Bundesliga
·
Full time
·Matchday 6
Union Berlin
vs
Borussia Dortmund
0 – 0 Full time
| 1′ | Ethan Nwaneri | ||
| 7′ | Waldemar Anton | ||
| 14′ | Serhou Guirassy | ||
| 33′ | Janik Haberer | ||
| 35′ | Tom Rothe | ||
| 45′ | Kastriot ImeriEmmanuel Latte Lath | ||
| 62′ | Maximilian BeierKonstantinos Karetsas | ||
| 62′ | Ethan NwaneriFábio Silva | ||
| 63′ | Tim Skarke | ||
| 70′ | Tim SkarkeMekhi Gray | ||
| 70′ | Konstantinos KaretsasMathis Albert | ||
| 76′ | Janik HabererChristopher Trimmel | ||
| 76′ | András SchäferAljoscha Kemlein | ||
| 90′ | Woo-Yeong JeongLinus Güther |
Union Berlin
18%
Draw
22%
Borussia Dortmund
61%
Match stats
| 11 | Shots | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Shots on target | 2 |
| 38 | Possession % | 62 |
| 5 | Corners | 5 |
| 13 | Fouls | 12 |
| 0 | Offsides | 1 |
| 2 | Saves | 0 |
| 246 | Accurate passes | 500 |
Union Berlin vs Borussia Dortmund overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Union Berlin vs Borussia Dortmund
| Probability | Union Berlin | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 16.2% | 22.3% | 61.5% |
| Market | 18.1% | 21.6% | 60.3% |
| Final | 17.6% | 21.7% | 60.6% |
| Edge | -2.0% | +0.8% | +1.2% |
Why Borussia Dortmund
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.31 vs 1.29.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
95%
2+ goals
88%
3+ goals
67%
No goals
5%
Union Berlin and Borussia Dortmund expected goals
Union Berlin
1.29
Borussia Dortmund
2.31
Total expected goals: 3.60
Union Berlin and Borussia Dortmund attack and defence ratings
Union Berlin
Attack
0.96 -4%
Defence
1.28 +28%
Borussia Dortmund
Attack
1.24 +24%
Defence
0.72 -28%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Union Berlin vs Borussia Dortmund: result vs prediction
Union Berlin 0 – 0 Borussia Dortmund
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 6 fixtures
- Eintracht Frankfurt vs FC Cologne
- Werder Bremen vs SC Paderborn 07
- FC Schalke 04 v Mainz 05 — match page
- Hamburger SV vs VfB Stuttgart — team news & stats
- SV Elversberg v Augsburg — match page
- Bayern Munich vs RasenBallsport Leipzig — team news & stats
- Bayer Leverkusen vs Freiburg — team news & stats
- Borussia M.Gladbach v Hoffenheim — match page
Before and after this match
Union Berlin vs Borussia Dortmund markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Borussia Dortmund | 60.6% | 1.65 | +1.2% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 67.4% | 1.48 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 63.5% | 1.58 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 82.4% | 1.21 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Borussia Dortmund win | 41.0% | 2.44 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Union Berlin | 17.6% |
| Draw | 21.7% | |
| Borussia Dortmund | 60.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 67.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 32.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 63.5% |
| No | 36.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 39.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 78.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 82.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Borussia Dortmund win | 41.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.5% | |
| Loss | 38.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 10.0% |
| 1-2 | 9.6% | |
| 0-2 | 8.3% |
Union Berlin vs Borussia Dortmund stats
Union Berlin and Borussia Dortmund recent form
| Union Berlin |
WLLLDW |
| Borussia Dortmund |
LDWWWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Union Berlin and Borussia Dortmund going into this match
Union Berlin record
- They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
Borussia Dortmund record
- They have won 4 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 2.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 5 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- 58% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Union Berlin vs Borussia Dortmund head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
2Union Berlin wins
0Draws
8Borussia Dortmund wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-24 | Union Berlin | Borussia Dortmund | Bundesliga | 0-3 |
| 2025-08-31 | Borussia Dortmund | Union Berlin | Bundesliga | 3-0 |
| 2025-02-22 | Borussia Dortmund | Union Berlin | Bundesliga | 6-0 |
| 2024-10-05 | Union Berlin | Borussia Dortmund | Bundesliga | 2-1 |
| 2024-03-02 | Union Berlin | Borussia Dortmund | Bundesliga | 0-2 |
| 2023-10-07 | Borussia Dortmund | Union Berlin | Bundesliga | 4-2 |
| 2023-04-08 | Borussia Dortmund | Union Berlin | Bundesliga | 2-1 |
| 2022-10-16 | Union Berlin | Borussia Dortmund | Bundesliga | 2-0 |
| 2022-02-13 | Union Berlin | Borussia Dortmund | Bundesliga | 0-3 |
| 2021-09-19 | Borussia Dortmund | Union Berlin | Bundesliga | 4-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Union Berlin vs Borussia Dortmund odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 18.0%, draw 21.7%, away 60.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 5.34 | 4.62 | 1.63 |
| Bet365 | 5.50 | 4.20 | 1.60 |
| BetVictor | 5.25 | 4.40 | 1.55 |
| Betano | 5.40 | 4.35 | 1.57 |
| Betfair | 5.50 | 4.40 | 1.57 |
| Dafabet | 5.20 | 4.50 | 1.60 |
| Marathonbet | 5.20 | 4.50 | 1.59 |
| Pinnacle | 5.41 | 4.50 | 1.59 |
| SBO | 4.57 | 3.97 | 1.53 |
| William Hill | 4.80 | 4.20 | 1.57 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
5.29 ▼ -0.71
X
4.45 ▼ -0.30
2
1.59 ▲ +0.15
53 snapshots recorded, from .