3. Liga
·
Full time
·Matchday 8
MSV Duisburg
vs
Hoffenheim II
3 – 2 Full time
| 22′ | Tobias Fleckstein | ||
| 24′ | Diren Dağdeviren | ||
| 39′ | Blessing Makanda Maleko | ||
| 40′ | Diren DağdevirenMatthew moore | ||
| 43′ | Joshua Bitter | ||
| 44′ | Sean Dulic | ||
| 45′ | Conor NossRamien Safi | ||
| 45′ | Martin EnsPeter Remmert | ||
| 45′ | Can CoskunFrederik Christensen | ||
| 60′ | Tiago Poller | ||
| 63′ | Christian VietAljaž Casar | ||
| 66′ | Jykese Fields | ||
| 67′ | Jykese Fieldsjakov dedic | ||
| 67′ | Yasin ZorLion Wagenbach | ||
| 69′ | Lion Wagenbach | ||
| 71′ | Peter Remmert | ||
| 71′ | Lex-Tyger Lobinger | ||
| 72′ | Peter Remmert | ||
| 72′ | Dominik KotherPatrick Sussek | ||
| 75′ | Ramien Safi | ||
| 77′ | Peter Remmert | ||
| 78′ | Peter Remmert | ||
| 82′ | Tiago PollerAlex honajzer | ||
| 82′ | Tristan SprangerMaximilian Theuer |
MSV Duisburg
54%
Draw
23%
Hoffenheim II
23%
Match stats
| 9 | Shots | 17 |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Shots on target | 10 |
| 41 | Possession % | 59 |
| 3 | Corners | 4 |
MSV Duisburg vs Hoffenheim II overview
Garuda Lions analysis: MSV Duisburg vs Hoffenheim II
| Probability | MSV Duisburg | Draw | Hoffenheim II |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 55.4% | 23.0% | 21.5% |
| Market | 53.5% | 23.1% | 23.5% |
| Final | 54.0% | 23.1% | 23.0% |
| Edge | +0.5% | -0.0% | -0.5% |
Why MSV Duisburg
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.05 vs 1.23.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
95%
2+ goals
85%
3+ goals
64%
No goals
5%
MSV Duisburg and Hoffenheim II expected goals
MSV Duisburg
2.05
Hoffenheim II
1.23
Total expected goals: 3.29
MSV Duisburg and Hoffenheim II attack and defence ratings
MSV Duisburg
Attack
1.29 +29%
Defence
0.80 -20%
Hoffenheim II
Attack
1.05 +5%
Defence
0.91 -9%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
MSV Duisburg vs Hoffenheim II: result vs prediction
MSV Duisburg 3 – 2 Hoffenheim II
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 8 fixtures
- Preußen Münster vs Rot-Weiß Essen
- SSV Jahn Regensburg vs Havelse — team news & stats
- Würzburger Kickers vs Hansa Rostock — team news & stats
- SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach v Waldhof Mannheim — match page
- SV Meppen vs Stuttgart II — team news & stats
- Fortuna Köln vs FC Saarbrücken
- FC Ingolstadt 04 vs SV Wehen
- Alemannia Aachen v FC Viktoria Köln — match page
Before and after this match
MSV Duisburg vs Hoffenheim II markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | MSV Duisburg | 54.0% | 1.85 | +0.5% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 63.8% | 1.57 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 62.7% | 1.59 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 77.0% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 44.7% | 2.24 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | MSV Duisburg | 54.0% |
| Draw | 23.1% | |
| Hoffenheim II | 23.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 63.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 36.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 62.7% |
| No | 37.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 77.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 76.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 46.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | MSV Duisburg win | 33.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.5% | |
| Loss | 44.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 10.4% |
| 2-1 | 9.7% | |
| 2-0 | 7.9% |
MSV Duisburg vs Hoffenheim II stats
MSV Duisburg and Hoffenheim II recent form
| MSV Duisburg |
WWLWWL |
| Hoffenheim II |
WWDLWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
MSV Duisburg and Hoffenheim II going into this match
MSV Duisburg record
- They have won 6 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 2.7 goals per match.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
Hoffenheim II record
- They have won 4 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
- They average 2.5 goals per game at home against 1.3 on the road.
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
MSV Duisburg vs Hoffenheim II head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
1MSV Duisburg wins
0Draws
1Hoffenheim II wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-18 | MSV Duisburg | Hoffenheim II | 3. Liga | 3-1 |
| 2025-11-21 | Hoffenheim II | MSV Duisburg | 3. Liga | 4-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
MSV Duisburg vs Hoffenheim II odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 53.5%, draw 23.1%, away 23.5%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.66 | 3.94 | 4.03 |
| Bet365 | 1.70 | 3.70 | 3.75 |
| BetVictor | 1.62 | 3.50 | 3.40 |
| Betano | 1.80 | 3.95 | 3.85 |
| Betfair | 1.67 | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.78 | 4.00 | 3.90 |
| Marathonbet | 1.64 | 3.94 | 3.95 |
| Pinnacle | 1.75 | 4.39 | 3.93 |
| SBO | 1.75 | 3.64 | 3.57 |
| William Hill | 1.70 | 3.90 | 3.75 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
1.70 ▲ +0.18
X
3.94 ▼ -0.71
2
3.88 ▼ -1.22
31 snapshots recorded, from .