Eintracht Frankfurt
vs
FC Cologne
Garuda Lions Prediction: Eintracht Frankfurt
2 – 1 Predicted score · 7% model probability
Eintracht Frankfurt vs FC Cologne overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Eintracht Frankfurt vs FC Cologne
| Probability | Eintracht Frankfurt | Draw | FC Cologne |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 52.4% | 20.8% | 26.8% |
| Market | 49.0% | 23.3% | 27.7% |
| Final | 49.9% | 22.6% | 27.5% |
| Edge | +3.3% | -2.4% | -0.9% |
Why Eintracht Frankfurt
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.87 vs 1.88.
- The market prices Eintracht Frankfurt below the model: +3.3 percentage points of edge.
Best available price on the pick: 2.00, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Eintracht Frankfurt and FC Cologne expected goals
Total expected goals: 4.75
Eintracht Frankfurt and FC Cologne attack and defence ratings
Eintracht Frankfurt
FC Cologne
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Before and after this match
Eintracht Frankfurt vs FC Cologne markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 49.9% | 2.00 | +3.3% | 2.00 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 82.2% | 1.22 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 79.4% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 77.4% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 47.6% | 2.10 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 49.9% |
| Draw | 22.6% | |
| FC Cologne | 27.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 82.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 17.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 79.4% |
| No | 20.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 72.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 77.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 50.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Eintracht Frankfurt win | 34.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.0% | |
| Loss | 47.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-1 | 7.2% |
| 2-2 | 6.8% | |
| 1-1 | 6.7% |
Eintracht Frankfurt vs FC Cologne stats
Eintracht Frankfurt and FC Cologne recent form
| Eintracht Frankfurt |
DWLDWD |
| FC Cologne |
LDLWWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Eintracht Frankfurt vs FC Cologne head-to-head
Last 4 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-05 | Eintracht Frankfurt | FC Cologne | Bundesliga | 2-2 |
| 2025-11-22 | FC Cologne | Eintracht Frankfurt | Bundesliga | 3-4 |
| 2024-02-03 | FC Cologne | Eintracht Frankfurt | Bundesliga | 2-0 |
| 2023-09-03 | Eintracht Frankfurt | FC Cologne | Bundesliga | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Eintracht Frankfurt vs FC Cologne odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 49.0%, draw 23.3%, away 27.7%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.00 | 4.30 | 3.52 |
| Bet365 | 1.90 | 4.00 | 3.40 |
| BetVictor | 1.87 | 3.90 | 3.25 |
| Betano | 1.98 | 4.00 | 3.40 |
| Betfair | 1.85 | 4.10 | 3.40 |
| Dafabet | 1.95 | 4.10 | 3.40 |
| Marathonbet | 1.95 | 4.20 | 3.44 |
| Pinnacle | 1.88 | 4.17 | 3.56 |
| SBO | 1.93 | 3.61 | 2.99 |
| William Hill | 1.91 | 3.90 | 3.30 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
38 snapshots recorded, from .