Würzburger Kickers
vs
Hansa Rostock
Garuda Lions Prediction: Hansa Rostock
1 – 2 Predicted score · 7% model probability
Würzburger Kickers vs Hansa Rostock overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Würzburger Kickers vs Hansa Rostock
| Probability | Würzburger Kickers | Draw | Hansa Rostock |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 37.5% | 21.3% | 41.3% |
| Market | 27.7% | 25.5% | 46.8% |
| Final | 30.2% | 24.4% | 45.4% |
| Edge | +9.7% | -4.2% | -5.5% |
Why Hansa Rostock
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Best available price on the pick: 2.00, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Würzburger Kickers vs Hansa Rostock match preview
Würzburger Kickers face Hansa Rostock in a 3. Liga match with kickoff set for October 10, 2026. The model indicates a probability of 26% for a Würzburger Kickers win, while Hansa Rostock holds a 53% chance of victory, with a draw at 22%. The most likely scoreline is 1-2, occurring at a rate of 7%.
Both teams are expected to contribute to a high-scoring affair, with an 80% likelihood of over 2.5 goals and a 78% chance of both teams scoring. The expected goals are close, with Würzburger Kickers at 2.08 and Hansa Rostock at 2.18. Recent form shows Würzburger Kickers struggling with five losses in their last six matches, while Hansa Rostock has managed two wins in their last six outings.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Würzburger Kickers and Hansa Rostock expected goals
Total expected goals: 4.25
Würzburger Kickers and Hansa Rostock attack and defence ratings
Würzburger Kickers
Hansa Rostock
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 8 fixtures
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- SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach v Waldhof Mannheim — match page
- SV Meppen vs Stuttgart II — team news & stats
- Fortuna Köln vs FC Saarbrücken
- MSV Duisburg v Hoffenheim II — match page
- FC Ingolstadt 04 vs SV Wehen
- Alemannia Aachen v FC Viktoria Köln — match page
Before and after this match
Würzburger Kickers vs Hansa Rostock markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Hansa Rostock | 45.4% | 2.20 | -5.5% | 2.00 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 79.7% | 1.25 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 78.2% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 75.6% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 58.7% | 1.70 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Würzburger Kickers | 30.2% |
| Draw | 24.4% | |
| Hansa Rostock | 45.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 79.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 20.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 78.2% |
| No | 21.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 54.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 69.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Hansa Rostock win | 24.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 17.2% | |
| Loss | 58.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-2 | 7.3% |
| 1-1 | 7.1% | |
| 1-2 | 7.0% |
Würzburger Kickers vs Hansa Rostock stats
Würzburger Kickers and Hansa Rostock recent form
| LWLLLL | |
| DWLDWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Würzburger Kickers and Hansa Rostock season so far
Würzburger Kickers record
- They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
- 47% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Hansa Rostock record
- They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 2.1 goals per match.
Würzburger Kickers vs Hansa Rostock head-to-head
Last 8 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020-06-27 | Würzburger Kickers | Hansa Rostock | 3. Liga | 3-1 |
| 2019-11-30 | Hansa Rostock | Würzburger Kickers | 3. Liga | 1-0 |
| 2019-02-17 | Würzburger Kickers | Hansa Rostock | 3. Liga | 0-2 |
| 2018-08-25 | Hansa Rostock | Würzburger Kickers | 3. Liga | 0-4 |
| 2018-02-10 | Hansa Rostock | Würzburger Kickers | 3. Liga | 3-1 |
| 2017-08-20 | Würzburger Kickers | Hansa Rostock | 3. Liga | 0-3 |
| 2016-04-23 | Würzburger Kickers | Hansa Rostock | 3. Liga | 2-1 |
| 2015-11-07 | Hansa Rostock | Würzburger Kickers | 3. Liga | 0-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Würzburger Kickers vs Hansa Rostock odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 27.7%, draw 25.5%, away 46.8%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.23 | 3.55 | 1.94 |
| Bet365 | 3.50 | 3.50 | 1.83 |
| BetVictor | 3.00 | 3.20 | 1.80 |
| Betano | 3.45 | 3.80 | 1.93 |
| Betfair | 3.30 | 3.60 | 1.90 |
| Dafabet | 3.30 | 3.70 | 2.00 |
| Marathonbet | 3.16 | 3.55 | 1.92 |
| Pinnacle | 3.30 | 4.00 | 1.94 |
| SBO | 3.04 | 3.16 | 1.99 |
| William Hill | 3.10 | 3.40 | 2.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
30 snapshots recorded, from .