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid

Market	Selection	Probability
1X2	Sabah FA	22.4%
	Draw	18.0%
	Borussia Dortmund	59.6%
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	52.7%
	Under 2.5	47.3%
Both teams to score	Yes	51.2%
	No	48.8%
Double chance	1X (home or draw)	40.4%
	12 (either side)	82.0%
	X2 (draw or away)	77.6%
Handicap -1	Borussia Dortmund win	5.5%
	Push (exactly one goal)	10.6%
	Loss	83.8%
Correct score (top 3)	1-1	11.5%
	2-0	11.1%
	1-0	10.6%

Sabah FA vs Borussia Dortmund stats

Sabah FA and Borussia Dortmund recent form

newest first

Sabah FA	WWDWWL
Borussia Dortmund	DLDWWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Sabah FA and Borussia Dortmund going into this match

league record before kick-off

Sabah FA record

They have won 7 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
They average 2.8 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
They have kept 5 clean sheets in 10 matches.
Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.

Sabah FA vs Borussia Dortmund head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Sabah FA vs Borussia Dortmund odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 10.0%, draw 15.9%, away 74.1%.

Bookmaker	1	X	2
1xBet	9.95	6.10	1.33
Bet365	9.50	6.25	1.27
BetVictor	9.00	6.00	1.29
Betano	9.25	6.00	1.33
Betfair	10.00	6.00	1.29
Dafabet	9.60	6.20	1.29
Marathonbet	9.80	6.00	1.31
Pinnacle	10.35	6.18	1.28
SBO	8.87	5.70	1.28
William Hill	9.00	5.50	1.30

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 9.55 ▲ +2.06

X 6.00 ▲ +0.50

2 1.29 ▼ -0.04

12 snapshots recorded, from 2026-10-15T08:10:01Z.