Verl
vs
Würzburger Kickers
2 – 1 Full time
| 27′ | Janne Berner | ||
| 43′ | Almin mesanovic | ||
| 47′ | Tarsis Bonga | ||
| 55′ | Janne Berner | ||
| 61′ | Franck evinaThomas Kastanaras | ||
| 72′ | L. EberlePedro Eliot Narciso Muteba | ||
| 72′ | N. EmbayeXaver Kiefersauer | ||
| 76′ | Dominik MeiselLouis Breunig | ||
| 76′ | ivan franjicTim·Kraus | ||
| 80′ | Mika ClausenYari Otto | ||
| 87′ | Timo SchlieckFabian Pekruhl | ||
| 88′ | Louis Breunig | ||
| 89′ | Andre LeipoldBilal Yalcinkaya | ||
| 89′ | Tim HeikeKasim Rabihic |
Match stats
| 19 | Shots | 14 |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Shots on target | 3 |
| 60 | Possession % | 40 |
| 8 | Corners | 3 |
Verl vs Würzburger Kickers overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Verl vs Würzburger Kickers
| Probability | Verl | Draw | Würzburger Kickers |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 48.6% | 24.7% | 26.6% |
| Market | 46.0% | 25.5% | 28.6% |
| Final | 46.6% | 25.3% | 28.1% |
| Edge | +2.7% | -0.7% | -1.9% |
Why Verl
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.85 vs 1.33.
- The market prices Verl below the model: +2.7 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Verl and Würzburger Kickers expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.19
Verl and Würzburger Kickers attack and defence ratings
Verl
Würzburger Kickers
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Verl vs Würzburger Kickers: result vs prediction
Verl 2 – 1 Würzburger Kickers
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 7 fixtures
- FC Viktoria Köln v FC Ingolstadt 04 — match page
- Alemannia Aachen vs Fortuna Düsseldorf — team news & stats
- Hoffenheim II v SV Meppen — match page
- Stuttgart II vs SSV Jahn Regensburg — team news & stats
- FC Saarbrücken vs SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach
- Rot-Weiß Essen v Hansa Rostock — match page
- Waldhof Mannheim vs Preußen Münster — team news & stats
- SV Wehen vs MSV Duisburg
Before and after this match
Verl vs Würzburger Kickers markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Verl | 46.6% | 2.14 | +2.7% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 61.7% | 1.62 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 63.1% | 1.58 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 74.7% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 51.4% | 1.95 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Verl | 46.6% |
| Draw | 25.3% | |
| Würzburger Kickers | 28.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 61.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 38.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 63.1% |
| No | 36.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 71.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 53.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Verl win | 27.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.9% | |
| Loss | 51.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.2% |
| 2-1 | 9.5% | |
| 2-0 | 7.1% |
Verl vs Würzburger Kickers stats
Verl and Würzburger Kickers recent form
| Verl |
DWWLLL |
| Würzburger Kickers |
WLLLLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Verl and Würzburger Kickers going into this match
Verl record
- They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 1.7 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Würzburger Kickers record
- They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.3 on the road.
- 43% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Verl vs Würzburger Kickers head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-01-16 | Verl | Würzburger Kickers | 3. Liga | 2-0 |
| 2021-08-02 | Würzburger Kickers | Verl | 3. Liga | 0-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Verl vs Würzburger Kickers odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 46.0%, draw 25.5%, away 28.6%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.96 | 3.52 | 3.21 |
| Bet365 | 1.95 | 3.60 | 3.30 |
| BetVictor | 1.87 | 3.25 | 2.80 |
| Betano | 2.10 | 3.65 | 3.10 |
| Betfair | 1.90 | 3.80 | 3.25 |
| Marathonbet | 1.94 | 3.52 | 3.14 |
| Pinnacle | 2.03 | 3.91 | 3.31 |
| SBO | 2.01 | 3.45 | 2.93 |
| William Hill | 1.95 | 3.50 | 3.10 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
10 snapshots recorded, from .