SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach
vs
Verl
1 – 1 Full time
| 4′ | Tim Heike | ||
| 22′ | Dennis WaidnerYari Otto | ||
| 57′ | V. Celiktas | ||
| 60′ | Amin FaroukAntonio Foti | ||
| 70′ | Niklas PollexNikos Zografakis | ||
| 70′ | V. CeliktasChristian Mistl | ||
| 75′ | Andre LeipoldM. Kaube | ||
| 75′ | Fabian WessigAlmin mesanovic | ||
| 75′ | Janne BernerFelix Vogler | ||
| 76′ | Yari Otto | ||
| 79′ | Tim Heike | ||
| 80′ | Lukas StoppelFabian Eisele | ||
| 85′ | P. Reinhardt | ||
| 86′ | Fabian Eisele | ||
| 90′ | Tim RossmannMarlon Freddy Faß | ||
| 90′ | Marius KundeFranz Bleicher |
Match stats
| 13 | Shots | 17 |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Shots on target | 9 |
| 48 | Possession % | 52 |
| 8 | Corners | 5 |
SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach vs Verl overview
Garuda Lions analysis: SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach vs Verl
| Probability | SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach | Draw | Verl |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 34.2% | 28.7% | 37.1% |
| Market | 43.1% | 23.3% | 33.5% |
| Final | 40.9% | 24.7% | 34.4% |
| Edge | -8.9% | +5.3% | +3.6% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach and Verl expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.63
SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach and Verl attack and defence ratings
SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach
Verl
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach vs Verl: result vs prediction
SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach 1 – 1 Verl
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
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Before and after this match
SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach vs Verl markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach | 40.9% | 2.45 | -8.9% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 51.0% | 1.96 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 54.8% | 1.82 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 75.3% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 65.8% | 1.52 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach | 40.9% |
| Draw | 24.7% | |
| Verl | 34.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 49.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 51.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 54.8% |
| No | 45.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 65.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 59.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach win | 15.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.7% | |
| Loss | 65.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.7% |
| 0-1 | 8.4% | |
| 0-0 | 8.4% |
SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach vs Verl stats
SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach and Verl recent form
| SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach |
DWLDLW |
| Verl |
WWLLLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach and Verl going into this match
SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach record
- They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- 55% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Verl record
- They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach vs Verl head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach vs Verl odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 43.1%, draw 23.3%, away 33.5%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.08 | 3.88 | 2.72 |
| Bet365 | 2.10 | 3.50 | 2.88 |
| BetVictor | 1.95 | 3.50 | 2.50 |
| Betano | 2.18 | 3.90 | 2.82 |
| Betfair | 2.10 | 3.90 | 2.70 |
| Marathonbet | 2.06 | 3.88 | 2.66 |
| Pinnacle | 2.12 | 4.45 | 2.82 |
| SBO | 2.06 | 3.68 | 2.69 |
| William Hill | 2.10 | 3.90 | 2.62 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
10 snapshots recorded, from .