Hoffenheim II
vs
FC Viktoria Köln
Garuda Lions Prediction: FC Viktoria Köln
1 – 2 Predicted score · 9% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.14 vs 1.55.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Hoffenheim II vs FC Viktoria Köln overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Hoffenheim II vs FC Viktoria Köln
| Probability | Hoffenheim II | Draw | FC Viktoria Köln |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 27.3% | 22.5% | 50.3% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 27.3% | 22.5% | 50.3% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why FC Viktoria Köln
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.14 vs 1.55.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
Hoffenheim II vs FC Viktoria Köln match preview
Hoffenheim II faces FC Viktoria Köln in a 3. Liga matchup with kickoff scheduled for October 31, 2026. According to our model, Hoffenheim II has a 27% chance of winning, while FC Viktoria Köln is favored at 50%. The most likely scoreline is projected to be 1-2, with a 9% probability. Both teams are expected to contribute to an exciting match, as there is a 71% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 70% likelihood that both teams will score.
In terms of recent form, Hoffenheim II has recorded two wins, two losses, and a draw in their last five matches, while FC Viktoria Köln has been in strong form with four wins and two draws. The expected goals for Hoffenheim II stands at 1.56, compared to FC Viktoria Köln's 2.13, further indicating the visitors' attacking prowess. The confidence grade for this match is C.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Hoffenheim II and FC Viktoria Köln expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.69
Hoffenheim II and FC Viktoria Köln attack and defence ratings
Hoffenheim II
FC Viktoria Köln
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 12 fixtures
Before and after this match
Hoffenheim II vs FC Viktoria Köln markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FC Viktoria Köln | 50.3% | 1.99 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 71.3% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 70.4% | 1.42 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 77.5% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 49.7% | 2.01 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Hoffenheim II | 27.3% |
| Draw | 22.5% | |
| FC Viktoria Köln | 50.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 71.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 28.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 70.4% |
| No | 29.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 49.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 77.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 72.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | FC Viktoria Köln win | 30.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.9% | |
| Loss | 49.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 9.1% |
| 1-2 | 8.9% | |
| 2-2 | 6.9% |
Hoffenheim II vs FC Viktoria Köln stats
Hoffenheim II and FC Viktoria Köln recent form
| WLLWWD | |
| WDDWWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Hoffenheim II and FC Viktoria Köln season so far
Hoffenheim II record
- They have won 5 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
- They average 2.4 goals per game at home against 1.6 on the road.
FC Viktoria Köln record
- They have won 6 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 2.7 goals per match.
- They average 3.0 goals per game at home against 2.4 on the road.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
Hoffenheim II vs FC Viktoria Köln head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-22 | Hoffenheim II | FC Viktoria Köln | 3. Liga | 1-3 |
| 2025-09-16 | FC Viktoria Köln | Hoffenheim II | 3. Liga | 2-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.