3. Liga · Full time ·Matchday 10

Fortuna Köln vs Stuttgart II

0 – 1 Full time

45′Tim van der Leij
45′Enis RedzepiA. Janjic
56′Jarzinho Malanga
57′Nico ThierRomeo Aigbekaen
57′Cedric HarenbrockAdrian Stanilewicz
58′Veit Stange
61′Joyeux Masanka Bungi
70′Jarzinho MalangaJordan Majchrzak
70′Veit StangeMaximilian Tobias Herwerth
70′Enzo WirtzJannik Mause
73′Tom Geerkens
75′Tom Geerkens
80′Maximilian Tobias Herwerth
81′Tim van der LeijOliver Rölke
84′Kevin KrummeHamadi Al Ghaddioui
84′A. Janjic
90′Joyeux Masanka Bungi Peter Reinhardt
90′Oliver Rölke

Südstadion, CologneReferee: Henry Schroder

Fortuna Köln 42%
Draw 26%
Stuttgart II 33%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

0 Shots on target 0
46 Possession % 54

Fortuna Köln vs Stuttgart II overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Fortuna Köln vs Stuttgart II

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityFortuna KölnDrawStuttgart II
Model38.8%26.2%35.1%
Market42.5%25.9%31.7%
Final41.5%25.9%32.5%
Edge-0.9%+0.1%+0.8%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Fortuna Köln ↓ / Stuttgart II → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 6% 12% 8% 2 9% 6% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 94%
2+ goals 82%
3+ goals 59%
No goals 6%

Fortuna Köln and Stuttgart II expected goals

Fortuna Köln 1.58
Stuttgart II 1.49

Total expected goals: 3.07

Fortuna Köln and Stuttgart II attack and defence ratings

Fortuna Köln

Attack 0.70 -30%
Defence 0.81 -19%

Stuttgart II

Attack 1.23 +23%
Defence 1.29 +29%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Fortuna Köln vs Stuttgart II: result vs prediction

Fortuna Köln 0 – 1 Stuttgart II

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 10 fixtures

3. Liga

Before and after this match

Fortuna Köln vs Stuttgart II markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Fortuna Köln 41.5% 2.41 -0.9% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 59.2% 1.69 — —
Both teams to score Yes 62.6% 1.60 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 74.1% 1.35 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 61.2% 1.63 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Fortuna Köln41.5%
Draw25.9%
Stuttgart II32.5%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.559.2%
Under 2.540.8%
Both teams to scoreYes62.6%
No37.4%
Double chance1X (home or draw)67.5%
12 (either side)74.1%
X2 (draw or away)58.5%
Handicap -1Fortuna Köln win19.8%
Push (exactly one goal)19.0%
Loss61.2%
Correct score (top 3)1-112.0%
2-18.6%
1-28.2%

Fortuna Köln vs Stuttgart II stats

Fortuna Köln and Stuttgart II recent form

newest first
Fortuna Köln LDWLDD
Stuttgart II WDDLLW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Fortuna Köln and Stuttgart II going into this match

league record before kick-off

Fortuna Köln record

  • They have won 2 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
  • They average 1.4 goals per game on the road against 0.2 at home.
  • They have failed to score in 5 of 9 matches.

Stuttgart II record

  • They have won 3 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.

Fortuna Köln vs Stuttgart II head-to-head

Last 4 meetings

0Fortuna Köln wins 0Draws 4Stuttgart II wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2016-03-12Fortuna KölnStuttgart II3. Liga1-3
2015-09-27Stuttgart IIFortuna Köln3. Liga3-0
2015-04-04Fortuna KölnStuttgart II3. Liga0-1
2014-09-28Stuttgart IIFortuna Köln3. Liga3-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Fortuna Köln vs Stuttgart II odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 42.1%, draw 25.9%, away 31.9%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.09 3.48 2.94
Bet365 2.15 3.50 2.80
BetVictor 2.00 3.25 2.55
Betano 2.22 3.65 2.87
Betfair 2.15 3.60 2.80
Dafabet 2.23 3.65 2.90
Marathonbet 2.07 3.48 2.88
Pinnacle 2.24 3.75 2.96
SBO 2.09 3.40 2.78
William Hill 2.15 3.30 2.80

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.12 ▼ -0.06
X 3.48 ▼ -0.15
2 2.84 ▲ +0.05

10 snapshots recorded, from .