SV Meppen
vs
Stuttgart II
Garuda Lions Prediction: SV Meppen
2 – 1 Predicted score · 7% model probability
SV Meppen vs Stuttgart II overview
Garuda Lions analysis: SV Meppen vs Stuttgart II
| Probability | SV Meppen | Draw | Stuttgart II |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 34.1% | 21.6% | 44.3% |
| Market | 44.3% | 24.4% | 31.2% |
| Final | 41.8% | 23.7% | 34.5% |
| Edge | -10.3% | -2.8% | +13.1% |
Why SV Meppen
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Best available price on the pick: 2.20, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
SV Meppen vs Stuttgart II match preview
SV Meppen faces Stuttgart II in a 3. Liga matchup on October 10, 2026, with kickoff set for 12:00 UTC. The model indicates a 42% probability of a home win for SV Meppen, while Stuttgart II has a 34% chance of securing victory, and a draw stands at 23%. The most likely scoreline is 2-1 in favor of SV Meppen, occurring with a 7% probability.
Recent form shows SV Meppen with a record of L-L-L-L-W-W, while Stuttgart II has D-L-L-W-L-L. The expected goals for SV Meppen are 1.92, compared to Stuttgart II's 2.19. There is a high likelihood of over 2.5 goals at 78% and both teams scoring at 76%, suggesting an engaging match ahead. The confidence grade for this analysis is C.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
SV Meppen and Stuttgart II expected goals
Total expected goals: 4.11
SV Meppen and Stuttgart II attack and defence ratings
SV Meppen
Stuttgart II
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 8 fixtures
- Preußen Münster vs Rot-Weiß Essen
- SSV Jahn Regensburg vs Havelse — team news & stats
- Würzburger Kickers vs Hansa Rostock — team news & stats
- SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach v Waldhof Mannheim — match page
- Fortuna Köln vs FC Saarbrücken
- MSV Duisburg v Hoffenheim II — match page
- FC Ingolstadt 04 vs SV Wehen
- Alemannia Aachen v FC Viktoria Köln — match page
Before and after this match
SV Meppen vs Stuttgart II markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | SV Meppen | 41.8% | 2.39 | -10.3% | 2.20 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 77.7% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 76.5% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 76.3% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 66.0% | 1.52 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | SV Meppen | 41.8% |
| Draw | 23.7% | |
| Stuttgart II | 34.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 77.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 22.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 76.5% |
| No | 23.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 65.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 76.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 58.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | SV Meppen win | 18.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 15.7% | |
| Loss | 66.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 7.6% |
| 1-2 | 7.6% | |
| 2-2 | 7.3% |
SV Meppen vs Stuttgart II stats
SV Meppen and Stuttgart II recent form
| SV Meppen |
LLLLWW |
| Stuttgart II |
DLLWLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
SV Meppen and Stuttgart II season so far
SV Meppen record
- They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Stuttgart II record
- They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
SV Meppen vs Stuttgart II head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
SV Meppen vs Stuttgart II odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 44.3%, draw 24.4%, away 31.2%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.99 | 3.78 | 2.95 |
| Bet365 | 2.05 | 3.50 | 2.90 |
| BetVictor | 1.93 | 3.30 | 2.63 |
| Betano | 2.20 | 3.70 | 2.92 |
| Betfair | 1.95 | 3.80 | 3.00 |
| Dafabet | 2.17 | 3.75 | 2.95 |
| Marathonbet | 1.97 | 3.78 | 2.89 |
| Pinnacle | 2.10 | 3.76 | 3.07 |
| SBO | 2.15 | 3.29 | 2.62 |
| William Hill | 2.05 | 3.40 | 2.90 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
30 snapshots recorded, from .