3. Liga
·
Full time
·Matchday 7
Alemannia Aachen
vs
Fortuna Düsseldorf
1 – 0 Full time
| 10′ | Lukas Scepanik | ||
| 17′ | Elias Egouli | ||
| 35′ | Erik Wekesser | ||
| 38′ | Petros Bagalianis | ||
| 45′ | Yassine BouchamaAnas Slimani | ||
| 45′ | Philipp FörsterJomaine Consbruch | ||
| 45′ | Matthias ZimmermannSteven Van Der Sloot | ||
| 58′ | Petros BagalianisDylan Leonard | ||
| 61′ | Lukas EixlerEric Hottmann | ||
| 62′ | Elias Egouli | ||
| 66′ | Erik WekesserLukas Bornschein | ||
| 72′ | Georg ErmolaevDaniel Starodid | ||
| 80′ | Lukas Scepanik | ||
| 82′ | Mika Schroersmeiko waschenbach | ||
| 82′ | Danilo WiebeNathan Bitumazala | ||
| 90′ | Nathan Bitumazala |
Alemannia Aachen
47%
Draw
25%
Fortuna Düsseldorf
29%
Match stats
| 0 | Shots on target | 0 |
|---|---|---|
| 44 | Possession % | 56 |
Alemannia Aachen vs Fortuna Düsseldorf overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Alemannia Aachen vs Fortuna Düsseldorf
| Probability | Alemannia Aachen | Draw | Fortuna Düsseldorf |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 67.3% | 20.4% | 12.3% |
| Market | 39.9% | 25.9% | 34.2% |
| Final | 46.7% | 24.5% | 28.8% |
| Edge | +27.5% | -5.6% | -21.9% |
Why Alemannia Aachen
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.22 vs 0.86.
- The market prices Alemannia Aachen below the model: +27.5 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
95%
2+ goals
82%
3+ goals
59%
No goals
5%
Alemannia Aachen and Fortuna Düsseldorf expected goals
Alemannia Aachen
2.22
Fortuna Düsseldorf
0.86
Total expected goals: 3.08
Alemannia Aachen and Fortuna Düsseldorf attack and defence ratings
Alemannia Aachen
Attack
1.24 +24%
Defence
0.76 -24%
Fortuna Düsseldorf
Attack
0.77 -23%
Defence
1.02 +2%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Alemannia Aachen vs Fortuna Düsseldorf: result vs prediction
Alemannia Aachen 1 – 0 Fortuna Düsseldorf
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 7 fixtures
- Verl vs Würzburger Kickers
- FC Viktoria Köln v FC Ingolstadt 04 — match page
- Hoffenheim II v SV Meppen — match page
- Stuttgart II vs SSV Jahn Regensburg — team news & stats
- FC Saarbrücken vs SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach
- Rot-Weiß Essen v Hansa Rostock — match page
- Waldhof Mannheim vs Preußen Münster — team news & stats
- SV Wehen vs MSV Duisburg
Before and after this match
Alemannia Aachen vs Fortuna Düsseldorf markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Alemannia Aachen | 46.7% | 2.14 | +27.5% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 59.4% | 1.68 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 52.3% | 1.91 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 75.5% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Alemannia Aachen win | 44.6% | 2.24 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Alemannia Aachen | 46.7% |
| Draw | 24.5% | |
| Fortuna Düsseldorf | 28.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 59.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 40.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 52.3% |
| No | 47.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 71.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 53.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Alemannia Aachen win | 44.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.7% | |
| Loss | 32.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-0 | 11.3% |
| 2-1 | 9.7% | |
| 1-1 | 9.7% |
Alemannia Aachen vs Fortuna Düsseldorf stats
Alemannia Aachen and Fortuna Düsseldorf recent form
| Alemannia Aachen |
LDWLDW |
| Fortuna Düsseldorf |
WWDWLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Alemannia Aachen and Fortuna Düsseldorf going into this match
Alemannia Aachen record
- They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.3 on the road.
- 47% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Fortuna Düsseldorf record
- They have won 3 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Alemannia Aachen vs Fortuna Düsseldorf head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
0Alemannia Aachen wins
2Draws
1Fortuna Düsseldorf wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-07-26 | Alemannia Aachen | Fortuna Düsseldorf | Friendlies Clubs | 0-4 |
| 2012-02-27 | Fortuna Düsseldorf | Alemannia Aachen | 2. Bundesliga | 0-0 |
| 2011-08-27 | Alemannia Aachen | Fortuna Düsseldorf | 2. Bundesliga | 0-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Alemannia Aachen vs Fortuna Düsseldorf odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 39.9%, draw 25.9%, away 34.2%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.23 | 3.46 | 2.62 |
| Bet365 | 2.25 | 3.30 | 2.70 |
| BetVictor | 2.10 | 3.20 | 2.45 |
| Betano | 2.35 | 3.60 | 2.72 |
| Betfair | 2.30 | 3.60 | 2.60 |
| Marathonbet | 2.23 | 3.46 | 2.62 |
| Pinnacle | 2.37 | 3.66 | 2.78 |
| SBO | 2.19 | 3.26 | 2.58 |
| William Hill | 2.30 | 3.30 | 2.62 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
2.25 ▲ +0.25
X
3.46 ▼ -0.13
2
2.62 ▼ -0.40
9 snapshots recorded, from .