Rot-Weiß Essen
vs
RasenBallsport Leipzig
1 – 2 Full time
| 9′ | Lucas Brumme | ||
| 23′ | Dickson Abiama | ||
| 34′ | Nicolas Seiwald | ||
| 44′ | Nicolas Seiwald | ||
| 45′ | Andrija MaksimovićNeil El Aynaoui | ||
| 45′ | Rocco ReitzBrajan Gruda | ||
| 62′ | Ezechiel BanzuziChristoph Baumgartner | ||
| 62′ | Ridle BakuAntonio Nusa | ||
| 65′ | Lucas BrummeEkin Celebi | ||
| 73′ | Christoph Baumgartner | ||
| 74′ | Michael KostkaNick Bätzner | ||
| 76′ | Neil El Aynaoui | ||
| 77′ | Nick Bätzner | ||
| 78′ | Christoph Baumgartner | ||
| 80′ | Noah PeschLuca Bazzoli | ||
| 80′ | Dickson AbiamaF Vasic | ||
| 82′ | Martín Gastón Demichelis | ||
| 82′ | Christoph Baumgartner | ||
| 87′ | Rômulo José Cardoso da CruzBenjamin Henrichs | ||
| 90′ | Ørjan Nyland |
Match stats
| 9 | Shots | 11 |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shots on target | 2 |
| 37 | Possession % | 63 |
| 5 | Corners | 7 |
| 15 | Fouls | 10 |
| 2 | Offsides | 2 |
| 189 | Accurate passes | 396 |
Rot-Weiß Essen vs RasenBallsport Leipzig overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Rot-Weiß Essen vs RasenBallsport Leipzig
| Probability | Rot-Weiß Essen | Draw | RasenBallsport Leipzig |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 16.8% | 22.7% | 60.5% |
| Market | 7.1% | 11.9% | 81.0% |
| Final | 9.5% | 14.6% | 75.9% |
| Edge | +2.4% | +2.7% | -5.1% |
Why RasenBallsport Leipzig
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.04 vs 1.00.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Rot-Weiß Essen and RasenBallsport Leipzig expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.04
Rot-Weiß Essen and RasenBallsport Leipzig attack and defence ratings
Rot-Weiß Essen
RasenBallsport Leipzig
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Rot-Weiß Essen vs RasenBallsport Leipzig: result vs prediction
Rot-Weiß Essen 1 – 2 RasenBallsport Leipzig
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Round of 32 fixtures
- Hamburger SV vs Eintracht Frankfurt
- Bochum v Mainz 05 — match page
- SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach vs Augsburg
- Borussia M.Gladbach vs Karlsruher SC — team news & stats
- Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen
- FC Cologne vs Union Berlin — team news & stats
- SV Elversberg vs Darmstadt
- Freiburg v Wolfsburg — match page
Before and after this match
Rot-Weiß Essen vs RasenBallsport Leipzig markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | RasenBallsport Leipzig | 75.9% | 1.32 | -5.1% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 58.7% | 1.70 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56.0% | 1.79 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 90.5% | 1.11 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 39.5% | 2.53 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Rot-Weiß Essen | 9.5% |
| Draw | 14.6% | |
| RasenBallsport Leipzig | 75.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 58.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 41.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56.0% |
| No | 44.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 24.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 85.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 90.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | RasenBallsport Leipzig win | 37.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.7% | |
| Loss | 39.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 10.7% |
| 1-2 | 10.0% | |
| 0-2 | 9.9% |
Rot-Weiß Essen vs RasenBallsport Leipzig stats
Rot-Weiß Essen and RasenBallsport Leipzig recent form
| Rot-Weiß Essen |
WLWDDW |
| RasenBallsport Leipzig |
WLLWWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Rot-Weiß Essen vs RasenBallsport Leipzig head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-08-17 | Rot-Weiß Essen | RasenBallsport Leipzig | DFB Pokal | 1-4 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Rot-Weiß Essen vs RasenBallsport Leipzig odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 7.1%, draw 11.9%, away 81.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 14.50 | 8.10 | 1.13 |
| Bet365 | 12.00 | 8.50 | 1.17 |
| BetVictor | 13.00 | 7.50 | 1.13 |
| Betano | 12.00 | 7.30 | 1.18 |
| Betfair | 13.00 | 7.50 | 1.11 |
| Dafabet | 14.00 | 8.60 | 1.18 |
| Marathonbet | 14.50 | 8.10 | 1.13 |
| Pinnacle | 14.91 | 8.61 | 1.16 |
| SBO | 9.45 | 6.38 | 1.14 |
| William Hill | 13.00 | 7.50 | 1.15 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
14 snapshots recorded, from .