Waldhof Mannheim
vs
Hoffenheim II
Garuda Lions Prediction: Waldhof Mannheim
2 – 1 Predicted score · 8% model probability
- RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — Waldhof Mannheim is the favourite, not a value bet.
Waldhof Mannheim vs Hoffenheim II overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Waldhof Mannheim vs Hoffenheim II
| Probability | Waldhof Mannheim | Draw | Hoffenheim II |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 36.3% | 25.4% | 38.2% |
| Market | 42.2% | 24.2% | 33.6% |
| Final | 40.7% | 24.5% | 34.7% |
| Edge | -1.5% | +0.3% | +1.2% |
Best available price on the pick: 2.30, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -6.4% per unit staked (our 40.7% × 2.30 − 1).
Waldhof Mannheim vs Hoffenheim II match preview
Waldhof Mannheim faces Hoffenheim II in a 3. Liga clash with a kickoff scheduled for October 25, 2026. The probabilities suggest Waldhof Mannheim has a 41% chance of winning, while Hoffenheim II stands at 34%, and a draw is at 24%. Expected goals are closely matched, with Waldhof Mannheim at 1.58 and Hoffenheim II at 1.64. The most likely scoreline predicted by the model is 2-1 in favor of Waldhof Mannheim, occurring with an 8% probability.
In terms of recent form, Waldhof Mannheim has recorded two wins and three losses in their last six matches, while Hoffenheim II has three wins, two losses, and one draw. Historically, the last two encounters show that Waldhof Mannheim has not secured a victory, with one draw and one win for Hoffenheim II. The model indicates a 62% likelihood of over 2.5 goals and a 65% chance for both teams to score.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Waldhof Mannheim and Hoffenheim II expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.21
Waldhof Mannheim and Hoffenheim II attack and defence ratings
Waldhof Mannheim
Hoffenheim II
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 11 fixtures
- FC Ingolstadt 04 v MSV Duisburg — match page
- SV Meppen vs Würzburger Kickers
- SV Wehen v SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach — match page
- Hansa Rostock vs Fortuna Düsseldorf — team news & stats
- FC Viktoria Köln vs Verl
- Stuttgart II v Alemannia Aachen — match page
- Havelse vs FC Saarbrücken
- Preußen Münster vs Fortuna Köln — team news & stats
Before and after this match
Waldhof Mannheim vs Hoffenheim II markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Waldhof Mannheim | 40.7% | 2.46 | -1.5% | 2.30 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 62.3% | 1.60 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 65.0% | 1.54 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 75.5% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 63.7% | 1.57 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Waldhof Mannheim | 40.7% |
| Draw | 24.5% | |
| Hoffenheim II | 34.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 62.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 37.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 65.0% |
| No | 35.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 65.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 59.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Waldhof Mannheim win | 18.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.0% | |
| Loss | 63.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.4% |
| 1-2 | 8.5% | |
| 2-1 | 8.2% |
Waldhof Mannheim vs Hoffenheim II stats
Waldhof Mannheim and Hoffenheim II recent form
| Waldhof Mannheim |
LLWWLW |
| Hoffenheim II |
WLLWWD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Waldhof Mannheim and Hoffenheim II season so far
Waldhof Mannheim record
- They have won 4 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They average 2.2 goals per game on the road against 1.0 at home.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 10 matches.
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Hoffenheim II record
- They have won 5 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
- They average 2.4 goals per game at home against 1.6 on the road.
Waldhof Mannheim vs Hoffenheim II head-to-head
Last 4 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-07 | Waldhof Mannheim | Hoffenheim II | 3. Liga | 1-1 |
| 2025-11-02 | Hoffenheim II | Waldhof Mannheim | 3. Liga | 2-0 |
| 2024-07-20 | Waldhof Mannheim | Hoffenheim II | Friendlies Clubs | 1-4 |
| 2023-01-16 | Waldhof Mannheim | Hoffenheim II | Friendlies Clubs | 1-4 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Waldhof Mannheim vs Hoffenheim II odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 42.2%, draw 24.2%, away 33.6%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.14 | 3.74 | 2.70 |
| Bet365 | 2.15 | 3.50 | 2.70 |
| BetVictor | 2.05 | 3.30 | 2.45 |
| Betano | 2.25 | 3.80 | 2.77 |
| Betfair | 2.15 | 3.75 | 2.70 |
| Dafabet | 2.22 | 3.85 | 2.80 |
| Marathonbet | 2.12 | 3.74 | 2.64 |
| Pinnacle | 2.30 | 3.92 | 2.74 |
| SBO | 2.10 | 3.44 | 2.60 |
| William Hill | 2.20 | 3.50 | 2.70 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
13 snapshots recorded, from .