3. Liga · ·Matchday 8

Würzburger Kickers vs Hansa Rostock

Garuda Lions Prediction: Hansa Rostock

1 – 2 Predicted score · 7% model probability

Flyeralarm Arena, WuerzburgReferee: Wolfgang Haslberger

Würzburger Kickers 30%
Draw 24%
Hansa Rostock 45%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Chance Hansa Rostock wins
45%
most likely outcome
Chance of a goal
98%
at least one goal in the match
Both teams score
78%
goals at both ends
Most likely score with our pick
1 – 2
7% of simulated outcomes

Würzburger Kickers vs Hansa Rostock overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Würzburger Kickers vs Hansa Rostock

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityWürzburger KickersDrawHansa Rostock
Model37.5%21.3%41.3%
Market27.7%25.5%46.8%
Final30.2%24.4%45.4%
Edge+9.7%-4.2%-5.5%

Confidence: Low

Why Hansa Rostock

  • Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Best available price on the pick: 2.00, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.

Würzburger Kickers vs Hansa Rostock match preview

Würzburger Kickers face Hansa Rostock in a 3. Liga match with kickoff set for October 10, 2026. The model indicates a probability of 26% for a Würzburger Kickers win, while Hansa Rostock holds a 53% chance of victory, with a draw at 22%. The most likely scoreline is 1-2, occurring at a rate of 7%.

Both teams are expected to contribute to a high-scoring affair, with an 80% likelihood of over 2.5 goals and a 78% chance of both teams scoring. The expected goals are close, with Würzburger Kickers at 2.08 and Hansa Rostock at 2.18. Recent form shows Würzburger Kickers struggling with five losses in their last six matches, while Hansa Rostock has managed two wins in their last six outings.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Würzburger Kic ↓ / Hansa Rostock → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 7% 7% 5% 5% 2 7% 7% 5% 5% 3 5% 5% 4% 4+ 4% 4%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 98%
2+ goals 93%
3+ goals 80%
No goals 2%

Würzburger Kickers and Hansa Rostock expected goals

Würzburger Kickers 2.08
Hansa Rostock 2.18

Total expected goals: 4.25

Würzburger Kickers and Hansa Rostock attack and defence ratings

Würzburger Kickers

Attack 0.92 -8%
Defence 1.22 +22%

Hansa Rostock

Attack 1.21 +21%
Defence 1.30 +30%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Other Matchday 8 fixtures

3. Liga

Before and after this match

Würzburger Kickers vs Hansa Rostock markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Hansa Rostock 45.4% 2.20 -5.5% 2.00
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 79.7% 1.25 — —
Both teams to score Yes 78.2% 1.28 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 75.6% 1.32 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 58.7% 1.70 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Würzburger Kickers30.2%
Draw24.4%
Hansa Rostock45.4%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.579.7%
Under 2.520.3%
Both teams to scoreYes78.2%
No21.8%
Double chance1X (home or draw)54.6%
12 (either side)75.6%
X2 (draw or away)69.8%
Handicap -1Hansa Rostock win24.1%
Push (exactly one goal)17.2%
Loss58.7%
Correct score (top 3)2-27.3%
1-17.1%
1-27.0%

Würzburger Kickers vs Hansa Rostock stats

Würzburger Kickers and Hansa Rostock recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Würzburger Kickers and Hansa Rostock season so far

league record

Würzburger Kickers record

  • They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
  • They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
  • 47% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Hansa Rostock record

  • They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 2.1 goals per match.

Würzburger Kickers vs Hansa Rostock head-to-head

Last 8 meetings

3Würzburger Kickers wins 1Draws 4Hansa Rostock wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2020-06-27Würzburger KickersHansa Rostock3. Liga3-1
2019-11-30Hansa RostockWürzburger Kickers3. Liga1-0
2019-02-17Würzburger KickersHansa Rostock3. Liga0-2
2018-08-25Hansa RostockWürzburger Kickers3. Liga0-4
2018-02-10Hansa RostockWürzburger Kickers3. Liga3-1
2017-08-20Würzburger KickersHansa Rostock3. Liga0-3
2016-04-23Würzburger KickersHansa Rostock3. Liga2-1
2015-11-07Hansa RostockWürzburger Kickers3. Liga0-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Würzburger Kickers vs Hansa Rostock odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 27.7%, draw 25.5%, away 46.8%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 3.23 3.55 1.94
Bet365 3.50 3.50 1.83
BetVictor 3.00 3.20 1.80
Betano 3.45 3.80 1.93
Betfair 3.30 3.60 1.90
Dafabet 3.30 3.70 2.00
Marathonbet 3.16 3.55 1.92
Pinnacle 3.30 4.00 1.94
SBO 3.04 3.16 1.99
William Hill 3.10 3.40 2.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 3.26 ▼ -0.94
X 3.55 ▼ -0.75
2 1.94 ▲ +0.27

30 snapshots recorded, from .

Prediction snapshot 2 Hansa Rostock Predicted score 1 – 2 Low Bet Now
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