3. Liga · Full time ·Matchday 9

Stuttgart II vs Hoffenheim II

3 – 2 Full time

7′Lauri Lukas Penna
9′Enis Redzepi
36′Leonidas Stergiou
42′Blessing Makanda Maleko
45′Enis RedzepiDavid Preu
58′Julian LüersNicolás Sessa
58′Oliver RölkeTim van der Leij
66′Tristan Spranger
68′Tristan Spranger
68′Lauri Lukas Penna
68′Luis Engelns
72′Jykese Fieldsjakov dedic
72′Tristan SprangerMaximilian Theuer
73′Tim van der Leij
74′Lauri Lukas PennaJordan Majchrzak
78′Maximilian Theuer
85′Diren Dağdeviren
86′Luis EngelnsAlex honajzer
89′Tiago Poller

comtech Arena, AspacheReferee: Max Kluge

Stuttgart II 34%
Draw 23%
Hoffenheim II 43%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

9 Shots 12
5 Shots on target 6
35 Possession % 65
2 Corners 5

Stuttgart II vs Hoffenheim II overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Stuttgart II vs Hoffenheim II

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityStuttgart IIDrawHoffenheim II
Model39.2%22.3%38.5%
Market32.0%23.6%44.4%
Final33.8%23.3%42.9%
Edge+1.8%-0.3%-1.5%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why Hoffenheim II

  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Stuttgart II ↓ / Hoffenheim II → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 8% 7% 5% 2 7% 7% 5% 3 5% 5% 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 97%
2+ goals 91%
3+ goals 76%
No goals 3%

Stuttgart II and Hoffenheim II expected goals

Stuttgart II 1.99
Hoffenheim II 1.97

Total expected goals: 3.95

Stuttgart II and Hoffenheim II attack and defence ratings

Stuttgart II

Attack 1.16 +16%
Defence 1.29 +29%

Hoffenheim II

Attack 1.02 +2%
Defence 0.98 -2%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Stuttgart II vs Hoffenheim II: result vs prediction

Stuttgart II 3 – 2 Hoffenheim II

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 9 fixtures

3. Liga

Before and after this match

Stuttgart II vs Hoffenheim II markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Hoffenheim II 42.9% 2.33 -1.5% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 75.5% 1.32 — —
Both teams to score Yes 75.0% 1.33 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 76.7% 1.30 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 61.5% 1.63 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Stuttgart II33.8%
Draw23.3%
Hoffenheim II42.9%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.575.5%
Under 2.524.5%
Both teams to scoreYes75.0%
No25.0%
Double chance1X (home or draw)57.1%
12 (either side)76.7%
X2 (draw or away)66.2%
Handicap -1Hoffenheim II win21.4%
Push (exactly one goal)17.1%
Loss61.5%
Correct score (top 3)1-18.2%
2-17.4%
1-27.4%

Stuttgart II vs Hoffenheim II stats

Stuttgart II and Hoffenheim II recent form

newest first
Stuttgart II DDLLWL
Hoffenheim II LWWDLW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Stuttgart II and Hoffenheim II going into this match

league record before kick-off

Stuttgart II record

  • They have won 2 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.

Hoffenheim II record

  • They have won 4 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
  • They average 2.5 goals per game at home against 1.5 on the road.

Stuttgart II vs Hoffenheim II head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

5Stuttgart II wins 3Draws 2Hoffenheim II wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-03-15Stuttgart IIHoffenheim II3. Liga1-0
2025-10-05Hoffenheim IIStuttgart II3. Liga1-3
2024-05-18Stuttgart IIHoffenheim IIRegionalliga - SudWest2-0
2023-11-12Hoffenheim IIStuttgart IIRegionalliga - SudWest1-1
2023-03-03Hoffenheim IIStuttgart IIRegionalliga - SudWest2-2
2022-08-27Stuttgart IIHoffenheim IIRegionalliga - SudWest3-3
2021-12-03Hoffenheim IIStuttgart IIRegionalliga - SudWest2-0
2021-08-21Stuttgart IIHoffenheim IIRegionalliga - SudWest1-3
2021-04-20Stuttgart IIHoffenheim IIRegionalliga - SudWest2-1
2020-10-30Hoffenheim IIStuttgart IIRegionalliga - SudWest0-3

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Stuttgart II vs Hoffenheim II odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 32.0%, draw 23.6%, away 44.4%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.88 3.86 2.00
Bet365 2.88 3.60 2.05
BetVictor 2.60 3.40 1.93
Betano 2.87 3.85 2.18
Betfair 2.80 3.90 2.00
Dafabet 2.90 3.85 2.16
Marathonbet 2.82 3.86 1.98
Pinnacle 2.95 4.10 2.14
SBO 2.70 3.49 2.11
William Hill 2.80 3.70 2.05

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.84 ▲ +0.66
X 3.85 ▲ +0.05
2 2.05 ▼ -0.55

10 snapshots recorded, from .