DFB Pokal · Full time ·Round of 32

Borussia M.Gladbach vs Karlsruher SC

2 – 0 Full time

7′Robin Hack
39′Philipp Sander
45′Sandro TremouletJason Ponente-Ramirez
45′Hugo BolinLukas Ullrich
49′Lukas Ullrich
60′Lilian EgloffNoel Eichinger
61′Tim CivejaLouey Ben Farhat
69′Santeri VäänänenDanyal Hakan Zor
72′Zento UnoMathieu Nguefack
77′Shuto MachinoKo Itakura
86′Deniz OfliViktor Bergh
86′Robin HackWael Mohya

Borussia-Park, MonchengladbachReferee: Florian Lechner

Borussia M.Gladbach 55%
Draw 19%
Karlsruher SC 26%

Confidence: Medium  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

4 Shots 15
3 Shots on target 4
36 Possession % 64
1 Corners 6
7 Fouls 11
0 Offsides 1
4 Saves 1
242 Accurate passes 502

Borussia M.Gladbach vs Karlsruher SC overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Borussia M.Gladbach vs Karlsruher SC

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityBorussia M.GladbachDrawKarlsruher SC
Model16.0%20.1%64.0%
Market68.6%18.2%13.2%
Final55.4%18.7%25.9%
Edge-13.2%+0.5%+12.7%

Confidence: Medium · Edge = Final minus Market

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Borussia M.Gla ↓ / Karlsruher SC → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 6% 8% 6% 7% 1 9% 10% 8% 8% 2 6% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 96%
2+ goals 87%
3+ goals 68%
No goals 4%

Borussia M.Gladbach and Karlsruher SC expected goals

Borussia M.Gladbach 1.16
Karlsruher SC 2.35

Total expected goals: 3.51

Borussia M.Gladbach and Karlsruher SC attack and defence ratings

Borussia M.Gladbach

Attack 0.98 -2%
Defence 1.12 +12%

Karlsruher SC

Attack 0.78 -22%
Defence 1.18 +18%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Borussia M.Gladbach vs Karlsruher SC: result vs prediction

Borussia M.Gladbach 2 – 0 Karlsruher SC

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Round of 32 fixtures

DFB Pokal

Before and after this match

Borussia M.Gladbach vs Karlsruher SC markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Borussia M.Gladbach 55.4% 1.80 -13.2% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 68.0% 1.47 — —
Both teams to score Yes 62.3% 1.60 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 81.3% 1.23 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 83.4% 1.20 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Borussia M.Gladbach55.4%
Draw18.7%
Karlsruher SC25.9%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.568.0%
Under 2.532.0%
Both teams to scoreYes62.3%
No37.7%
Double chance1X (home or draw)74.1%
12 (either side)81.3%
X2 (draw or away)44.6%
Handicap -1Borussia M.Gladbach win6.5%
Push (exactly one goal)10.1%
Loss83.4%
Correct score (top 3)1-29.6%
1-18.9%
0-28.4%

Borussia M.Gladbach vs Karlsruher SC stats

Borussia M.Gladbach and Karlsruher SC recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Borussia M.Gladbach vs Karlsruher SC head-to-head

Last 1 meetings

1Borussia M.Gladbach wins 0Draws 0Karlsruher SC wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2025-10-28Borussia M.GladbachKarlsruher SCDFB Pokal3-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Borussia M.Gladbach vs Karlsruher SC odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 68.6%, draw 18.2%, away 13.2%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.35 5.30 7.09
Bet365 1.36 5.00 8.00
BetVictor 1.33 5.00 7.00
Betano 1.37 5.20 7.80
Betfair 1.30 5.00 7.00
Dafabet 1.40 5.40 7.00
Marathonbet 1.34 5.30 7.10
Pinnacle 1.37 5.55 7.46
SBO 1.33 4.54 5.99
William Hill 1.36 5.00 6.50

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.35 ▲ +0.05
X 5.10 ▼ -0.15
2 7.04 ▼ -0.96

14 snapshots recorded, from .