3. Liga · ·Matchday 12

Hoffenheim II vs FC Viktoria Köln

Garuda Lions Prediction: FC Viktoria Köln

1 – 2 Predicted score · 9% model probability

  • WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.14 vs 1.55.
  • RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.

Dietmar-Hopp Stadion, Sinsheim

Hoffenheim II 27%
Draw 22%
FC Viktoria Köln 50%

Confidence: Low  ·  model-only, no market odds

Chance FC Viktoria Köln wins
50%
most likely outcome
Chance of a goal
97%
at least one goal in the match
Both teams score
70%
goals at both ends
Most likely score with our pick
1 – 2
9% of simulated outcomes

Hoffenheim II vs FC Viktoria Köln overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Hoffenheim II vs FC Viktoria Köln

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityHoffenheim IIDrawFC Viktoria Köln
Model27.3%22.5%50.3%
Market———
Final27.3%22.5%50.3%
Edge———

Confidence: Low

Why FC Viktoria Köln

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.14 vs 1.55.
  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.

Hoffenheim II vs FC Viktoria Köln match preview

Hoffenheim II faces FC Viktoria Köln in a 3. Liga matchup with kickoff scheduled for October 31, 2026. According to our model, Hoffenheim II has a 27% chance of winning, while FC Viktoria Köln is favored at 50%. The most likely scoreline is projected to be 1-2, with a 9% probability. Both teams are expected to contribute to an exciting match, as there is a 71% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 70% likelihood that both teams will score.

In terms of recent form, Hoffenheim II has recorded two wins, two losses, and a draw in their last five matches, while FC Viktoria Köln has been in strong form with four wins and two draws. The expected goals for Hoffenheim II stands at 1.56, compared to FC Viktoria Köln's 2.13, further indicating the visitors' attacking prowess. The confidence grade for this match is C.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Hoffenheim II ↓ / FC Viktoria Kö → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 6% 1 9% 9% 6% 6% 2 6% 7% 5% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 97%
2+ goals 89%
3+ goals 71%
No goals 3%

Hoffenheim II and FC Viktoria Köln expected goals

Hoffenheim II 1.55
FC Viktoria Köln 2.14

Total expected goals: 3.69

Hoffenheim II and FC Viktoria Köln attack and defence ratings

Hoffenheim II

Attack 1.08 +8%
Defence 1.04 +4%

FC Viktoria Köln

Attack 1.39 +39%
Defence 0.82 -18%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Other Matchday 12 fixtures

3. Liga

Before and after this match

Hoffenheim II vs FC Viktoria Köln markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 FC Viktoria Köln 50.3% 1.99 — —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 71.3% 1.40 — —
Both teams to score Yes 70.4% 1.42 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 77.5% 1.29 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 49.7% 2.01 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Hoffenheim II27.3%
Draw22.5%
FC Viktoria Köln50.3%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.571.3%
Under 2.528.7%
Both teams to scoreYes70.4%
No29.6%
Double chance1X (home or draw)49.7%
12 (either side)77.5%
X2 (draw or away)72.7%
Handicap -1FC Viktoria Köln win30.4%
Push (exactly one goal)19.9%
Loss49.7%
Correct score (top 3)1-19.1%
1-28.9%
2-26.9%

Hoffenheim II vs FC Viktoria Köln stats

Hoffenheim II and FC Viktoria Köln recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Hoffenheim II and FC Viktoria Köln season so far

league record

Hoffenheim II record

  • They have won 5 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
  • They average 2.4 goals per game at home against 1.6 on the road.

FC Viktoria Köln record

  • They have won 6 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 2.7 goals per match.
  • They average 3.0 goals per game at home against 2.4 on the road.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.

Hoffenheim II vs FC Viktoria Köln head-to-head

Last 2 meetings

0Hoffenheim II wins 0Draws 2FC Viktoria Köln wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-02-22Hoffenheim IIFC Viktoria Köln3. Liga1-3
2025-09-16FC Viktoria KölnHoffenheim II3. Liga2-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Hoffenheim II vs FC Viktoria Köln odds

No bookmaker odds yet

Bookmakers usually price a fixture ~14 days before kickoff. We record snapshots twice a day, so the comparison table and price movement will appear here as soon as the market opens. Until then every probability on this page is model-only.

Prediction snapshot 2 FC Viktoria Köln Predicted score 1 – 2 Low Bet Now
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