3. Liga
·
Full time
·Matchday 7
FC Viktoria Köln
vs
FC Ingolstadt 04
3 – 0 Full time
| 11′ | Yannick DeichmannKeanan Bennetts | ||
| 13′ | Yannick Aime Tonye | ||
| 25′ | Linus Rosenlocher | ||
| 33′ | Keanan Bennetts | ||
| 45′ | Keanan BennettsSejdo Durakov | ||
| 60′ | Niklas Horst Castelle | ||
| 62′ | Vinko Sapina | ||
| 65′ | Pascal FallmannAlexander Prokopenko | ||
| 65′ | Niklas Horst CastelleNoah Maboulou | ||
| 65′ | Yannick Aime TonyeVerthomy Schilo Boboy | ||
| 73′ | Emre Gulbenjamin kanuric | ||
| 77′ | David Otto | ||
| 79′ | David OttoJakob Sachse | ||
| 84′ | Vinko SapinaJosef Ganda | ||
| 85′ | Lucas Wolf | ||
| 86′ | benjamin kanuric | ||
| 90′ | Lucas WolfE. Gueye |
FC Viktoria Köln
49%
Draw
25%
FC Ingolstadt 04
26%
Match stats
| 19 | Shots | 9 |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | Shots on target | 2 |
| 61 | Possession % | 39 |
| 7 | Corners | 5 |
FC Viktoria Köln vs FC Ingolstadt 04 overview
Garuda Lions analysis: FC Viktoria Köln vs FC Ingolstadt 04
| Probability | FC Viktoria Köln | Draw | FC Ingolstadt 04 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 54.8% | 23.4% | 21.8% |
| Market | 47.5% | 25.0% | 27.5% |
| Final | 49.3% | 24.6% | 26.1% |
| Edge | +7.3% | -1.7% | -5.6% |
Why FC Viktoria Köln
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.02 vs 1.23.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
- The market prices FC Viktoria Köln below the model: +7.3 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
95%
2+ goals
84%
3+ goals
63%
No goals
5%
FC Viktoria Köln and FC Ingolstadt 04 expected goals
FC Viktoria Köln
2.02
FC Ingolstadt 04
1.23
Total expected goals: 3.25
FC Viktoria Köln and FC Ingolstadt 04 attack and defence ratings
FC Viktoria Köln
Attack
1.19 +19%
Defence
0.87 -13%
FC Ingolstadt 04
Attack
0.96 -4%
Defence
0.97 -3%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
FC Viktoria Köln vs FC Ingolstadt 04: result vs prediction
FC Viktoria Köln 3 – 0 FC Ingolstadt 04
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 7 fixtures
- Verl vs Würzburger Kickers
- Alemannia Aachen vs Fortuna Düsseldorf — team news & stats
- Hoffenheim II v SV Meppen — match page
- Stuttgart II vs SSV Jahn Regensburg — team news & stats
- FC Saarbrücken vs SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach
- Rot-Weiß Essen v Hansa Rostock — match page
- Waldhof Mannheim vs Preußen Münster — team news & stats
- SV Wehen vs MSV Duisburg
Before and after this match
FC Viktoria Köln vs FC Ingolstadt 04 markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FC Viktoria Köln | 49.3% | 2.03 | +7.3% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 62.9% | 1.59 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 62.2% | 1.61 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 75.4% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 45.2% | 2.21 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FC Viktoria Köln | 49.3% |
| Draw | 24.6% | |
| FC Ingolstadt 04 | 26.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 62.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 37.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 62.2% |
| No | 37.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 73.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 50.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | FC Viktoria Köln win | 33.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.6% | |
| Loss | 45.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 10.6% |
| 2-1 | 9.7% | |
| 2-0 | 7.9% |
FC Viktoria Köln vs FC Ingolstadt 04 stats
FC Viktoria Köln and FC Ingolstadt 04 recent form
| FC Viktoria Köln |
WWLWDW |
| FC Ingolstadt 04 |
LWLWDD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
FC Viktoria Köln and FC Ingolstadt 04 going into this match
FC Viktoria Köln record
- They have won 4 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.7 goals per match.
- They average 3.3 goals per game at home against 2.0 on the road.
FC Ingolstadt 04 record
- They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
FC Viktoria Köln vs FC Ingolstadt 04 head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
7FC Viktoria Köln wins
1Draws
2FC Ingolstadt 04 wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-08 | FC Ingolstadt 04 | FC Viktoria Köln | 3. Liga | 1-2 |
| 2025-10-31 | FC Viktoria Köln | FC Ingolstadt 04 | 3. Liga | 3-1 |
| 2025-03-30 | FC Ingolstadt 04 | FC Viktoria Köln | 3. Liga | 3-1 |
| 2024-10-22 | FC Viktoria Köln | FC Ingolstadt 04 | 3. Liga | 4-4 |
| 2024-03-03 | FC Ingolstadt 04 | FC Viktoria Köln | 3. Liga | 1-3 |
| 2023-10-03 | FC Viktoria Köln | FC Ingolstadt 04 | 3. Liga | 1-0 |
| 2023-04-22 | FC Viktoria Köln | FC Ingolstadt 04 | 3. Liga | 3-1 |
| 2022-10-30 | FC Ingolstadt 04 | FC Viktoria Köln | 3. Liga | 1-3 |
| 2021-02-06 | FC Ingolstadt 04 | FC Viktoria Köln | 3. Liga | 2-1 |
| 2020-10-11 | FC Viktoria Köln | FC Ingolstadt 04 | 3. Liga | 2-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
FC Viktoria Köln vs FC Ingolstadt 04 odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 47.5%, draw 25.0%, away 27.5%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.87 | 3.62 | 3.40 |
| Bet365 | 1.91 | 3.75 | 3.30 |
| BetVictor | 1.80 | 3.25 | 3.00 |
| Betano | 2.02 | 3.70 | 3.30 |
| Betfair | 1.85 | 3.80 | 3.30 |
| Marathonbet | 1.85 | 3.62 | 3.32 |
| Pinnacle | 1.92 | 3.97 | 3.52 |
| SBO | 1.96 | 3.23 | 3.04 |
| William Hill | 1.91 | 3.50 | 3.30 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
1.91 ▼ -0.25
X
3.62 ▼ -0.04
2
3.30 ▲ +0.58
9 snapshots recorded, from .