Havelse
vs
Fortuna Köln
1 – 3 Full time
| 7′ | Adrian Stanilewicz | ||
| 39′ | Bennit Bröger | ||
| 40′ | Semi Belkahia | ||
| 54′ | Romeo AigbekaenEnzo Wirtz | ||
| 67′ | Kwasi Okyere Wriedt | ||
| 69′ | Bennit BrögerJannik Mause | ||
| 69′ | Nico ThierCedric Harenbrock | ||
| 74′ | Tom Geerkens | ||
| 75′ | Robin VelascoLorenzo Paldino | ||
| 79′ | Seymour FüngerNeo Telle | ||
| 83′ | Jannik Mause | ||
| 84′ | Kevin SchumacherLeon Sommer | ||
| 84′ | Semi BelkahiaYusuf Wardak | ||
| 84′ | Alexander GuiddirRobin Müller | ||
| 90′ | Enzo Wirtz | ||
| 90′ | Johann Berger |
Match stats
| 10 | Shots | 7 |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Shots on target | 3 |
| 58 | Possession % | 42 |
| 5 | Corners | 1 |
Havelse vs Fortuna Köln overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Havelse vs Fortuna Köln
| Probability | Havelse | Draw | Fortuna Köln |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 37.8% | 26.6% | 35.6% |
| Market | 34.2% | 26.6% | 39.3% |
| Final | 35.1% | 26.6% | 38.3% |
| Edge | +3.6% | +0.1% | -3.6% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Havelse and Fortuna Köln expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.99
Havelse and Fortuna Köln attack and defence ratings
Havelse
Fortuna Köln
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Havelse vs Fortuna Köln: result vs prediction
Havelse 1 – 3 Fortuna Köln
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 7 fixtures
- Verl vs Würzburger Kickers
- FC Viktoria Köln v FC Ingolstadt 04 — match page
- Alemannia Aachen vs Fortuna Düsseldorf — team news & stats
- Hoffenheim II v SV Meppen — match page
- Stuttgart II vs SSV Jahn Regensburg — team news & stats
- FC Saarbrücken vs SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach
- Rot-Weiß Essen v Hansa Rostock — match page
- Waldhof Mannheim vs Preußen Münster — team news & stats
Before and after this match
Havelse vs Fortuna Köln markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Fortuna Köln | 38.3% | 2.61 | -3.6% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 57.4% | 1.74 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 61.2% | 1.63 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 73.4% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 64.4% | 1.55 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Havelse | 35.1% |
| Draw | 26.6% | |
| Fortuna Köln | 38.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 57.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 42.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 61.2% |
| No | 38.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 61.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 64.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Fortuna Köln win | 17.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.3% | |
| Loss | 64.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.4% |
| 2-1 | 8.5% | |
| 1-2 | 8.3% |
Havelse vs Fortuna Köln stats
Havelse and Fortuna Köln recent form
| Havelse |
LDLWLL |
| Fortuna Köln |
LDDWDL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Havelse and Fortuna Köln going into this match
Havelse record
- They have won 1 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They average 2.3 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
- 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Fortuna Köln record
- They have won 1 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They average 1.3 goals per game on the road against 0.3 at home.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 6 matches.
Havelse vs Fortuna Köln head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Havelse vs Fortuna Köln odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 33.8%, draw 27.0%, away 39.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.65 | 3.32 | 2.27 |
| Bet365 | 2.60 | 3.40 | 2.30 |
| BetVictor | 2.45 | 3.10 | 2.15 |
| Betano | 2.70 | 3.50 | 2.42 |
| Betfair | 2.63 | 3.50 | 2.30 |
| Marathonbet | 2.64 | 3.32 | 2.28 |
| Pinnacle | 2.80 | 3.63 | 2.40 |
| SBO | 2.83 | 3.23 | 2.14 |
| William Hill | 2.90 | 3.20 | 2.20 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
7 snapshots recorded, from .