FC Cologne
vs
Union Berlin
5 – 0 Full time
| 32′ | Said El Mala | ||
| 45′ | Tom RotheDerrick Köhn | ||
| 48′ | Leopold Querfeld | ||
| 51′ | Linton Maina | ||
| 57′ | Tim SkarkeLivan Burcu | ||
| 58′ | Mekhi GrayEmmanuel Latte Lath | ||
| 60′ | Said El Mala | ||
| 63′ | Alessio Castro-MontesSebastian Soraas Sebulonsen | ||
| 68′ | András SchäferAljoscha Kemlein | ||
| 71′ | Linton MainaJan Thielmann | ||
| 72′ | Mikey MooreÍsak Bergmann Jóhannesson | ||
| 75′ | Woo-Yeong JeongMarin Ljubičić | ||
| 77′ | Marin Ljubičić | ||
| 78′ | Ísak Bergmann Jóhannesson | ||
| 81′ | Borna SosaGideon Mensah | ||
| 81′ | Said El MalaReigan Heskey | ||
| 84′ | Sebastian Soraas Sebulonsen | ||
| 88′ | Sebastian Soraas Sebulonsen | ||
| 90′ | Livan Burcu |
Match stats
| 14 | Shots | 17 |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Shots on target | 4 |
| 55 | Possession % | 45 |
| 3 | Corners | 4 |
| 8 | Fouls | 16 |
| 0 | Offsides | 1 |
| 4 | Saves | 3 |
| 417 | Accurate passes | 321 |
FC Cologne vs Union Berlin overview
Garuda Lions analysis: FC Cologne vs Union Berlin
| Probability | FC Cologne | Draw | Union Berlin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 18.1% | 22.9% | 59.0% |
| Market | 51.8% | 24.9% | 23.2% |
| Final | 43.4% | 24.4% | 32.2% |
| Edge | -8.4% | -0.5% | +8.9% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
FC Cologne and Union Berlin expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.10
FC Cologne and Union Berlin attack and defence ratings
FC Cologne
Union Berlin
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
FC Cologne vs Union Berlin: result vs prediction
FC Cologne 5 – 0 Union Berlin
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Round of 32 fixtures
- Hamburger SV vs Eintracht Frankfurt
- Bochum v Mainz 05 — match page
- SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach vs Augsburg
- Rot-Weiß Essen v RasenBallsport Leipzig — match page
- Borussia M.Gladbach vs Karlsruher SC — team news & stats
- Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen
- SV Elversberg vs Darmstadt
- Freiburg v Wolfsburg — match page
Before and after this match
FC Cologne vs Union Berlin markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FC Cologne | 43.4% | 2.31 | -8.4% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 59.8% | 1.67 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57.8% | 1.73 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 75.6% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 81.3% | 1.23 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FC Cologne | 43.4% |
| Draw | 24.4% | |
| Union Berlin | 32.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 59.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 40.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57.8% |
| No | 42.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 67.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 56.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | FC Cologne win | 7.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 11.5% | |
| Loss | 81.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 10.7% |
| 1-2 | 9.9% | |
| 0-2 | 9.4% |
FC Cologne vs Union Berlin stats
FC Cologne and Union Berlin recent form
| FC Cologne |
DLWLDL |
| Union Berlin |
DDWLLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
FC Cologne vs Union Berlin head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-02 | Union Berlin | FC Cologne | Bundesliga | 2-2 |
| 2025-12-20 | FC Cologne | Union Berlin | Bundesliga | 0-1 |
| 2024-05-11 | FC Cologne | Union Berlin | Bundesliga | 3-2 |
| 2023-12-20 | Union Berlin | FC Cologne | Bundesliga | 2-0 |
| 2023-03-04 | Union Berlin | FC Cologne | Bundesliga | 0-0 |
| 2022-09-11 | FC Cologne | Union Berlin | Bundesliga | 0-1 |
| 2022-04-01 | Union Berlin | FC Cologne | Bundesliga | 1-0 |
| 2021-11-07 | FC Cologne | Union Berlin | Bundesliga | 2-2 |
| 2021-03-13 | Union Berlin | FC Cologne | Bundesliga | 2-1 |
| 2020-11-22 | FC Cologne | Union Berlin | Bundesliga | 1-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
FC Cologne vs Union Berlin odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 51.8%, draw 24.9%, away 23.2%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.80 | 3.78 | 4.03 |
| Bet365 | 1.83 | 3.50 | 4.20 |
| BetVictor | 1.80 | 3.70 | 3.75 |
| Betano | 1.78 | 3.80 | 4.45 |
| Betfair | 1.73 | 3.60 | 4.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.89 | 3.80 | 4.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.78 | 3.78 | 4.05 |
| Pinnacle | 1.85 | 3.88 | 4.08 |
| SBO | 1.79 | 3.32 | 3.49 |
| William Hill | 1.80 | 3.60 | 3.80 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
14 snapshots recorded, from .