Fortuna Düsseldorf
vs
SV Meppen
Garuda Lions Prediction: SV Meppen
0 – 1 Predicted score · 9% model probability
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Fortuna Düsseldorf vs SV Meppen overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Fortuna Düsseldorf vs SV Meppen
| Probability | Fortuna Düsseldorf | Draw | SV Meppen |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 30.5% | 28.6% | 40.9% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 30.5% | 28.6% | 40.9% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Fortuna Düsseldorf vs SV Meppen match preview
Fortuna Düsseldorf faces SV Meppen in a 3. Liga matchup with kickoff scheduled for October 30, 2026. According to our model, Fortuna Düsseldorf has a 39% chance of winning, while SV Meppen holds a 32% probability, and a draw stands at 29%. The most likely scoreline is projected to be 1-0 in favor of Fortuna Düsseldorf, occurring with a 9% likelihood. Expected goals for the match are 1.38 for Fortuna Düsseldorf and 1.22 for SV Meppen.
In terms of recent form, Fortuna Düsseldorf has recorded a sequence of L-W-D-L-W-W, while SV Meppen's latest results show D-W-D-L-L-L. The model indicates a 48% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 54% probability that both teams will score. The confidence grade for this matchup is C.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Fortuna Düsseldorf and SV Meppen expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.62
Fortuna Düsseldorf and SV Meppen attack and defence ratings
Fortuna Düsseldorf
SV Meppen
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 12 fixtures
Before and after this match
Fortuna Düsseldorf vs SV Meppen markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | SV Meppen | 40.9% | 2.45 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 51.4% | 1.95 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 54.2% | 1.85 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 71.4% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 59.1% | 1.69 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Fortuna Düsseldorf | 30.5% |
| Draw | 28.6% | |
| SV Meppen | 40.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 48.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 51.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 54.2% |
| No | 45.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 59.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 69.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | SV Meppen win | 20.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.8% | |
| Loss | 59.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.6% |
| 0-1 | 9.1% | |
| 1-2 | 8.8% |
Fortuna Düsseldorf vs SV Meppen stats
Fortuna Düsseldorf and SV Meppen recent form
| Fortuna Düsseldorf |
DLWDLW |
| SV Meppen |
WDWDLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Fortuna Düsseldorf and SV Meppen season so far
Fortuna Düsseldorf record
- They have won 4 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 10 matches.
- 37% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
SV Meppen record
- They have won 3 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.