3. Liga · Full time ·Matchday 8

SV Meppen vs Stuttgart II

1 – 1 Full time

15′Jarzinho Malanga
28′Niclas Tibor Nadj
42′Oliver Issa Schmitt
54′Cyrill AkonoRichard Christian·Meier
58′Lauri Lukas PennaJulian Lüers
58′Tim van der LeijBrayann Kenmoe
66′Brayann Kenmoe
71′Oliver RölkeEnis Redzepi
71′Joyeux Masanka Bungi Collin Schramm
74′Thorben DetersJona Borsum
74′Luca PrasseKasra Ghawilu
88′Oliver Issa SchmittNiclas Wessels
88′Jarzinho MalangaDominik Nothnagel
88′Niclas Tibor NadjFlorian Bahr
90′Luis·Sprekelmeyer

Hänsch-Arena, May PenReferee: Simon Schreiner

SV Meppen 41%
Draw 24%
Stuttgart II 35%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

14 Shots 7
5 Shots on target 2
46 Possession % 54
7 Corners 1

SV Meppen vs Stuttgart II overview

Garuda Lions analysis: SV Meppen vs Stuttgart II

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilitySV MeppenDrawStuttgart II
Model34.0%21.6%44.3%
Market43.2%24.7%32.1%
Final40.9%23.9%35.2%
Edge-2.3%-0.8%+3.1%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why SV Meppen

  • Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

SV Meppen ↓ / Stuttgart II → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 4% 1 8% 8% 6% 5% 2 7% 7% 5% 5% 3 4% 5% 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 98%
2+ goals 92%
3+ goals 78%
No goals 2%

SV Meppen and Stuttgart II expected goals

SV Meppen 1.92
Stuttgart II 2.19

Total expected goals: 4.11

SV Meppen and Stuttgart II attack and defence ratings

SV Meppen

Attack 0.80 -20%
Defence 1.20 +20%

Stuttgart II

Attack 1.24 +24%
Defence 1.36 +36%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

SV Meppen vs Stuttgart II: result vs prediction

SV Meppen 1 – 1 Stuttgart II

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 8 fixtures

3. Liga

Before and after this match

SV Meppen vs Stuttgart II markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 SV Meppen 40.9% 2.44 -2.3% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 77.7% 1.29 — —
Both teams to score Yes 76.4% 1.31 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 76.1% 1.31 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 66.0% 1.52 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2SV Meppen40.9%
Draw23.9%
Stuttgart II35.2%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.577.7%
Under 2.522.3%
Both teams to scoreYes76.4%
No23.6%
Double chance1X (home or draw)64.8%
12 (either side)76.1%
X2 (draw or away)59.1%
Handicap -1SV Meppen win18.3%
Push (exactly one goal)15.7%
Loss66.0%
Correct score (top 3)1-17.6%
1-27.6%
2-27.3%

SV Meppen vs Stuttgart II stats

SV Meppen and Stuttgart II recent form

newest first
SV Meppen LLLLWW
Stuttgart II DLLWLL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

SV Meppen and Stuttgart II going into this match

league record before kick-off

SV Meppen record

  • They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
  • 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Stuttgart II record

  • They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.

SV Meppen vs Stuttgart II head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

SV Meppen vs Stuttgart II odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 43.2%, draw 24.7%, away 32.1%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.99 3.78 2.95
Bet365 2.10 3.50 2.80
BetVictor 1.95 3.30 2.63
Betano 2.25 3.65 2.85
Betfair 2.00 3.80 2.80
Dafabet 2.22 3.70 2.85
Marathonbet 1.97 3.78 2.89
Pinnacle 2.13 3.84 3.11
SBO 2.18 3.38 2.66
William Hill 2.10 3.50 2.80

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.10 ▼ -0.02
X 3.67 ▼ -0.08
2 2.83 ▼ -0.17

31 snapshots recorded, from .