SSV Jahn Regensburg
vs
Hansa Rostock
Garuda Lions Prediction: SSV Jahn Regensburg
2 – 1 Predicted score · 9% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.99 vs 1.34.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
SSV Jahn Regensburg vs Hansa Rostock overview
Garuda Lions analysis: SSV Jahn Regensburg vs Hansa Rostock
| Probability | SSV Jahn Regensburg | Draw | Hansa Rostock |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 51.7% | 23.6% | 24.7% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 51.7% | 23.6% | 24.7% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why SSV Jahn Regensburg
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.99 vs 1.34.
SSV Jahn Regensburg vs Hansa Rostock match preview
SSV Jahn Regensburg is projected to have a 52% chance of winning against Hansa Rostock, with a model-predicted scoreline of 2-1 being the most likely outcome at 9%. The expected goals for Regensburg stand at 2.00, while Rostock is at 1.34, indicating a favorable attacking outlook for the home side. Both teams are expected to score, with a probability of 65%, and there is also a 65% chance that the match will see over 2.5 goals.
In terms of recent form, Regensburg has recorded results of L-D-D-W-D-L, while Rostock's latest matches show a D-L-L-W-D-W trend. The head-to-head record from the last two encounters is balanced, with each team securing one win. The confidence grade for this matchup is rated as C, reflecting a moderate level of certainty in the predictions.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
SSV Jahn Regensburg and Hansa Rostock expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.33
SSV Jahn Regensburg and Hansa Rostock attack and defence ratings
SSV Jahn Regensburg
Hansa Rostock
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 12 fixtures
Before and after this match
SSV Jahn Regensburg vs Hansa Rostock markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | SSV Jahn Regensburg | 51.7% | 1.93 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 64.8% | 1.54 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 64.7% | 1.54 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 76.4% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 48.3% | 2.07 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | SSV Jahn Regensburg | 51.7% |
| Draw | 23.6% | |
| Hansa Rostock | 24.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 64.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 35.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 64.7% |
| No | 35.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 75.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 76.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 48.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | SSV Jahn Regensburg win | 30.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.0% | |
| Loss | 48.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 10.5% |
| 2-1 | 9.5% | |
| 2-0 | 7.1% |
SSV Jahn Regensburg vs Hansa Rostock stats
SSV Jahn Regensburg and Hansa Rostock recent form
| SSV Jahn Regensburg |
LDDWDL |
| Hansa Rostock |
DLLWDW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
SSV Jahn Regensburg and Hansa Rostock season so far
SSV Jahn Regensburg record
- They have won 2 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
- They average 2.6 goals per game on the road against 1.4 at home.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
Hansa Rostock record
- They have won 4 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 10 matches.
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
SSV Jahn Regensburg vs Hansa Rostock head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-25 | Hansa Rostock | SSV Jahn Regensburg | 3. Liga | 2-5 |
| 2025-11-30 | SSV Jahn Regensburg | Hansa Rostock | 3. Liga | 0-3 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.