Verl
vs
SV Wehen
Garuda Lions Prediction: SV Wehen
1 – 2 Predicted score · 9% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.96 vs 1.47.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Verl vs SV Wehen overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Verl vs SV Wehen
| Probability | Verl | Draw | SV Wehen |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 28.2% | 23.8% | 48.0% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 28.2% | 23.8% | 48.0% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why SV Wehen
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.96 vs 1.47.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Verl vs SV Wehen match preview
Verl faces SV Wehen in a 3. Liga clash with kickoff set for October 31, 2026. Our model indicates a 28% probability of a Verl victory, a 24% chance of a draw, and a 48% likelihood of an SV Wehen win. The expected goals for Verl is 1.47, while SV Wehen is projected at 1.95. The most likely scoreline is 1-2, occurring at a rate of 9%.
In terms of recent form, Verl has recorded two losses, two draws, and one win in their last five matches, while SV Wehen has performed better with three wins, one draw, and one loss. Both teams are expected to score, with a 67% probability for each team finding the net, and there is also a 67% chance of the match featuring over 2.5 goals. The confidence grade for this matchup is C.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Verl and SV Wehen expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.43
Verl and SV Wehen attack and defence ratings
Verl
SV Wehen
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 12 fixtures
Before and after this match
Verl vs SV Wehen markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | SV Wehen | 48.0% | 2.08 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 66.5% | 1.50 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 67.1% | 1.49 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 76.2% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 52.0% | 1.92 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Verl | 28.2% |
| Draw | 23.8% | |
| SV Wehen | 48.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 66.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 33.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 67.1% |
| No | 32.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 52.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 76.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 71.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | SV Wehen win | 27.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.2% | |
| Loss | 52.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 10.3% |
| 1-2 | 9.1% | |
| 2-1 | 6.9% |
Verl vs SV Wehen stats
Verl and SV Wehen recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Verl and SV Wehen season so far
Verl record
- They have won 3 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
SV Wehen record
- They have won 3 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 10 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
- 42% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Verl vs SV Wehen head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-25 | SV Wehen | Verl | 3. Liga | 2-1 |
| 2025-08-09 | Verl | SV Wehen | 3. Liga | 2-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.