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3. Liga · Full time ·Matchday 7

Hoffenheim II vs SV Meppen

1 – 0 Full time

22′Klaus Gjasula
30′Yasin Zor
45′Richard Christian·MeierJannic ehlers
45′Tobias MissnerFlorian Bahr
45′Tristan SprangerMaximilian Theuer
51′Stefan rankic
58′Alexander PrassBlessing Makanda Maleko
60′Niclas Tibor Nadj
65′Jykese Fieldsjakov dedic
65′Tiago PollerFlorian Micheler
72′Thorben DetersLuca Prasse
73′Oliver Issa SchmittJona Borsum
78′Niclas Tibor NadjSimon Engelmann
83′Florian Micheler
88′Jannic ehlers
89′Yasin ZorLion Wagenbach

Dietmar-Hopp-Stadion, SinsheimReferee: Jonah Samuel Njie Besong

Hoffenheim II 50%
Draw 23%
SV Meppen 27%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

11 Shots 10
4 Shots on target 3
49 Possession % 51
3 Corners 3

Hoffenheim II vs SV Meppen overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Hoffenheim II vs SV Meppen

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityHoffenheim IIDrawSV Meppen
Model60.3%20.4%19.3%
Market46.8%24.2%29.0%
Final50.2%23.2%26.6%
Edge+13.5%-3.8%-9.7%

Confidence: Low

Why Hoffenheim II

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.40 vs 1.33.
  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
  • The market prices Hoffenheim II below the model: +13.5 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Hoffenheim II ↓ / SV Meppen → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 5% 8% 5% 2 7% 9% 6% 3 6% 7% 5% 4+ 6% 8% 5%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 97%
2+ goals 89%
3+ goals 72%
No goals 3%

Hoffenheim II and SV Meppen expected goals

Hoffenheim II 2.40
SV Meppen 1.33

Total expected goals: 3.73

Hoffenheim II and SV Meppen attack and defence ratings

Hoffenheim II

Attack 1.07 +7%
Defence 1.00 +0%

SV Meppen

Attack 0.90 -10%
Defence 1.28 +28%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Hoffenheim II vs SV Meppen: result vs prediction

Hoffenheim II 1 – 0 SV Meppen

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 7 fixtures

3. Liga

Before and after this match

Hoffenheim II vs SV Meppen markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Hoffenheim II 50.2% 1.99 +13.5% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 72.0% 1.39 — —
Both teams to score Yes 67.7% 1.48 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 76.8% 1.30 — —
Handicap -1 Hoffenheim II win 39.7% 2.52 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Hoffenheim II50.2%
Draw23.2%
SV Meppen26.6%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.572.0%
Under 2.528.0%
Both teams to scoreYes67.7%
No32.3%
Double chance1X (home or draw)73.4%
12 (either side)76.8%
X2 (draw or away)49.8%
Handicap -1Hoffenheim II win39.7%
Push (exactly one goal)20.6%
Loss39.7%
Correct score (top 3)2-19.2%
1-18.4%
3-17.4%

Hoffenheim II vs SV Meppen stats

Hoffenheim II and SV Meppen recent form

newest first
Hoffenheim II WDLWWL
SV Meppen LLLWWL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Hoffenheim II and SV Meppen going into this match

league record before kick-off

Hoffenheim II record

  • They have won 3 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.2 goals per match.
  • They average 3.0 goals per game at home against 1.3 on the road.
  • 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

SV Meppen record

  • They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
  • 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Hoffenheim II vs SV Meppen head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Hoffenheim II vs SV Meppen odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 46.8%, draw 24.2%, away 29.0%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.88 3.72 3.27
Bet365 2.05 3.60 3.10
BetVictor 1.80 3.40 2.88
Betano 2.05 3.80 3.15
Betfair 1.90 3.90 3.10
Marathonbet 1.86 3.72 3.20
Pinnacle 1.92 4.14 3.40
SBO 2.01 3.32 2.85
William Hill 1.95 3.70 3.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.92 ▼ -0.33
X 3.72 ▲ +0.17
2 3.10 ▲ +0.50

9 snapshots recorded, from .