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Bundesliga · Full time ·Matchday 6

Eintracht Frankfurt vs FC Cologne

1 – 0 Full time

24′Mario Götze
39′Lilian Brassier
45′Ísak Bergmann Jóhannesson
68′Ísak Bergmann JóhannessonPaul Okon-Engstler
68′Linton MainaMikey Moore
68′Joel SchmiedAlessio Castro-Montes
71′Mario GötzeNoel Aseko
71′Nnamdi CollinsAnsgar Knauff
77′Younes Ebnoutalib
82′Jonathan BurkardtElias Niklas Baum
84′Said El MalaReigan Heskey
84′Sebastian Soraas SebulonsenLuca Waldschmidt
90′Borna Sosa

Deutsche Bank Park, FrankfurtReferee: Benjamin Brand

Eintracht Frankfurt 50%
Draw 22%
FC Cologne 28%

Confidence: High  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

15 Shots 9
7 Shots on target 3
56 Possession % 44
7 Corners 3
8 Fouls 17
1 Offsides 0
3 Saves 6
360 Accurate passes 270

Eintracht Frankfurt vs FC Cologne overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Eintracht Frankfurt vs FC Cologne

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityEintracht FrankfurtDrawFC Cologne
Model44.8%21.2%34.1%
Market51.8%22.4%25.8%
Final50.0%22.1%27.9%
Edge-1.7%-0.3%+2.1%

Confidence: High · Edge = Final minus Market

Why Eintracht Frankfurt

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.72 vs 2.15.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Eintracht Fran ↓ / FC Cologne → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 6% 6% 4% 4% 2 6% 7% 5% 4% 3 5% 6% 4% 4% 4+ 6% 6% 4% 4%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 98%
2+ goals 95%
3+ goals 84%
No goals 2%

Eintracht Frankfurt and FC Cologne expected goals

Eintracht Frankfurt 2.72
FC Cologne 2.15

Total expected goals: 4.87

Eintracht Frankfurt and FC Cologne attack and defence ratings

Eintracht Frankfurt

Attack 1.40 +40%
Defence 1.27 +27%

FC Cologne

Attack 1.16 +16%
Defence 1.05 +5%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Eintracht Frankfurt vs FC Cologne: result vs prediction

Eintracht Frankfurt 1 – 0 FC Cologne

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 6 fixtures

Bundesliga

Before and after this match

Eintracht Frankfurt vs FC Cologne markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Eintracht Frankfurt 50.0% 2.00 -1.7% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 83.7% 1.19 — —
Both teams to score Yes 81.8% 1.22 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 77.9% 1.28 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 55.2% 1.81 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Eintracht Frankfurt50.0%
Draw22.1%
FC Cologne27.9%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.583.7%
Under 2.516.3%
Both teams to scoreYes81.8%
No18.2%
Double chance1X (home or draw)72.1%
12 (either side)77.9%
X2 (draw or away)50.0%
Handicap -1Eintracht Frankfurt win27.9%
Push (exactly one goal)16.9%
Loss55.2%
Correct score (top 3)2-27.0%
2-16.5%
1-16.4%

Eintracht Frankfurt vs FC Cologne stats

Eintracht Frankfurt and FC Cologne recent form

newest first
Eintracht Frankfurt LDWLDW
FC Cologne WLDLWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Eintracht Frankfurt and FC Cologne going into this match

league record before kick-off

Eintracht Frankfurt record

  • They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
  • 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

FC Cologne record

  • They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.

Eintracht Frankfurt vs FC Cologne head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

2Eintracht Frankfurt wins 5Draws 3FC Cologne wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-04-05Eintracht FrankfurtFC CologneBundesliga2-2
2025-11-22FC CologneEintracht FrankfurtBundesliga3-4
2024-02-03FC CologneEintracht FrankfurtBundesliga2-0
2023-09-03Eintracht FrankfurtFC CologneBundesliga1-1
2023-02-12FC CologneEintracht FrankfurtBundesliga3-0
2022-08-21Eintracht FrankfurtFC CologneBundesliga1-1
2022-02-19FC CologneEintracht FrankfurtBundesliga1-0
2021-09-25Eintracht FrankfurtFC CologneBundesliga1-1
2021-02-14Eintracht FrankfurtFC CologneBundesliga2-0
2020-10-18FC CologneEintracht FrankfurtBundesliga1-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Eintracht Frankfurt vs FC Cologne odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 51.5%, draw 22.7%, away 25.9%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.92 4.37 3.76
Bet365 1.83 4.20 3.75
BetVictor 1.83 4.33 3.50
Betano 1.88 4.40 3.75
Betfair 1.85 4.10 3.90
Dafabet 1.99 4.10 3.35
Marathonbet 1.89 4.30 3.70
Pinnacle 1.87 4.30 3.80
SBO 1.87 3.79 3.23
William Hill 1.85 4.00 3.50

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.86 ▼ -0.09
X 4.30 ▲ +0.40
2 3.73 ▲ +0.43

52 snapshots recorded, from .