Garuda Lions
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3. Liga · Full time ·Matchday 6

SV Meppen vs FC Viktoria Köln

1 – 3 Full time

5′Tobias Eisenhuth
25′Stefan Rankić
33′Lucas Wolf
45′Jona Borsum
55′Tim kloss
66′Niklas Horst CastelleNoah Maboulou
66′Richard Christian·MeierCyrill Akono
66′Pascal FallmannMarco Pledl
66′Luca PrasseJannic ehlers
69′Cyrill Akono
74′Meiko Sponsel
77′Tobias Missner
77′Cyrill Akono
78′Tobias EisenhuthJason Amann
81′Jona BorsumSimon Engelmann
85′Niclas Tibor Nadj
89′Niklas JahnTaylan Duman
89′David OttoJakob Sachse
90′Jakob Sachse
90′Lucas Wolf

Hansch-Arena, MeppenReferee: M. Kluge

SV Meppen 32%
Draw 24%
FC Viktoria Köln 44%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

11 Shots 11
1 Shots on target 4
48 Possession % 52
6 Corners 2

SV Meppen vs FC Viktoria Köln overview

Garuda Lions analysis: SV Meppen vs FC Viktoria Köln

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilitySV MeppenDrawFC Viktoria Köln
Model28.1%23.6%48.3%
Market33.2%24.3%42.5%
Final31.9%24.2%43.9%
Edge-5.1%-0.7%+5.8%

Confidence: Low

Why FC Viktoria Köln

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.97 vs 1.48.
  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
  • The market prices FC Viktoria Köln below the model: +5.8 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

SV Meppen ↓ / FC Viktoria Kö → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 5% 6% 1 10% 9% 6% 2 7% 7% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 96%
2+ goals 87%
3+ goals 67%
No goals 4%

SV Meppen and FC Viktoria Köln expected goals

SV Meppen 1.48
FC Viktoria Köln 1.97

Total expected goals: 3.45

SV Meppen and FC Viktoria Köln attack and defence ratings

SV Meppen

Attack 0.94 -6%
Defence 1.21 +21%

FC Viktoria Köln

Attack 1.11 +11%
Defence 0.90 -10%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

SV Meppen vs FC Viktoria Köln: result vs prediction

SV Meppen 1 – 3 FC Viktoria Köln

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 6 fixtures

3. Liga

Before and after this match

SV Meppen vs FC Viktoria Köln markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 FC Viktoria Köln 43.9% 2.28 +5.8% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 67.0% 1.49 — —
Both teams to score Yes 67.4% 1.48 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 75.8% 1.32 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 51.7% 1.93 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2SV Meppen31.9%
Draw24.2%
FC Viktoria Köln43.9%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.567.0%
Under 2.533.0%
Both teams to scoreYes67.4%
No32.6%
Double chance1X (home or draw)56.1%
12 (either side)75.8%
X2 (draw or away)68.1%
Handicap -1FC Viktoria Köln win28.1%
Push (exactly one goal)20.1%
Loss51.7%
Correct score (top 3)1-110.2%
1-29.1%
2-16.8%

SV Meppen vs FC Viktoria Köln stats

SV Meppen and FC Viktoria Köln recent form

newest first
SV Meppen LLWWL
FC Viktoria Köln WLWDWL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 5 completed matches.

SV Meppen and FC Viktoria Köln going into this match

league record before kick-off

SV Meppen record

  • They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.

FC Viktoria Köln record

  • They have won 3 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 2.6 goals per match.

SV Meppen vs FC Viktoria Köln head-to-head

Last 8 meetings

2SV Meppen wins 3Draws 3FC Viktoria Köln wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2023-03-17FC Viktoria KölnSV Meppen3. Liga3-1
2022-09-17SV MeppenFC Viktoria Köln3. Liga2-2
2022-04-25FC Viktoria KölnSV Meppen3. Liga1-1
2021-11-22SV MeppenFC Viktoria Köln3. Liga4-0
2021-03-09FC Viktoria KölnSV Meppen3. Liga1-0
2020-10-18SV MeppenFC Viktoria Köln3. Liga0-1
2020-06-09FC Viktoria KölnSV Meppen3. Liga1-3
2019-10-21SV MeppenFC Viktoria Köln3. Liga1-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

SV Meppen vs FC Viktoria Köln odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 33.2%, draw 24.3%, away 42.5%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.80 3.76 2.07
Bet365 2.88 3.40 2.15
BetVictor 2.55 3.25 2.00
Betano 2.90 3.65 2.20
Betfair 2.75 3.75 2.10
Marathonbet 2.74 3.76 2.05
Pinnacle 2.83 4.27 2.16
SBO 2.58 3.45 2.21
William Hill 2.62 3.75 2.15

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.75 ▲ +0.25
X 3.75 ▲ +0.23
2 2.15 ▼ -0.20

10 snapshots recorded, from .