SV Wehen
vs
SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach
Garuda Lions Prediction: SV Wehen
2 – 1 Predicted score · 10% model probability
SV Wehen vs SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach overview
Garuda Lions analysis: SV Wehen vs SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach
| Probability | SV Wehen | Draw | SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 50.1% | 24.9% | 25.0% |
| Market | 49.6% | 24.9% | 25.5% |
| Final | 49.7% | 24.9% | 25.4% |
| Edge | +0.5% | +0.0% | -0.5% |
Why SV Wehen
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.84 vs 1.26.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Best available price on the pick: 1.88, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
SV Wehen vs SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach match preview
SV Wehen hosts SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach in a 3. Liga clash on October 24, 2026. Our model gives SV Wehen a 50% chance of winning, while both a draw and a victory for SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach are estimated at 25%. The expected goals for SV Wehen stand at 1.84, compared to SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach's 1.26. The most likely scoreline predicted is 2-1 in favor of SV Wehen, with a probability of 10%.
In terms of recent form, SV Wehen has recorded a draw, two wins, a loss, and another win in their last six matches. SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach's recent performance includes one win, two draws, and three losses. Our model indicates a 60% likelihood of over 2.5 goals and a 61% chance that both teams will score. The confidence grade for this match is C.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
SV Wehen and SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.10
SV Wehen and SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach attack and defence ratings
SV Wehen
SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 11 fixtures
Before and after this match
SV Wehen vs SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | SV Wehen | 49.7% | 2.01 | +0.5% | 1.88 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 59.8% | 1.67 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 61.2% | 1.63 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 75.1% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 49.9% | 2.00 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | SV Wehen | 49.7% |
| Draw | 24.9% | |
| SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach | 25.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 59.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 40.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 61.2% |
| No | 38.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 74.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 50.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | SV Wehen win | 28.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.4% | |
| Loss | 49.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.5% |
| 2-1 | 9.6% | |
| 2-0 | 7.7% |
SV Wehen vs SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach stats
SV Wehen and SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach recent form
| SV Wehen |
DWWLWL |
| SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach |
WDLLDD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
SV Wehen and SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach season so far
SV Wehen record
- They have won 3 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game on the road against 1.0 at home.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 9 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 9 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
- 46% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach record
- They have won 2 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- 43% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
SV Wehen vs SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
SV Wehen vs SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 49.6%, draw 24.9%, away 25.5%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.80 | 3.64 | 3.63 |
| Marathonbet | 1.78 | 3.64 | 3.55 |
| Pinnacle | 1.88 | 3.91 | 3.54 |
| William Hill | 1.85 | 3.50 | 3.40 |