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3. Liga · Full time ·Matchday 8

FC Ingolstadt 04 vs SV Wehen

2 – 4 Full time

42′Jonas Scholz
57′Frederik Carlsen
59′Florian Hübner
60′Dennis Kayginbenjamin kanuric
65′Max Brandt
67′Nishan VelupillayJosef Ganda
67′Frederik CarlsenObed Chidindu Ugondu
70′Keanan Bennetts
71′Raul Paula
72′Michael Schultz
72′Raul PaulaMichael Schultz
77′Marcus MullerMoritz flotho
77′Roberto MassimoRobin Kalem
81′Vinko SapinaLukas Fröde
81′Keanan BennettsEmre Gul
82′Obed Chidindu Ugondu
87′Yannick Deichmann
88′Robin Kalem
89′Fabian GreilingerNiklas May

Audi Sportpark, IngolstadtReferee: Davina Lutz

FC Ingolstadt 04 43%
Draw 27%
SV Wehen 31%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

15 Shots 10
5 Shots on target 7
57 Possession % 43
9 Corners 10

FC Ingolstadt 04 vs SV Wehen overview

Garuda Lions analysis: FC Ingolstadt 04 vs SV Wehen

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityFC Ingolstadt 04DrawSV Wehen
Model53.3%25.0%21.7%
Market39.2%27.3%33.5%
Final42.7%26.7%30.6%
Edge+3.5%-0.6%-2.9%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why FC Ingolstadt 04

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.83 vs 1.11.
  • Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
  • The market prices FC Ingolstadt 04 below our published probability: +3.5 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

FC Ingolstadt ↓ / SV Wehen → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 6% 1 9% 12% 6% 2 9% 10% 3 6% 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 94%
2+ goals 80%
3+ goals 56%
No goals 6%

FC Ingolstadt 04 and SV Wehen expected goals

FC Ingolstadt 04 1.83
SV Wehen 1.11

Total expected goals: 2.94

FC Ingolstadt 04 and SV Wehen attack and defence ratings

FC Ingolstadt 04

Attack 0.88 -12%
Defence 1.05 +5%

SV Wehen

Attack 0.71 -29%
Defence 1.20 +20%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

FC Ingolstadt 04 vs SV Wehen: result vs prediction

FC Ingolstadt 04 2 – 4 SV Wehen

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 8 fixtures

3. Liga

Before and after this match

FC Ingolstadt 04 vs SV Wehen markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 FC Ingolstadt 04 42.7% 2.34 +3.5% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 56.3% 1.78 — —
Both teams to score Yes 57.3% 1.75 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 73.3% 1.36 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 46.7% 2.14 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2FC Ingolstadt 0442.7%
Draw26.7%
SV Wehen30.6%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.556.3%
Under 2.543.7%
Both teams to scoreYes57.3%
No42.7%
Double chance1X (home or draw)69.4%
12 (either side)73.3%
X2 (draw or away)57.3%
Handicap -1FC Ingolstadt 04 win30.9%
Push (exactly one goal)22.4%
Loss46.7%
Correct score (top 3)1-111.8%
2-19.8%
2-08.9%

FC Ingolstadt 04 vs SV Wehen stats

FC Ingolstadt 04 and SV Wehen recent form

newest first
FC Ingolstadt 04 LLWLWD
SV Wehen LWLDDL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

FC Ingolstadt 04 and SV Wehen going into this match

league record before kick-off

FC Ingolstadt 04 record

  • They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.

SV Wehen record

  • They have won 1 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
  • They average 1.0 goals per game on the road against 0.5 at home.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 7 matches.
  • 50% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

FC Ingolstadt 04 vs SV Wehen head-to-head

Last 8 meetings

3FC Ingolstadt 04 wins 1Draws 4SV Wehen wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-02-28SV WehenFC Ingolstadt 043. Liga2-1
2025-09-20FC Ingolstadt 04SV Wehen3. Liga0-0
2025-05-10FC Ingolstadt 04SV Wehen3. Liga2-3
2024-12-14SV WehenFC Ingolstadt 043. Liga2-5
2023-03-04SV WehenFC Ingolstadt 043. Liga4-1
2022-08-27FC Ingolstadt 04SV Wehen3. Liga2-3
2021-03-13SV WehenFC Ingolstadt 043. Liga1-2
2020-11-06FC Ingolstadt 04SV Wehen3. Liga4-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

FC Ingolstadt 04 vs SV Wehen odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 39.2%, draw 27.3%, away 33.5%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.27 3.35 2.72
Bet365 2.30 3.30 2.62
BetVictor 2.15 3.10 2.45
Betano 2.37 3.40 2.82
Betfair 2.30 3.30 2.63
Dafabet 2.36 3.40 2.85
Marathonbet 2.25 3.35 2.66
Pinnacle 2.46 3.30 2.94
SBO 2.30 3.24 2.59
William Hill 2.30 3.10 2.75

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.30 ▲ +0.32
X 3.30 ▼ -0.35
2 2.69 ▼ -0.76

33 snapshots recorded, from .