SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach
vs
Augsburg
2 – 4 Full time
| 13′ | Rodrigo Ribeiro | ||
| 21′ | Rodrigo Ribeiro | ||
| 22′ | Luca Damiano Molinari | ||
| 46′ | V. Celiktas | ||
| 62′ | V. Celiktas | ||
| 64′ | Niklas Pollex | ||
| 65′ | Seol Young-wooAnton Kade | ||
| 65′ | Mert KömürArijon Ibrahimovic | ||
| 68′ | Fabian EiseleChristian Mistl | ||
| 69′ | Arijon Ibrahimovic | ||
| 72′ | Arijon Ibrahimovic | ||
| 74′ | Rodrigo RibeiroMichael Gregoritsch | ||
| 74′ | Anton Kade | ||
| 80′ | Niklas PollexLukas Stoppel | ||
| 80′ | Arbnor NurajNikos Zografakis | ||
| 85′ | E. RahnLeon Maier | ||
| 85′ | Loris MaierMarlon Freddy Faß | ||
| 87′ | Yannik KeitelJeffrey Gouweleeuw | ||
| 87′ | Fabian RiederTim Schnitzer |
Match stats
| 11 | Shots | 19 |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Shots on target | 9 |
| 41 | Possession % | 59 |
| 2 | Corners | 5 |
| 10 | Fouls | 11 |
| 1 | Offsides | 4 |
| 5 | Saves | 2 |
| 240 | Accurate passes | 428 |
SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach vs Augsburg overview
Garuda Lions analysis: SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach vs Augsburg
| Probability | SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach | Draw | Augsburg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 3.2% | 6.6% | 90.2% |
| Market | 9.7% | 15.5% | 74.9% |
| Final | 8.0% | 13.3% | 78.7% |
| Edge | -1.6% | -2.2% | +3.8% |
Why Augsburg
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 4.22 vs 0.90.
- The market prices Augsburg below our published probability: +3.8 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach and Augsburg expected goals
Total expected goals: 5.12
SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach and Augsburg attack and defence ratings
SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach
Augsburg
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach vs Augsburg: result vs prediction
SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach 2 – 4 Augsburg
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Round of 32 fixtures
- Hamburger SV vs Eintracht Frankfurt
- Bochum v Mainz 05 — match page
- Rot-Weiß Essen v RasenBallsport Leipzig — match page
- Borussia M.Gladbach vs Karlsruher SC — team news & stats
- Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen
- FC Cologne vs Union Berlin — team news & stats
- SV Elversberg vs Darmstadt
- Freiburg v Wolfsburg — match page
Before and after this match
SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach vs Augsburg markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Augsburg | 78.7% | 1.27 | +3.8% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 88.5% | 1.13 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 58.6% | 1.71 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 92.0% | 1.09 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Augsburg win | 78.9% | 1.27 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach | 8.0% |
| Draw | 13.3% | |
| Augsburg | 78.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 88.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 11.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 58.6% |
| No | 41.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 21.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 86.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 92.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Augsburg win | 78.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 11.3% | |
| Loss | 9.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-4 | 8.0% |
| 0-3 | 7.5% | |
| 1-4 | 7.1% |
SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach vs Augsburg stats
SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach and Augsburg recent form
| SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach |
LWDLLD |
| Augsburg |
DLDLDW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach vs Augsburg head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach vs Augsburg odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 9.7%, draw 15.5%, away 74.9%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 9.85 | 6.70 | 1.22 |
| Bet365 | 10.00 | 5.50 | 1.28 |
| BetVictor | 10.00 | 6.00 | 1.20 |
| Betano | 8.75 | 5.30 | 1.30 |
| Betfair | 9.00 | 6.00 | 1.18 |
| Dafabet | 10.00 | 6.60 | 1.27 |
| Marathonbet | 10.00 | 6.70 | 1.21 |
| Pinnacle | 9.37 | 7.12 | 1.25 |
| SBO | 7.24 | 5.22 | 1.23 |
| William Hill | 8.50 | 6.00 | 1.25 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
14 snapshots recorded, from .