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3. Liga · Full time ·Matchday 8

Würzburger Kickers vs Hansa Rostock

0 – 2 Full time

6′Marco Schuster
15′Ouassim Karada
28′David AbrangaoL. Omore
45′Louis Breunig
45′Maximilian KraussBenno Dietze
65′Franck evinaLuke Hemmerich
65′Thomas KastanarasTim·Kraus
68′Andreas VoglsammerEmil Holten
72′David KinsombiPhilipp Ochs
76′Marco Schuster
83′Leon DajakuYannick Michaelis
86′Niklas Kolle
87′Nathan De Medina
89′Marco SchusterMilosz Brzozowski
89′David KopaczFranz Pfanne
90′Milosz Brzozowski
90′Kenan Fatkic

Flyeralarm Arena, WuerzburgReferee: Wolfgang Haslberger

Würzburger Kickers 28%
Draw 24%
Hansa Rostock 48%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

6 Shots 12
3 Shots on target 8
38 Possession % 62
1 Corners 9

Würzburger Kickers vs Hansa Rostock overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Würzburger Kickers vs Hansa Rostock

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityWürzburger KickersDrawHansa Rostock
Model37.4%21.3%41.3%
Market25.3%24.9%49.8%
Final28.3%24.0%47.6%
Edge+3.0%-0.9%-2.1%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why Hansa Rostock

  • Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Würzburger Kic ↓ / Hansa Rostock → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 7% 7% 5% 5% 2 7% 7% 5% 5% 3 5% 5% 4% 4+ 4% 4%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 98%
2+ goals 93%
3+ goals 80%
No goals 2%

Würzburger Kickers and Hansa Rostock expected goals

Würzburger Kickers 2.08
Hansa Rostock 2.18

Total expected goals: 4.25

Würzburger Kickers and Hansa Rostock attack and defence ratings

Würzburger Kickers

Attack 0.92 -8%
Defence 1.22 +22%

Hansa Rostock

Attack 1.21 +21%
Defence 1.30 +30%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Würzburger Kickers vs Hansa Rostock: result vs prediction

Würzburger Kickers 0 – 2 Hansa Rostock

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 8 fixtures

3. Liga

Before and after this match

Würzburger Kickers vs Hansa Rostock markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Hansa Rostock 47.6% 2.10 -2.1% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 79.7% 1.26 — —
Both teams to score Yes 78.2% 1.28 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 76.0% 1.32 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 58.7% 1.70 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Würzburger Kickers28.3%
Draw24.0%
Hansa Rostock47.6%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.579.7%
Under 2.520.3%
Both teams to scoreYes78.2%
No21.8%
Double chance1X (home or draw)52.4%
12 (either side)76.0%
X2 (draw or away)71.7%
Handicap -1Hansa Rostock win24.1%
Push (exactly one goal)17.2%
Loss58.7%
Correct score (top 3)2-27.3%
1-17.1%
1-27.0%

Würzburger Kickers vs Hansa Rostock stats

Würzburger Kickers and Hansa Rostock recent form

newest first
Würzburger Kickers LWLLLL
Hansa Rostock DWLDWL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Würzburger Kickers and Hansa Rostock going into this match

league record before kick-off

Würzburger Kickers record

  • They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
  • They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
  • 47% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Hansa Rostock record

  • They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 2.1 goals per match.

Würzburger Kickers vs Hansa Rostock head-to-head

Last 8 meetings

3Würzburger Kickers wins 1Draws 4Hansa Rostock wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2020-06-27Würzburger KickersHansa Rostock3. Liga3-1
2019-11-30Hansa RostockWürzburger Kickers3. Liga1-0
2019-02-17Würzburger KickersHansa Rostock3. Liga0-2
2018-08-25Hansa RostockWürzburger Kickers3. Liga0-4
2018-02-10Hansa RostockWürzburger Kickers3. Liga3-1
2017-08-20Würzburger KickersHansa Rostock3. Liga0-3
2016-04-23Würzburger KickersHansa Rostock3. Liga2-1
2015-11-07Hansa RostockWürzburger Kickers3. Liga0-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Würzburger Kickers vs Hansa Rostock odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 25.3%, draw 24.9%, away 49.8%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 3.54 3.62 1.83
Bet365 3.60 3.50 1.80
BetVictor 3.25 3.25 1.70
Betano 3.60 3.80 1.88
Betfair 3.60 3.60 1.80
Dafabet 3.65 3.75 1.88
Marathonbet 3.46 3.62 1.81
Pinnacle 3.69 4.20 1.84
SBO 3.50 3.40 1.82
William Hill 3.40 3.75 1.80

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 3.57 ▼ -0.63
X 3.62 ▼ -0.68
2 1.81 ▲ +0.15

31 snapshots recorded, from .