SSV Jahn Regensburg
vs
Havelse
Garuda Lions Prediction: SSV Jahn Regensburg
2 – 1 Predicted score · 8% model probability
SSV Jahn Regensburg vs Havelse overview
Garuda Lions analysis: SSV Jahn Regensburg vs Havelse
| Probability | SSV Jahn Regensburg | Draw | Havelse |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 53.1% | 20.3% | 26.5% |
| Market | 58.1% | 21.3% | 20.6% |
| Final | 56.8% | 21.1% | 22.1% |
| Edge | -4.9% | -1.0% | +5.9% |
Why SSV Jahn Regensburg
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.47 vs 1.75.
Best available price on the pick: 1.65, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
SSV Jahn Regensburg vs Havelse match preview
SSV Jahn Regensburg is set to face Havelse in a 3. Liga match on October 10, 2026. The model indicates a 60% probability of a Regensburg victory, while both a draw and a Havelse win sit at 20%. The expected goals suggest a strong offensive performance from Regensburg, with an expected 2.47 goals compared to Havelse's 1.75. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, occurring with an 8% probability.
Recent form shows Regensburg struggling, with their last six matches resulting in one draw and five losses. In contrast, Havelse has recorded one win, two draws, and three losses in their last six outings. Historically, Regensburg has dominated their recent encounters, winning both of the last two matches against Havelse without conceding. The overall confidence grade for this matchup is C, reflecting a blend of model probabilities and market odds.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
SSV Jahn Regensburg and Havelse expected goals
Total expected goals: 4.22
SSV Jahn Regensburg and Havelse attack and defence ratings
SSV Jahn Regensburg
Havelse
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 8 fixtures
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- Würzburger Kickers vs Hansa Rostock — team news & stats
- SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach v Waldhof Mannheim — match page
- SV Meppen vs Stuttgart II — team news & stats
- Fortuna Köln vs FC Saarbrücken
- MSV Duisburg v Hoffenheim II — match page
- FC Ingolstadt 04 vs SV Wehen
- Alemannia Aachen v FC Viktoria Köln — match page
Before and after this match
SSV Jahn Regensburg vs Havelse markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | SSV Jahn Regensburg | 56.8% | 1.76 | -4.9% | 1.65 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 79.2% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 76.3% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 78.9% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 46.9% | 2.13 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | SSV Jahn Regensburg | 56.8% |
| Draw | 21.1% | |
| Havelse | 22.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 79.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 20.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 76.3% |
| No | 23.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 77.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 78.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 43.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | SSV Jahn Regensburg win | 34.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.0% | |
| Loss | 46.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-1 | 7.8% |
| 1-1 | 7.0% | |
| 2-2 | 6.9% |
SSV Jahn Regensburg vs Havelse stats
SSV Jahn Regensburg and Havelse recent form
| SSV Jahn Regensburg |
DLDLLL |
| Havelse |
LLDLWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
SSV Jahn Regensburg and Havelse season so far
SSV Jahn Regensburg record
- They have won 1 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
- They average 2.8 goals per game on the road against 0.7 at home.
Havelse record
- They have won 1 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
- 41% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
SSV Jahn Regensburg vs Havelse head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-21 | SSV Jahn Regensburg | Havelse | 3. Liga | 5-2 |
| 2025-10-19 | Havelse | SSV Jahn Regensburg | 3. Liga | 1-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
SSV Jahn Regensburg vs Havelse odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 58.1%, draw 21.3%, away 20.6%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.54 | 4.30 | 4.47 |
| Bet365 | 1.57 | 3.90 | 4.50 |
| BetVictor | 1.50 | 3.70 | 3.80 |
| Betano | 1.65 | 4.25 | 4.45 |
| Betfair | 1.53 | 4.33 | 4.60 |
| Dafabet | 1.62 | 4.40 | 4.50 |
| Marathonbet | 1.52 | 4.30 | 4.40 |
| Pinnacle | 1.61 | 4.49 | 4.38 |
| SBO | 1.57 | 3.87 | 3.98 |
| William Hill | 1.60 | 4.00 | 4.20 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
30 snapshots recorded, from .