Borussia Dortmund
vs
Eintracht Frankfurt
Garuda Lions Prediction: Borussia Dortmund
2 – 1 Predicted score · 9% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.72 vs 1.42.
- RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — Borussia Dortmund is the favourite, not a value bet.
Borussia Dortmund vs Eintracht Frankfurt overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Borussia Dortmund vs Eintracht Frankfurt
| Probability | Borussia Dortmund | Draw | Eintracht Frankfurt |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 58.6% | 21.6% | 19.8% |
| Market | 64.4% | 19.1% | 16.6% |
| Final | 62.9% | 19.7% | 17.4% |
| Edge | -1.4% | +0.6% | +0.8% |
Why Borussia Dortmund
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.72 vs 1.42.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Best available price on the pick: 1.50, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -5.6% per unit staked (our 62.9% × 1.50 − 1).
Borussia Dortmund vs Eintracht Frankfurt match preview
Borussia Dortmund enters this match with a strong probability of winning at 63%, while Eintracht Frankfurt has a lower chance at 17%. The expected goals suggest a dominant performance from Dortmund, with a forecast of 2.71 compared to Frankfurt's 1.42. Recent form shows Dortmund with two wins and a draw in their last three matches, while Frankfurt has mixed results, including two wins and a draw in their last six.
The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 2-1, occurring at a rate of 9%. Additionally, there is a 74% chance of over 2.5 goals being scored, and both teams are expected to score in 71% of scenarios. In their last seven encounters, Dortmund has secured three wins, while Frankfurt has one victory and three draws.
Borussia Dortmund and Eintracht Frankfurt team news
Borussia Dortmund news
- E. Can — knee injury
- G. Konstantelias — knee injury
- J. Lerma — muscle injury
- K. Karetsas — ankle injury
- K. Prates — muscle injury
Eintracht Frankfurt news
- J. Ngankam — hamstring injury
- M. Pimpong — muscle injury
Reported injuries and suspensions from our data provider. Confirmed line-ups appear ~40 minutes before kickoff.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Borussia Dortmund and Eintracht Frankfurt expected goals
Total expected goals: 4.15
Borussia Dortmund and Eintracht Frankfurt attack and defence ratings
Borussia Dortmund
Eintracht Frankfurt
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 7 fixtures
- VfB Stuttgart v Borussia M.Gladbach — match page
- Mainz 05 vs Werder Bremen
- Augsburg vs Union Berlin
- RasenBallsport Leipzig vs SV Elversberg — team news & stats
- SC Paderborn 07 vs Hamburger SV
- FC Cologne v FC Schalke 04 — match page
- Hoffenheim vs Bayer Leverkusen — team news & stats
- Freiburg vs Bayern Munich — team news & stats
Before and after this match
Borussia Dortmund vs Eintracht Frankfurt markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Borussia Dortmund | 62.9% | 1.59 | -1.4% | 1.50 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 74.3% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 70.8% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 82.6% | 1.21 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 41.4% | 2.42 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Borussia Dortmund | 62.9% |
| Draw | 19.7% | |
| Eintracht Frankfurt | 17.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 74.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 25.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 70.8% |
| No | 29.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 82.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 80.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 37.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Borussia Dortmund win | 39.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.5% | |
| Loss | 41.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-1 | 8.9% |
| 1-1 | 8.7% | |
| 3-1 | 7.3% |
Borussia Dortmund vs Eintracht Frankfurt stats
Borussia Dortmund and Eintracht Frankfurt recent form
| Borussia Dortmund |
WDLDWW |
| Eintracht Frankfurt |
WLDWLD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Borussia Dortmund and Eintracht Frankfurt season so far
Borussia Dortmund record
- They have won 4 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- They average 2.3 goals per game at home against 1.3 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 6 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- 47% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Eintracht Frankfurt record
- They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game on the road against 1.3 at home.
Borussia Dortmund vs Eintracht Frankfurt head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-08 | Borussia Dortmund | Eintracht Frankfurt | Bundesliga | 3-2 |
| 2026-01-09 | Eintracht Frankfurt | Borussia Dortmund | Bundesliga | 3-3 |
| 2025-10-28 | Eintracht Frankfurt | Borussia Dortmund | DFB Pokal | 1-1 |
| 2025-01-17 | Eintracht Frankfurt | Borussia Dortmund | Bundesliga | 2-0 |
| 2024-08-24 | Borussia Dortmund | Eintracht Frankfurt | Bundesliga | 2-0 |
| 2024-03-17 | Borussia Dortmund | Eintracht Frankfurt | Bundesliga | 3-1 |
| 2023-10-29 | Eintracht Frankfurt | Borussia Dortmund | Bundesliga | 3-3 |
| 2023-04-22 | Borussia Dortmund | Eintracht Frankfurt | Bundesliga | 4-0 |
| 2022-10-29 | Eintracht Frankfurt | Borussia Dortmund | Bundesliga | 1-2 |
| 2022-01-08 | Eintracht Frankfurt | Borussia Dortmund | Bundesliga | 2-3 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Borussia Dortmund vs Eintracht Frankfurt odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 64.3%, draw 19.0%, away 16.7%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.48 | 5.38 | 6.40 |
| Bet365 | 1.48 | 5.00 | 5.75 |
| BetVictor | 1.40 | 4.75 | 5.75 |
| Betano | 1.50 | 5.00 | 5.60 |
| Betfair | 1.47 | 5.00 | 5.50 |
| Dafabet | 1.49 | 5.20 | 5.60 |
| Marathonbet | 1.46 | 5.30 | 6.30 |
| Pinnacle | 1.48 | 5.20 | 5.87 |
| SBO | 1.42 | 4.46 | 5.03 |
| William Hill | 1.44 | 4.80 | 5.50 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
24 snapshots recorded, from .