3. Liga · Full time ·Matchday 10

Würzburger Kickers vs Waldhof Mannheim

2 – 0 Full time

Flyeralarm Arena, WuerzburgReferee: Yannick Sager

Würzburger Kickers 29%
Draw 25%
Waldhof Mannheim 46%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Würzburger Kickers vs Waldhof Mannheim overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Würzburger Kickers vs Waldhof Mannheim

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityWürzburger KickersDrawWaldhof Mannheim
Model32.7%24.8%42.5%
Market28.1%25.3%46.6%
Final29.3%25.2%45.5%
Edge+4.6%-0.5%-4.1%

Confidence: Low

Why Waldhof Mannheim

  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Würzburger Kic ↓ / Waldhof Mannhe → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 6% 1 11% 9% 2 8% 7% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 95%
2+ goals 85%
3+ goals 64%
No goals 5%

Würzburger Kickers and Waldhof Mannheim expected goals

Würzburger Kickers 1.54
Waldhof Mannheim 1.77

Total expected goals: 3.31

Würzburger Kickers and Waldhof Mannheim attack and defence ratings

Würzburger Kickers

Attack 0.87 -13%
Defence 1.21 +21%

Waldhof Mannheim

Attack 0.98 -2%
Defence 1.02 +2%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Würzburger Kickers vs Waldhof Mannheim: result vs prediction

Würzburger Kickers 2 – 0 Waldhof Mannheim

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 10 fixtures

3. Liga

Before and after this match

Würzburger Kickers vs Waldhof Mannheim markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Waldhof Mannheim 45.5% 2.20 -4.1% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 64.2% 1.56 — —
Both teams to score Yes 66.1% 1.51 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 74.8% 1.34 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 57.6% 1.74 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Würzburger Kickers29.3%
Draw25.2%
Waldhof Mannheim45.5%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.564.2%
Under 2.535.8%
Both teams to scoreYes66.1%
No33.9%
Double chance1X (home or draw)54.5%
12 (either side)74.8%
X2 (draw or away)70.7%
Handicap -1Waldhof Mannheim win23.1%
Push (exactly one goal)19.3%
Loss57.6%
Correct score (top 3)1-111.0%
1-28.8%
2-17.7%

Würzburger Kickers vs Waldhof Mannheim stats

Würzburger Kickers and Waldhof Mannheim recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Würzburger Kickers and Waldhof Mannheim going into this match

league record before kick-off

Würzburger Kickers record

  • They have won 2 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
  • They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
  • 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Waldhof Mannheim record

  • They have won 4 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
  • They average 2.8 goals per game on the road against 1.0 at home.
  • 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Würzburger Kickers vs Waldhof Mannheim head-to-head

Last 5 meetings

1Würzburger Kickers wins 2Draws 2Waldhof Mannheim wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2023-07-15Würzburger KickersWaldhof MannheimFriendlies Clubs1-3
2022-01-22Würzburger KickersWaldhof Mannheim3. Liga1-2
2021-08-15Waldhof MannheimWürzburger Kickers3. Liga1-1
2020-03-07Würzburger KickersWaldhof Mannheim3. Liga0-0
2019-09-14Waldhof MannheimWürzburger Kickers3. Liga1-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Würzburger Kickers vs Waldhof Mannheim odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 28.5%, draw 25.6%, away 45.8%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 3.23 3.55 1.94
Bet365 3.30 3.60 1.90
BetVictor 2.88 3.20 1.85
Betano 3.30 3.70 2.02
Betfair 3.20 3.70 2.00
Dafabet 3.25 3.70 2.03
Marathonbet 3.16 3.55 1.92
Pinnacle 3.25 3.90 2.03
SBO 2.86 3.25 2.03
William Hill 3.00 3.50 2.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 3.20 ▲ +0.60
X 3.55 —
2 1.93 ▼ -0.37

9 snapshots recorded, from .