3. Liga · ·Matchday 9

Stuttgart II vs Hoffenheim II

Garuda Lions Prediction: Stuttgart II

2 – 1 Predicted score · 7% model probability

WIRmachenDRUCK Arena, Aspach

Stuttgart II 40%
Draw 23%
Hoffenheim II 36%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Chance Stuttgart II wins
40%
most likely outcome
Chance of a goal
98%
at least one goal in the match
Both teams score
76%
goals at both ends
Most likely score with our pick
2 – 1
7% of simulated outcomes

Stuttgart II vs Hoffenheim II overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Stuttgart II vs Hoffenheim II

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityStuttgart IIDrawHoffenheim II
Model36.6%21.8%41.6%
Market41.5%23.8%34.8%
Final40.2%23.3%36.5%
Edge-4.9%-2.0%+6.8%

Confidence: Low

Best available price on the pick: 2.35, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.

Stuttgart II vs Hoffenheim II match preview

Stuttgart II faces Hoffenheim II in a 3. Liga matchup with Stuttgart II holding a 40% probability of winning, while Hoffenheim II stands at 36%. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 2-1 in favor of Stuttgart II, with an expected goals tally of 1.98 for Stuttgart II and 2.11 for Hoffenheim II. Both teams have shown a propensity for scoring, with over 2.5 goals expected at 77% and both teams to score at 76%.

Recent form indicates Stuttgart II has struggled, recording two draws and three losses in their last six matches, while Hoffenheim II has performed better with four wins, a draw, and a loss in the same period. In their last two encounters, Stuttgart II has won both matches against Hoffenheim II, which may influence the dynamics of this upcoming fixture.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Stuttgart II ↓ / Hoffenheim II → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 8% 7% 5% 4% 2 7% 7% 5% 4% 3 5% 5% 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 98%
2+ goals 92%
3+ goals 77%
No goals 2%

Stuttgart II and Hoffenheim II expected goals

Stuttgart II 1.97
Hoffenheim II 2.11

Total expected goals: 4.08

Stuttgart II and Hoffenheim II attack and defence ratings

Stuttgart II

Attack 1.24 +24%
Defence 1.36 +36%

Hoffenheim II

Attack 1.05 +5%
Defence 0.91 -9%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Other Matchday 9 fixtures

3. Liga

Before and after this match

Stuttgart II vs Hoffenheim II markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Stuttgart II 40.2% 2.48 -4.9% 2.35
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 77.4% 1.29 — —
Both teams to score Yes 76.4% 1.31 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 76.7% 1.30 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 63.4% 1.58 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Stuttgart II40.2%
Draw23.3%
Hoffenheim II36.5%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.577.4%
Under 2.522.6%
Both teams to scoreYes76.4%
No23.6%
Double chance1X (home or draw)63.5%
12 (either side)76.7%
X2 (draw or away)59.8%
Handicap -1Stuttgart II win20.1%
Push (exactly one goal)16.4%
Loss63.4%
Correct score (top 3)1-17.7%
1-27.4%
2-27.3%

Stuttgart II vs Hoffenheim II stats

Stuttgart II and Hoffenheim II recent form

newest first
Stuttgart II DLLWLL
Hoffenheim II WWDLWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Stuttgart II and Hoffenheim II season so far

league record

Stuttgart II record

  • They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.

Hoffenheim II record

  • They have won 4 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
  • They average 2.5 goals per game at home against 1.3 on the road.
  • 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Stuttgart II vs Hoffenheim II head-to-head

Last 2 meetings

2Stuttgart II wins 0Draws 0Hoffenheim II wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-03-15Stuttgart IIHoffenheim II3. Liga1-0
2025-10-05Hoffenheim IIStuttgart II3. Liga1-3

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Stuttgart II vs Hoffenheim II odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 41.5%, draw 23.8%, away 34.8%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.18 3.80 2.52
Betano 2.35 3.75 2.62
Betfair 2.15 3.90 2.63
Dafabet 2.32 3.85 2.60
Marathonbet 2.18 3.80 2.52

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.18 —
X 3.80 —
2 2.60 —

2 snapshots recorded, from .

Prediction snapshot 1 Stuttgart II Predicted score 2 – 1 Low Bet Now
v Bet Now