DFB Pokal · 2026-10-27T17:00:00Z UTC Full time ·Round of 32

Hamburger SV vs Eintracht Frankfurt

1 – 3 Full time

17′			Nnamdi Collins
33′			Mario Götze
45′			Sebastiaan BornauwJason Bissi-Mouelle
50′			Nnamdi CollinsKeita Kosugi
56′			Robin Koch
69′			Jeremiaha Maluze
71′			Jonathan Burkardt
72′			Jonathan BurkardtYounes Ebnoutalib
72′			Mario GötzeNoel Aseko
73′			Albert GrönbaekOtto Emerson Stange
73′			Albert Sambi LokongaKofi Jeremy Amoako
74′			Miro MuheimPatson Daka
75′			Younes Ebnoutalib
79′			Terem Moffi
82′			Terem MoffiAlexander Rossing Lelesiit
84′			Raphael Onyedika Nwadike
90′			Ritsu DoanLove Arrhov

Volksparkstadion, HamburgerReferee: Tobias Stieler

Hamburger SV

24%

Draw

22%

Eintracht Frankfurt

55%

Confidence: High · blended with market odds

Match stats

15	Shots	12
6	Shots on target	5
48	Possession %	52
5	Corners	3
9	Fouls	15
1	Offsides	2
2	Saves	5
318	Accurate passes	373

Hamburger SV vs Eintracht Frankfurt overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Hamburger SV vs Eintracht Frankfurt

model vs market on the 1X2

Probability	Hamburger SV	Draw	Eintracht Frankfurt
Model	5.8%	11.6%	82.6%
Market	29.5%	25.2%	45.3%
Final	23.6%	21.8%	54.6%
Edge	-5.9%	-3.4%	+9.3%

Confidence: High · Edge = Final minus Market

Why Eintracht Frankfurt

Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 3.22 vs 0.84.
The market prices Eintracht Frankfurt below our published probability: +9.3 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals

98%

2+ goals

92%

3+ goals

77%

No goals

Hamburger SV and Eintracht Frankfurt expected goals

Hamburger SV

0.84

Eintracht Frankfurt

3.22

Total expected goals: 4.06

Hamburger SV and Eintracht Frankfurt attack and defence ratings

Hamburger SV

Attack

0.77 -23%

Defence

1.02 +2%

Eintracht Frankfurt

Attack

1.17 +17%

Defence

1.12 +12%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Hamburger SV vs Eintracht Frankfurt: result vs prediction

Hamburger SV 1 – 3 Eintracht Frankfurt

Market	Outcome
1X2 pick	✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick	✓ Correct
BTTS pick	✓ Correct

Other Round of 32 fixtures

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SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach vs Augsburg · 2026-10-27
Rot-Weiß Essen v RasenBallsport Leipzig — match page · 2026-10-27
Borussia M.Gladbach vs Karlsruher SC — team news & stats · 2026-10-27
Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen · 2026-10-27
FC Cologne vs Union Berlin — team news & stats · 2026-10-27
SV Elversberg vs Darmstadt · 2026-10-27
Freiburg v Wolfsburg — match page · 2026-10-28

Before and after this match

Hamburger SV, previous: SC Paderborn 07 v Hamburger SV analysis
Hamburger SV, next: Eintracht Frankfurt vs Hamburger SV prediction
Eintracht Frankfurt, previous: Borussia Dortmund – Eintracht Frankfurt, 2026-10-24
Eintracht Frankfurt, next: Eintracht Frankfurt vs Hamburger SV prediction

Hamburger SV vs Eintracht Frankfurt markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market

Market	Model pick	Probability	Fair odds	Edge	Best price
1X2	Eintracht Frankfurt	54.6%	1.83	+9.3%	—
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	77.1%	1.30	—	—
Both teams to score	Yes	55.0%	1.82	—	—
Double chance	12 (either side)	78.2%	1.28	—	—
Handicap -1	Eintracht Frankfurt win	65.7%	1.52	—	—

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid

Market	Selection	Probability
1X2	Hamburger SV	23.6%
	Draw	21.8%
	Eintracht Frankfurt	54.6%
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	77.1%
	Under 2.5	22.9%
Both teams to score	Yes	55.0%
	No	45.0%
Double chance	1X (home or draw)	45.4%
	12 (either side)	78.2%
	X2 (draw or away)	76.4%
Handicap -1	Eintracht Frankfurt win	65.7%
	Push (exactly one goal)	16.9%
	Loss	17.4%
Correct score (top 3)	0-3	9.6%
	0-2	8.9%
	1-3	8.1%

Hamburger SV vs Eintracht Frankfurt stats

Hamburger SV and Eintracht Frankfurt recent form

newest first

Hamburger SV	LWWWLL
Eintracht Frankfurt	LWLDWL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Hamburger SV vs Eintracht Frankfurt head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

1Hamburger SV wins 4Draws 5Eintracht Frankfurt wins

Date	Home	Away	Competition	Score
2026-05-02	Eintracht Frankfurt	Hamburger SV	Bundesliga	1-2
2025-12-20	Hamburger SV	Eintracht Frankfurt	Bundesliga	1-1
2018-05-05	Eintracht Frankfurt	Hamburger SV	Bundesliga	3-0
2017-12-12	Hamburger SV	Eintracht Frankfurt	Bundesliga	1-2
2017-03-18	Eintracht Frankfurt	Hamburger SV	Bundesliga	0-0
2016-10-21	Hamburger SV	Eintracht Frankfurt	Bundesliga	0-3
2016-02-19	Eintracht Frankfurt	Hamburger SV	Bundesliga	0-0
2015-09-19	Hamburger SV	Eintracht Frankfurt	Bundesliga	0-0
2015-02-28	Eintracht Frankfurt	Hamburger SV	Bundesliga	2-1
2014-09-28	Hamburger SV	Eintracht Frankfurt	Bundesliga	1-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Hamburger SV vs Eintracht Frankfurt odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 29.5%, draw 25.2%, away 45.3%.

Bookmaker	1	X	2
1xBet	3.16	3.68	2.08
Bet365	3.20	3.70	2.10
BetVictor	3.00	3.80	2.00
Betano	3.15	3.90	2.10
Betfair	3.20	3.60	1.95
Dafabet	3.30	3.85	2.10
Marathonbet	3.15	3.68	2.06
Pinnacle	3.43	3.83	2.05
SBO	2.91	3.49	1.92
William Hill	3.10	3.50	2.05

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 3.16 ▲ +0.41

X 3.69 ▲ +0.13

2 2.05 ▼ -0.25

14 snapshots recorded, from 2026-10-21T08:10:02Z.