Preußen Münster
vs
Rot-Weiß Essen
3 – 3 Full time
Preußen Münster vs Rot-Weiß Essen overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Preußen Münster vs Rot-Weiß Essen
| Probability | Preußen Münster | Draw | Rot-Weiß Essen |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 28.3% | 24.5% | 47.2% |
| Market | 27.4% | 24.9% | 47.7% |
| Final | 27.6% | 24.8% | 47.5% |
| Edge | +0.9% | -0.4% | -0.5% |
Why Rot-Weiß Essen
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.86 vs 1.41.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Preußen Münster and Rot-Weiß Essen expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.28
Preußen Münster and Rot-Weiß Essen attack and defence ratings
Preußen Münster
Rot-Weiß Essen
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Preußen Münster vs Rot-Weiß Essen: result vs prediction
Preußen Münster 3 – 3 Rot-Weiß Essen
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
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Before and after this match
Preußen Münster vs Rot-Weiß Essen markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Rot-Weiß Essen | 47.5% | 2.10 | -0.5% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 63.6% | 1.57 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 65.0% | 1.54 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 75.2% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 52.8% | 1.89 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Preußen Münster | 27.6% |
| Draw | 24.8% | |
| Rot-Weiß Essen | 47.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 63.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 36.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 65.0% |
| No | 35.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 52.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 72.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Rot-Weiß Essen win | 26.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.4% | |
| Loss | 52.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 10.9% |
| 1-2 | 9.3% | |
| 2-1 | 7.0% |
Preußen Münster vs Rot-Weiß Essen stats
Preußen Münster and Rot-Weiß Essen recent form
| Preußen Münster |
LDWWLL |
| Rot-Weiß Essen |
DWWWDW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Preußen Münster and Rot-Weiß Essen going into this match
Preußen Münster record
- They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.5 on the road.
Rot-Weiß Essen record
- They have won 4 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
- They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 1.3 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 7 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Preußen Münster vs Rot-Weiß Essen head-to-head
Last 6 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-01-28 | Preußen Münster | Rot-Weiß Essen | 3. Liga | 2-1 |
| 2023-08-27 | Rot-Weiß Essen | Preußen Münster | 3. Liga | 1-0 |
| 2022-02-20 | Rot-Weiß Essen | Preußen Münster | Regionalliga - West | 1-1 |
| 2021-09-14 | Preußen Münster | Rot-Weiß Essen | Regionalliga - West | 2-3 |
| 2021-03-13 | Preußen Münster | Rot-Weiß Essen | Regionalliga - West | 1-0 |
| 2020-10-17 | Rot-Weiß Essen | Preußen Münster | Regionalliga - West | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Preußen Münster vs Rot-Weiß Essen odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 27.4%, draw 24.9%, away 47.7%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.42 | 3.65 | 1.85 |
| Bet365 | 3.30 | 3.40 | 1.91 |
| BetVictor | 2.90 | 3.25 | 1.83 |
| Betano | 3.45 | 3.65 | 1.98 |
| Betfair | 3.25 | 3.75 | 1.90 |
| Dafabet | 3.35 | 3.65 | 2.00 |
| Marathonbet | 3.35 | 3.65 | 1.83 |
| Pinnacle | 3.49 | 3.79 | 2.00 |
| SBO | 3.15 | 3.25 | 1.98 |
| William Hill | 3.25 | 3.50 | 1.91 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
30 snapshots recorded, from .