3. Liga · Full time ·Matchday 8

Fortuna Köln vs FC Saarbrücken

0 – 0 Full time

45′Niko Bretschneider
45′Alexander StaffKaan Caliskaner
61′Bennit BrögerJannik Mause
61′Seung-joon LeeKelsey Owusu
61′Nico ThierCedric Harenbrock
61′Kai BrünkerChristian Kühlwetter
77′Sebastian VasiliadisZac Shuaib
80′Romeo AigbekaenTimo Bornemann
80′Florian HeisterDavid Savic
82′Philip FahrnerCalogero Rizzuto
89′David Savic
90′Christian Kühlwetter

Südstadion, CologneReferee: Felix Grund

Fortuna Köln 31%
Draw 25%
FC Saarbrücken 44%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

10 Shots 11
5 Shots on target 6
49 Possession % 51
6 Corners 3

Fortuna Köln vs FC Saarbrücken overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Fortuna Köln vs FC Saarbrücken

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityFortuna KölnDrawFC Saarbrücken
Model36.6%25.7%37.7%
Market28.6%25.3%46.1%
Final30.6%25.4%44.0%
Edge+2.0%+0.1%-2.1%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Fortuna Köln ↓ / FC Saarbrücken → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 12% 8% 2 8% 7% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 95%
2+ goals 83%
3+ goals 61%
No goals 5%

Fortuna Köln and FC Saarbrücken expected goals

Fortuna Köln 1.57
FC Saarbrücken 1.59

Total expected goals: 3.16

Fortuna Köln and FC Saarbrücken attack and defence ratings

Fortuna Köln

Attack 0.87 -13%
Defence 0.85 -15%

FC Saarbrücken

Attack 1.28 +28%
Defence 1.03 +3%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Fortuna Köln vs FC Saarbrücken: result vs prediction

Fortuna Köln 0 – 0 FC Saarbrücken

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 8 fixtures

3. Liga

Before and after this match

Fortuna Köln vs FC Saarbrücken markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 FC Saarbrücken 44.0% 2.27 -2.1% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 61.2% 1.63 — —
Both teams to score Yes 64.1% 1.56 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 74.6% 1.34 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 62.3% 1.60 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Fortuna Köln30.6%
Draw25.4%
FC Saarbrücken44.0%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.561.2%
Under 2.538.8%
Both teams to scoreYes64.1%
No35.9%
Double chance1X (home or draw)56.0%
12 (either side)74.6%
X2 (draw or away)69.4%
Handicap -1FC Saarbrücken win19.2%
Push (exactly one goal)18.5%
Loss62.3%
Correct score (top 3)1-111.6%
1-28.4%
2-18.3%

Fortuna Köln vs FC Saarbrücken stats

Fortuna Köln and FC Saarbrücken recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Fortuna Köln and FC Saarbrücken going into this match

league record before kick-off

Fortuna Köln record

  • They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
  • They average 1.8 goals per game on the road against 0.3 at home.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 7 matches.

FC Saarbrücken record

  • They have won 4 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 2.7 goals per match.
  • They average 3.3 goals per game on the road against 2.2 at home.
  • 43% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Fortuna Köln vs FC Saarbrücken head-to-head

Last 1 meetings

0Fortuna Köln wins 0Draws 1FC Saarbrücken wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2023-01-07FC SaarbrückenFortuna KölnFriendlies Clubs2-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Fortuna Köln vs FC Saarbrücken odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 28.6%, draw 25.3%, away 46.1%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 3.25 3.60 1.92
Bet365 3.00 3.40 2.00
BetVictor 2.90 3.20 1.85
Betano 3.20 3.60 2.07
Betfair 3.10 3.60 1.95
Dafabet 3.25 3.60 2.07
Marathonbet 3.18 3.60 1.90
Pinnacle 3.47 3.81 2.00
SBO 3.02 3.26 2.03
William Hill 3.20 3.40 1.95

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 3.19 ▼ -0.61
X 3.60 ▼ -0.15
2 1.98 ▲ +0.12

31 snapshots recorded, from .