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3. Liga · Full time ·Matchday 6

SSV Jahn Regensburg vs Fortuna Düsseldorf

1 – 2 Full time

18′Nassim Boujellab
20′Elias Egouli
22′Erik Wekesser
24′Nassim Boujellab
28′Malte Karbstein
58′Philipp FörsterJomaine Consbruch
58′Steven Van Der SlootMatthias Zimmermann
58′Eric HottmannFabian Schleusener
62′Leopold wurm
67′Nicolas kisilowskiBenedikt Bauer
67′Sascha HingerlLeo Mätzler
73′Anas SlimaniLukas Eixler
79′Adrian FeinJakob Seibold
80′Lukas Eixler
84′Yassine Bouchama
85′Nassim BoujellabPatrick Hobsch
85′Erik MajetschakDavid Lennart Philipp
87′Erik WekesserLukas Bornschein

Jahnstadion Regensburg, RegensburgReferee: T. Gansloweit

SSV Jahn Regensburg 37%
Draw 26%
Fortuna Düsseldorf 37%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

13 Shots 9
1 Shots on target 2
49 Possession % 51
9 Corners 3

SSV Jahn Regensburg vs Fortuna Düsseldorf overview

Garuda Lions analysis: SSV Jahn Regensburg vs Fortuna Düsseldorf

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilitySSV Jahn RegensburgDrawFortuna Düsseldorf
Model52.8%24.4%22.8%
Market31.9%26.7%41.4%
Final37.1%26.2%36.7%
Edge+21.0%-2.3%-18.6%

Confidence: Low

Why SSV Jahn Regensburg

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.90 vs 1.19.
  • The market prices SSV Jahn Regensburg below the model: +21.0 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

SSV Jahn Regen ↓ / Fortuna Düssel → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 8% 11% 6% 2 8% 10% 6% 3 6% 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 94%
2+ goals 82%
3+ goals 60%
No goals 6%

SSV Jahn Regensburg and Fortuna Düsseldorf expected goals

SSV Jahn Regensburg 1.90
Fortuna Düsseldorf 1.19

Total expected goals: 3.10

SSV Jahn Regensburg and Fortuna Düsseldorf attack and defence ratings

SSV Jahn Regensburg

Attack 1.03 +3%
Defence 1.18 +18%

Fortuna Düsseldorf

Attack 0.69 -31%
Defence 1.05 +5%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

SSV Jahn Regensburg vs Fortuna Düsseldorf: result vs prediction

SSV Jahn Regensburg 1 – 2 Fortuna Düsseldorf

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 6 fixtures

3. Liga

Before and after this match

SSV Jahn Regensburg vs Fortuna Düsseldorf markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 SSV Jahn Regensburg 37.1% 2.70 +21.0% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 59.8% 1.67 — —
Both teams to score Yes 60.3% 1.66 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 73.8% 1.35 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 47.2% 2.12 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2SSV Jahn Regensburg37.1%
Draw26.2%
Fortuna Düsseldorf36.7%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.559.8%
Under 2.540.2%
Both teams to scoreYes60.3%
No39.7%
Double chance1X (home or draw)63.3%
12 (either side)73.8%
X2 (draw or away)62.9%
Handicap -1SSV Jahn Regensburg win31.0%
Push (exactly one goal)21.8%
Loss47.2%
Correct score (top 3)1-111.3%
2-19.8%
2-08.2%

SSV Jahn Regensburg vs Fortuna Düsseldorf stats

SSV Jahn Regensburg and Fortuna Düsseldorf recent form

newest first
SSV Jahn Regensburg DLLLWL
Fortuna Düsseldorf WDWLLL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

SSV Jahn Regensburg and Fortuna Düsseldorf going into this match

league record before kick-off

SSV Jahn Regensburg record

  • They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.

Fortuna Düsseldorf record

  • They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.

SSV Jahn Regensburg vs Fortuna Düsseldorf head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

1SSV Jahn Regensburg wins 4Draws 5Fortuna Düsseldorf wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2025-03-15Fortuna DüsseldorfSSV Jahn Regensburg2. Bundesliga1-0
2024-10-19SSV Jahn RegensburgFortuna Düsseldorf2. Bundesliga0-3
2023-03-04SSV Jahn RegensburgFortuna Düsseldorf2. Bundesliga0-1
2022-10-19SSV Jahn RegensburgFortuna DüsseldorfDFB Pokal0-3
2022-08-26Fortuna DüsseldorfSSV Jahn Regensburg2. Bundesliga4-0
2022-02-27SSV Jahn RegensburgFortuna Düsseldorf2. Bundesliga0-0
2021-09-18Fortuna DüsseldorfSSV Jahn Regensburg2. Bundesliga1-1
2021-02-13SSV Jahn RegensburgFortuna Düsseldorf2. Bundesliga1-1
2020-10-18Fortuna DüsseldorfSSV Jahn Regensburg2. Bundesliga2-2
2018-02-23SSV Jahn RegensburgFortuna Düsseldorf2. Bundesliga4-3

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

SSV Jahn Regensburg vs Fortuna Düsseldorf odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 31.9%, draw 26.7%, away 41.4%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.86 3.36 2.18
Bet365 2.55 3.30 2.35
BetVictor 2.55 3.13 2.05
Betano 2.82 3.50 2.32
Betfair 2.75 3.60 2.15
Marathonbet 2.77 3.38 2.17
Pinnacle 3.00 3.63 2.27
SBO 2.83 3.28 2.12
William Hill 2.88 3.30 2.15

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.82 ▲ +0.02
X 3.36 ▼ -0.14
2 2.17 —

10 snapshots recorded, from .